Posted on 09/13/2012 3:24:18 PM PDT by smoothsailing
It's a scam. Ever wonder why races suddenly 'tighten up in the polls' at the very end?
From the Post 2008 Election analysis of polling
The following list ranks the 23 organizations by the accuracy of their final, national preelection
polls (as reported on pollster.com).
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23
Ok, so Obama got his post-convention bump, who wasn’t expecting that?
I do believe the events in Egypt and Libya will give a quick end to the bump and get things back to where they were pre-convention.
It’s all going to come down to the debates, maybe more so than any previous election.
HuffPost Pollster, formerly known as Pollster.com ?
This Middle East blowup changes the dynamics. I don’t see how Obama’s Chicago clown car operation is in any way prepared to deal with this.
Funny isn’t it. And yet they list “that right wing Republican stooge” Rasmussen as the most accurate pollster!
The ridiculous over sampling of democrats in these polls showing Obama winning makes me wonder if they’re not engineered to cause riots when Romney wins?
It’s interesting, that’s for sure. Also found it funny that Gallup is almost last! I don’t care much for Gallup.
Wow, let’s hope not. But I don’t put anything past the Obama zombies.
The election will be decided in 10 states so they shouldn't be reporting results from the other 40 states as if they are meaningful.
Obama’s personal favorable rating also improves — up two points to 53 percent since the conventions. Romney’s favorable rating holds steady at 49 percent.
.....
The poll finds the president has a significant advantage on most issues and candidate traits. Voters trust Obama more than Romney on foreign policy (+15 points), education (+14 points), Medicare (+11 points), health care (+9 points) and terrorism (+8 points).......
The Fox News poll is based on live telephone interviews on landlines and cell phones from September 9 to September 11 among 1,056 randomly-chosen likely voters nationwide. Likely voters are registered voters who are considered most likely to vote in the November presidential election.
Fox News poll: Obama ticket has edge after conventions wrap up(By Dana Blanton Published September 12, 2012 FoxNews.com)
Just watching both sides operate I can see Democrats united appearing confident Obama will win and Republicans (public figures) looking/sounding pretty uneasy about how Romney is doing, except Rush of course. Time is running out.
why are we not seeing more of Romney Ryan?
not good is it
Anyway, I hope you're right but I'm a little pessimistic because I was here for 2000, 2004 and 2008 and FR always says polls are wrong or off and every time the polls got it right.
what is party affiliation in battlegrounds?to keep Obama they might drum pu a good turnout for him and we at least need the house and Senate. if O get stays he will be appointing more Supremes.
Today’s Rasmussen poll with learners added
Easy rule of thumb. Anyone that has a National Democrat sample bigger then 3 points over the GOP sample is junk.
No, blivets stink.
??? They were both on the Sunday shows giving interviews : NBC and CBS. And Romney just gave one to CNN. They are trying to get exposure.
Where are you looking that you don't see them?
Seems being lousy at your job and letting people die makes him more popular.
Well I dont watch those..FOX is all we watch..dont know anyone that watches commercial channels anymore.
He is going on all those MSM/liberal networks and accepting liberal moderators in the debate (rather than take a stand) because he thinks he needs some of those audiences to vote for him, and that they would not otherwise.
He knows he already has MOST of FNC viewers vote as with yours so why would he waste time there? Same for the Rush show,
I do see that some on FNC are showing themselves getting worried.
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