Posted on 09/09/2012 3:45:54 PM PDT by smoothsailing
You sir, are a badass. And inspirational. I tip my hat to you.
And yes, please do something to help. Thomas More Society always needs more counselors.
There. Fixed it.
You're kidding, right? I thought this was a top secret private website that no one knew about but us top secret people!
Just wait 'til I get my hands on Jim Thompson!
The beg and plead method just does NOT scream "leadership".
I think I need to do further checking...
People that voted for him before?
I did, and parts of it are confusing as hell. First, it's hard to take them seriously when they have Massachusetts as 'lean Democrat'. That's like saying Texas 'leans Republican'. And then take what they said about New Hampshire:
"The RCP average favor Obama by only 3.5 percent with both candidates well under 50 percent. The latest PPP survey is an outlier, and the average of the other three polls listed would place Obama at 47.3 percent to Romney at 44.7 percent. Most undecided voters will break for Obama and New Hampshire will return to its historic pattern of voting for the Republican nominee."
So having noted that Obama is ahead and predicting the undecided voters will break for Obama, the analysts somehow come to the conclusion that the state will go for Romney. How the heck did they stagger to that conclusion?
I expect Romney to win, but with 317 electoral votes? No. I think it'll be between 273 and 290.
Just looking at the "Family Income" categories and trends, and considering the loss in family wealth and family income over the last four years; those alone provide enough info to justify my prediction of 59% to 39%.
Consider this:
Then consider Dean's analysis of the three key states in that formula. Then reconsider the formula in light of that analysis, and Mittens need only win IA (IN & NC & NE1 are going red without much of a fight) and it's over. Why? Reapportionment. You're gonna hear a lot about that word used in the same sentence as President-elect Mittens.
No NM, no CO, no NH, no give-a-damn about any other blueredpurple state, you simply run the Bush II map and yet SUBTRACT NM, CO, and even NV, and Mittens is the next President of the United States. Period. 272-266. Mittens knows this, Bobo knows this.
Florida: Florida is a key state where skewed media polls and those who wish to believe them rather than know how the race actually stands, cause many to buy into the perception that Obama is running stronger than he is. The RCP average has Obama at 47.3 percent ot Romney at 46.7 percent. This average includes two blatantly skewed media polls and that of the Democrat-leaning firm Public Policy Polling. The remaining three polls, if averaged, would show a Romney lead of 47.0 percent to 45.7 percent. Florida leans Republican.Virginia: The RCP average is 47.3 percent Obama to 46.7 Romney, which includes the PPP poll showing Obama leading by five percent, which is clearly an outlier. Factoring that out, the other two surveys average to Romney a 1.5 percent lead. Virginia remains in the category of leaning Republican.
Ohio: Despite including two polls that over-sample Democrats and feature skewed results (CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac and Ohio Poll/Univ. of Cin.), the RCP average shows Obama barely leading the state by a 46.2 percent to 45.5 percent margin. The remaining polls would indicate a Romney lead of 45.8 percent to 44.5 percent. Both campaigns are focusing heavily on Ohio and it will be close but Romney will win it by a few percent. Ohio leans Republican.
Here in Indiana, in 2008, he ran a ton of ads. We had not elected a Democrat since LBJ. It was driving me crazy. I haven't seen a single ad from him or Romney, other than when the Olympics was on. It's been nice. Of course I'm not a big TV person either, not like most.
Then why is he running ads in California? I’m in Indiana— a solid red state (this time), and I don’t see hardly any ads. California should be as blue as Indiana is red. So why the ads?
And speaking of Carter, I like what Paul Ryan said a few days ago; "If we fired Jimmy Carter, why would we rehire Barack Obama?"
Looking at your link for the electoral vote on the map on the Rasmussen site. Does not give the latests dates for the polls, unless I missed it. It does look promising.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard
The attempt to steal the vote in greater Philly will not change, but this time around I suspect there will be fewer dead voters. PA is in play.
Yes. Interesting, isn't it? But I'm not in Lost Angeles or San Francisco.
I’m with you on this. Excellent assessment!
That’s kind of how it was in Indiana in 2008. You couldn’t tell anyone that Obama was bad because they were taking it out on Bush. It did not matter what you said.
That's a typo in the original, read it as "break for Romney" and the whole thing makes sense.
Remember, it's standard acceptance that late undecideds will break for the challenger.
Paul Ryan is dead on the money. Where Jimmy left off destroying our country Zer0 took over to finish the job. I'll give Jimmy the benefit of the doubt that he's just inept whereas Zer0’s fiasco may very well be intentional.
YEA FOR YOU!!!!!! I am 57 and wondering what my next profession will be. I Have been (and am still) a legal assistant, as I’ve been for 30 years. I graduated from the Art Institute of Pittsburgh in 2007 with a diploma in interior design (though I found I didn’t much care for the profession once I became a professional), then at the age of 52 I became a certified personal fitness trainer. I’m now eyeing photography. Of course, I’ll stick with law until I retire and can really devote myself to that “ultimate” career! :0D
I really applaude you!
I think it’s intentional. Obama has a chip on his shoulder because we’re not Venezuela. He’s determined that we will be.
I’m with you on Carter too, he was just plain clueless. Even though he became bitter and nasty, I don’t think he set out while in office to deliberately harm the country.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.