Posted on 08/31/2012 7:05:13 AM PDT by Arthurio
This was an excellent convention for the GOP ticket, and the shift in momentum already heading our way will accelerate.
that’s some relief, I guess this is the result of Ann’s and Ryan’s speeches.
I get that, I just don’t think we are going to see much of a bounce - even when Romney’s speech is factored in. I think most people have already made up their minds. There just aren’t that many persuadable people.
Rasmussen has already said you won’t see the full effect of the bounce until the end of the week — Saturday. That would reflect polling for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.
From the article:
“...As a result, nearly all of the interviews were conducted before Mitt Romney’s speech to the Republican National Convention last night. Some interviews for today’s update were conducted before the prime-time speeches on the first night of the convention. However, the daily tracking so far does indicates that Romney has received a modest “bounce” from the convention.”
All the data for this 3-day rolling average poll was collected prior to yesterday's convention speeches. So the one-point lead is just a continuation of the last few days' polling variation. Obama has been up for a few days.
Yeah. Not a good bounce at all so far.
These things sometimes take a while to sort out though.
Lets wait a few more days and see what happens.
I don’t see anything likable about BO - never did.
Oh, he’s a good father....so we should stand by while he destroys the country?
Zero needs to be fired so he can spend more time with his family.
As long as the polls keep the two candidates within the margin of error, I wouldn't weigh the results very heavily until the 'rat's convention bounce fades, and Romney begins spending some of his campaign cash. That might be the third week of September.
Obama is the incumbent...he is polling at 44%.
That’s a DISASTER for him....regardless of where Romney is polling. Freepers should know this.
What was GWB polling this time in 2004? I thought he had a pretty bad approval rating and still beat Kerry?
Obama is hardly a failure. You can go back to before he was elected and read and listen to his plans for America and he has actually been quite successful and that is the problem.
It was close -- but one thing that incumbent Bush had that incumbent Zero doesn't have is the economy. No matter what the MSM says, nobody will believe that the US economy is in anything near decent shape.
1980 is probably a better comparison. Carter was mostly ahead until just before the election. We don't fire people easily, it seems.
These bumps are temporary anyway and the real campaign begins when Romney begins spending the huge amount of cash he has on hand which should be almost immediately.
“There just aren’t that many truly independent voters these days.”
Well worth repeating to the GOPe - who seem to think that a fraction more independents are worth more than a motivated base. They also seem to believe that a few independents are more in number than the numbers of conservatives that they have pissed off.
“one thing that incumbent Bush had that incumbent Zero doesn’t have is the economy”
What obama does have, however, is a company in Spain (involving soros) that is counting the votes. This combined with 30% Independents that they most likely will claim “broke their way” is scary.
I don’t notice many who seem concerned so I’m hoping we have a group there to somehow protect our interests... but I’m doubtful.
Thank you so much for getting that and posting it for me. I really appreciate it. It doesn’t seem Bush was ever under 49% from August on to the election. Kerry was never above him except a couple times during the summer. Interesting.
I think the two debates is where the undecideds will make up their mind.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.