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Memo from Romney campaign pollster: Mellow out about the bad polls lately
hotair.com ^

Posted on 09/10/2012 2:28:50 PM PDT by tsowellfan

Erick Erickson’s exactly right about this. Two simple points. One: Needless to say, the race isn’t over. O got his bounce — he’s up to 50 percent and a five-point lead today in Rasmussen — but it’ll fade. In fact, it looks like he’s already leveling off in Gallup’s tracker, with his job approval now down two points from its peak of 52 percent four days ago. Things will tighten up. Even your friendly neighborhood eeyorepundit thinks so...

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election2012; romney
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To: RedStatePatriot2012
I was one of the last to come on board the Romney wagon, and I saw all the ads for all the states. I thought they were a little "light" in terms of not being nasty, but I didn't catch anything about Obama being shown favorably. All of them had Obama dark grey; all hit three stats, specifically targeted to each state, on employment; all gave a specific stat that Romney would fix. For about a 30 second ad (or one minute), I thought it wouldn't appeal to me but I think it will appeal to all those who voted for Obama the first time but want to back out without being called a racist.

But a guy who has spent his life running for pres is NOT going to deliberately tank. And I think he is still working his ruthless stuff behind the scenes.

21 posted on 09/10/2012 3:06:10 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: SeekAndFind
I seriously doubt Obama will receive 52.87% of the vote this time around. He is below 2008 levels among whites, independents, and young people.

Coming up during the next 7 weeks are: four debates (including the one VP debate;) the sequestration plan (the deadline has already been missed) from the WH detailing the cuts it will make; another debt ceiling battle as we go over the $16 trillion mark; House legislation covering the fiscal cliff, which will raise the debt, deficit, and Obamacare issues; continuing high gas prices that could sky rocket should Israel decide to take out the Iranian nuclear program before November 6th; the continuing Eurozone problems that are impacting the global economy including our own; and perhaps a few bombshells on Obama's personal narrative.

However the huge factor is HOW DEPENDENT ARE AMERICANS BECOMING ON GOVERNMENT?

If that is an issue now, how do you explain what happened in 2010? Has the Tea Party disappeared? (I know that is not the case here in VA). How did Scott Walker stave off the huge union effort to have him recalled?

I just get a little tired of the Chicken Littles who are running around because of the daily poll numbers. And I have a hard time understanding why even so-called conservatives have this collective amnesia about what happened in 2010. Things have gotten worse since 2010 yet Obama is more popular? I don't think so.

We need to stop being stampeded by the polls into this herd mentality. I strongly believe this is Romney's race to lose. As long as we keep it as referendum on Obama, we will emerge victorious. Fear is a great motivator. Go to the polls and get your neighbors, friends, and families to vote. It is the most meaningful election in our lifetime. We have a clear choice.

22 posted on 09/10/2012 3:09:47 PM PDT by kabar
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To: tsowellfan

The good news is that the “Obama bounce” will or is starting to fade.


23 posted on 09/10/2012 3:11:58 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: RedStatePatriot2012

You just joined FR two days ago. I don’t believe a word you are saying.


24 posted on 09/10/2012 3:12:15 PM PDT by kabar
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To: tsowellfan

Newhouse has a rep in the political industry as being tough as nails and very much of a take no prisoners attitude. His polling firm used to give out teeshirts with their logo and a quote from Attilla the Hun: “Its not enough that I win, all others must lose”.

I’m not saying that this isn’t all just a nice pep talk from him. But the very fact that he’s Romneys pollster says that Romney is in this to win and is going to play to win.

We’re one week past Labor Day. Still two months to go until the election. Obama may, possibly, have gotten a decent bounce. But he didn’t break the election open ... which is what all the pundits were saying a week ago that he NEEDED to do.

Stout hearts, everyone. This is no time to go wobbly.


25 posted on 09/10/2012 3:16:08 PM PDT by tanknetter
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To: kabar

I too is getting fed up with the debbie downers in FR. The truth is that people tend to lie to the poll takers so as not to be thought of as being racists. Obama is done.


26 posted on 09/10/2012 3:21:17 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: kabar

There’s a troll in the house. We need an exterminator.


27 posted on 09/10/2012 3:23:30 PM PDT by DWC (historian)
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To: Biggirl

But you must admit it’s hard when somebody asks why I support Romney, and the only answer I can come up with is, “He’s not Obama.”


28 posted on 09/10/2012 3:25:50 PM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
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To: dfwgator

Reminds me of the Obama strategy in 2008. Anybody but Bush with McCain being a third term of Bush. Anybody but the Marxist Radical in the WH who wants to transform this country is good enough to me. Four more years of Obama and the country is finished. There is no coming back.


