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Romney leads 49% to 46% in poll of 1200 LIKELY voters taken 9/4 - 9/6, skewed towards Dems
American Research Group ^ | September 7th, 212 | American Research Group

Posted on 09/07/2012 9:53:32 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball

September 7, 2012 - National General Election Ballot

National
Likely voters Sep 4-6

Obama 46%
Romney 49%
Other/Undecided 5%

Sample size: 1200 likely voters
Sample dates: September 4-6, 2012

Margin of error: ± 3 percentage points Question wording: If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan? (names rotated)

Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 85% to 11% among self-described Democrats (38% of likely voters). Romney leads Obama 92% to 5% among self-described Republicans (34% of likely voters). And Romney leads Obama 49% to 44% among self-described independent voters (28% of likely voters).

Romney leads Obama 54% to 41% among men (48% of likely voters). Among women (52% of likely voters), Obama leads Romney 51% to 45%.

Romney leads Obama 57% to 39% among white voters (76% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 89% to 5% among African American voters (12% of likely voters).

Obama leads Romney 50% to 46% among voters age 18 to 49 (49% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (51% of likely voters), Romney leads Obama 52% to 43%.

Romney leads Obama 50% to 46% among likely voters interviewed on a landline (83% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 48% to 45% among likely voters interviewed on a cell phone (17% of likely voters).

A total of 46% of likely voters say they would never vote for Obama in the general election and 43% of likely voters say they would never vote for Romney in the general election.

A total of 87% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Obama say they would never vote for Romney. A total of 89% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Romney say they would never vote for Obama.



TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; romney
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To: County Agent Hank Kimball

Does anyone have any historic numbers as to which polling companies did the best in recent elections?


61 posted on 09/09/2012 11:20:54 AM PDT by Woodsman27
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To: Biggirl

If the do-nothing, incompetent, God-hating Marxist Obama wins the election, WE ARE NOT A CENTER RIGHT NATION. We have gone the way of the socialist European countries. And that is exactly what Obama and his gang of communist thugs want.


62 posted on 09/09/2012 11:50:23 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
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To: County Agent Hank Kimball

If America only knew....

And unless somebody gets the guts to tell them,
we will lose.

The best Obama exposure site on the net:

The Obama File
http://theobamafile.com/

The United States Library of Congress has selected
TheObamaFile.com for inclusion in its historic collection
of Internet materials
http://theobamafile.com/LibraryOfCongress.html

Just a few of the pages:

http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_politics.html

http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_personal.html

http://www.theobamafile.com/BarackObama.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/_family/FamilyPage.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaEducation.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaPsychology.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaReligion.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaWife.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/_associates/ObamaAssociates.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaIconography.htm

.

.


63 posted on 09/09/2012 12:51:35 PM PDT by patriot08 (TEXAS GAL- born and bred and proud of it!)
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To: NKP_Vet

Your opinion, not mine.

Besides, those who support Obama, will be HOME on Election Day this year, having been lets just say, discouraged.


64 posted on 09/09/2012 1:19:35 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: Go Gordon

The reality is that, those who have had voted for Obama, and regreted their decision will either vote Obama out or stay home. This will not be 2008.


65 posted on 09/09/2012 2:08:43 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: Biggirl

You are correct, many people who voted for “the chair” in ‘08 will stay home. This includes blacks and young people.

Since the Scott Brown senate election, all elections have been a referendum on Obama. I don’t see this election being any different. The economy sucks and they can’t get anything on R & R.

“The chair” should be ahead now comfortably 10-15 points to ensure victory. He fluctuates in the mid-40’s.....with democrat oversampling. Needs I say more?


66 posted on 09/09/2012 5:52:19 PM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: TMA62

Could not say it better myself. We have a winner here!


67 posted on 09/09/2012 6:03:23 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: PapaNew

Spot on.


68 posted on 09/10/2012 2:33:41 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: WashingtonSource

I DID NOT select that name when I joined Free-Republic, I came for free, but then what’s in a name?

I am in favor of having a governmnet but a VERY SMALL one. For example, somebody has to distribute the “free stuff” to all those free-loaders.


69 posted on 09/10/2012 4:32:15 AM PDT by DaveA37
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To: commonguymd

I am NOT a troll. I have been a Republican for many years and enjoy my “free speech” as much as anyone.


70 posted on 09/10/2012 4:34:56 AM PDT by DaveA37
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To: Progov

Didn’t say you were at all, but I think you know that and were just responding to the question. I was just perplexed trying to find the flow of the subthread.


71 posted on 09/10/2012 4:43:07 AM PDT by commonguymd (New media has not replaced the MSM. It has emboldened it. twitter @commonguymd)
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To: Go Gordon

I wonder whether party registration figures are available from the various Secretary of States’ offices. If they are someone could take polls with internals that break out responses by party affiliation in the swing states and redo the numbers with realistic weighting.


72 posted on 09/10/2012 9:17:25 AM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: County Agent Hank Kimball

as Mark Levin says, when you look around at the current state of the country under Obama, Romney SHOULD be up by double digits!


73 posted on 09/10/2012 11:49:52 AM PDT by a real Sheila (RYAN/romney 2012)
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To: sf4dubya

Oh, you mean like the ground game which gave the GOP a landslide in 2010. Or the one which produced great victories in Wisconsin, which gave Michigan a Republican government, which gave Ohio a Republican government, which has produced Republican legislatures in some of the South for the first time in almost 150 yrs.

That ground game?


74 posted on 09/10/2012 11:54:04 AM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: sf4dubya

RATs lead conservatives around by the nose. If it weren’t tragic it would be hilarious to see how the Right can be turned against anyone not in the 1% “truly conservative”.


75 posted on 09/10/2012 12:00:03 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: Biggirl

“We are still a center-right nation by far.”

No, we are not and never have been. If that were true there would be half the number of Democrats elected and the party would be on the verge of extinction.

People tell these pollsters they are conservative but the votes show that is far from true.

Class warfare has been the principle of the Democrats since Jefferson’s election in 1800. It has worked almost every time it is used.


76 posted on 09/10/2012 12:05:44 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: arrogantsob

Your opinion, not mine.


77 posted on 09/10/2012 12:23:50 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: arrogantsob

Besides, Rush has been saying the same thing for years himself.


78 posted on 09/10/2012 12:25:03 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: County Agent Hank Kimball

Good grief. Can women really be this gullible & stupid? So much for that “equality” thing. And so much for good old common sense.


79 posted on 09/10/2012 12:26:43 PM PDT by KGeorge
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To: KGeorge

Yes - women are generally this stupid. Not hating on women, but they are mostly morons when it comes to political matters.

Look at how they gushed over clinton last week. Case closed.


80 posted on 09/10/2012 12:28:59 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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