29 posted on 09/10/2012 3:28:35 PM PDT by kabar
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To: kabar

That’s pretty much what every election since 1984 has been, vote against, not for somebody.


30 posted on 09/10/2012 3:29:34 PM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
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To: dfwgator

Do you have a mouse in your pocket or are you speaking only for yourself? The choice for me has always been between The Stupid Party versus the Evil Party.


31 posted on 09/10/2012 3:34:58 PM PDT by kabar
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To: RedStatePatriot2012

Welcome aboard, (not) RedStatePatriot2012!

RedStatePatriot2012: since 2012-09-08 (2 days ago).

Be vigilant, real FRiends. The vermin at the DNC and the LSM have opened up the floodgates from DU and who knows where else to try to demoralize us. Believe nothing you read, see or hear. They are flooding us with newbie trolls.

Make sure you vote on Nov. 6th.


32 posted on 09/10/2012 3:38:54 PM PDT by SnuffaBolshevik (In a tornado, even turkeys can fly.)
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To: SnuffaBolshevik

No wonder I was kicking a few what I thought were FRpers butts. They were TROLLS.


33 posted on 09/10/2012 4:08:22 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I wonder what percent of the unemployed want a job!


34 posted on 09/10/2012 4:15:44 PM PDT by lonestar (It takes a village of idiots to elect a village idiot.)
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To: tsowellfan
This campaign must like these poll numbers...because they need not even exist....that is, if the R's would smarten up and bring in the big guns to stump for MITT....for exmple, the INESTIMABLE SARAH PALIN and her MIGHTY MIGHTY TEA PARTY....I don't know if the campaign is having attendance problems but they would be over and MITT'D lead the polls if he'd smarten up and ask Sarah's help....Who wouldn't want to have THIS STUNNER along side as he addresses voters? I DON'T GET IT ! sarahphotobuck
35 posted on 09/10/2012 4:21:34 PM PDT by jimsin (u)
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To: tsowellfan
Rove was just on Hannity and said that he thinks Romney will win IN, NC, FL, VA, NH, WI, IA, CO, NV, and OH – and will possibly win MI, NM, & PA.

Rove is one of the single biggest players in this election. Supporting Romney to the tune of millions upon millions of dollars through his SuperPAC. Of course he is going to say that.

I don't understand why people can't just admit that Romney is plainly losing. It's sad to watch our side whining about polls. It stinks of 2008 all over again - and 2006 before that. Yes, there are some bad polls here and there, but the trend is absolutely clear - Obama is winning. Romney is just running a lackluster, play-it-safe campaign and it's not working. The DNC convention was masterful. I'm sorry, I hate their message too, but it worked. Our convention was boring, giant pile of mush. These ads that I see in Virginia the Romney camp are running are dull, uninteresting and are probably swaying no one. The Democrats, with their allies in the media, are simply running rings around Romney, the GOP and quite frankly conservatives in the new media too. The Democrats are outflanking Republicans at every turn, they are getting their message out, they are dictating what the story of the day will be. Romney is not attacking in a way that gets any media attention, and when he is on TV he appears to be guarded, on the defensive and generally uninspiring.

36 posted on 09/10/2012 4:31:20 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: JediJones

One of the problems the GOP had with Bush is the mindless head nodding and a lack of a reform discussion and agenda out of conservatives.

I support getting Obammy out of office and we won’t accomplish that mission head nodding with the same losing strategy advisors used to sink McCain.

Given the state of the corruption, economy and the disgusting sights and sounds of the DNC convention, Obama’s opposition should be soaring.

He needs to offer up something people will want to vote for and he needs to be alarmed about the mess of the economy and debt. Like when he claimed he will repeal parts of Obamacare but like other parts...he should have talked about what he does not like about Obamacare and his desire to fix healthcare and still respect people’s and doctor’s freedom.

Americans won’t elect a more clever, amoral, anti-constitution (anti-individual freedom) global socialist than the one they have. They won’t elect him even if FR head nodders get their way and everyone just bangs their heads with Romneybots. We can’t pretend he needs to step it up.


37 posted on 09/10/2012 5:18:20 PM PDT by SaraJohnson
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To: Biggirl

The article isn’t all roses though. There are some real concerns there.


38 posted on 09/10/2012 5:22:19 PM PDT by paul544
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To: paul544

I still that the bounce for Obama is fading.


39 posted on 09/10/2012 5:24:54 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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