Posted on 09/19/2012 5:03:33 PM PDT by Abiotic
President Barack Obama has the edge over Republican Mitt Romney in three potentially decisive states in the presidential election.
Obama tops Romney by seven percentage points among likely voters in both Ohio (49-42 percent) and Virginia (50-43 percent). In Florida, the president holds a five-point edge (49-44 percent).
Obama’s lead is just outside the poll’s margin of sampling error in Ohio and Virginia, and within the margin of sampling error in Florida.
The good news for Romney is that among voters who are “extremely” interested in this year’s election, the races are much tighter. Obama is up by just two points with this group in Virginia (49-47 percent), Florida is tied (48-48 percent), and Romney is up by one point in Ohio (48-47 percent).
Independents are nearly evenly divided in each of the states, as well.
Majorities of voters are unhappy with how things are going in the country, yet in all three states more say they trust Obama than Romney to improve the economy.
Likewise, in each state more voters believe the Obama administration’s policies have helped rather than hurt the economy -- albeit by slim margins: By two points in Florida, three points in Ohio and five points in Virginia.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
I don’t know why he’s leading here in Florida, except perhaps that the liberal snowbirds who vote in more than one state are probably starting to come back.
Absolutely the worst polling group in cable .
I wonder if Sheppy is calling the shots on these poll criteria since he
In the news div .
These polls are more way off than NBC and that says it all .
Fox has shifted left and they are getting crushed now .
Good riddance to that phony network .
In 2008 , 80 % or more of the staff voted for Obama .
Need I say more .
He isn’t leading !
It’s bad polling
No. You don't base Presidential cycle turnout models on off year elections.
So the FL and VA samples are +5D looks like they are using the 2008 turnout model. If more concern is Obama having small leads with the indies (+2FL,+1Vir) although there are about 10% undecided that should go 7-3 for Romney.Which should win him both states.
Also keep in mid Obama has been spending tons of money in these states and from here on out things spending will be dominated by Romney.
For Ohio:
“POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION When you think about politics, do you think of yourself as a Democrat or a Republican?”
16-18 Sept - Dem 42%, Rep 36%, Ind/Other 21%, Don’t know/Refused 1%
oh+7 fl +5 so far
Before you post anymore polling information, check out Hillbuzz.org’s articles on liberal propaganda and their intentional use of these polls to depress morale and voter turnout.
That chart is for a national poll.
The breakdown will be different state by state. California, for example will have more democrats. Texas will have more Republicans.
As an Ohioan for many decades, my sense of this state is that it’s just about evenly split with a bit of an edge — not much — to Republicans. We have a republican House, Senate, Governor, Supreme Court, and Secty of State.
That should say something about voting trends to anyone trying to be honest.
Fox polls are always terribly unreliable and always seem to be less favorable to the GOP.
Is this a statistician’s standard, to use the prior election year’s turnout numbers for every poll? Because I have yet to see a poll that varies from this model.
And yet the Dems and MSM still portray Fox News as a mouthpiece for the far right. If 80% of the FNC staff (excluding contributors)voted for Obama (hard to believe)in 2008, I don't think that percentage will again despite the network's perceived movement to the left.
This Ohio poll is horse poop..if it were true you wouldn’t see Obama and Biden in Ohio every damn day campaigning..he is campaigning there because either Romney is leading or its a 1-2 point race
Isn't the Rasmussen Poll of Party Identification based on self-identification rather than party registration?
LLS
Win, lose, or draw, someone on the right has to start a news and opinion TV channel with a little bit of intelligence and away from the dumbed down world of the mainstream media. Fox may tilt to the right, but it’s still the mainstream media.
There is no way in the world that Bork Obunga is up five or seven points in Virginia.
Wouldn’t it be better to look at past presidential elections? Since many more people vote in those? In 04 it was even. This is the only one that had as many Republicans as Dems, 08 was d+8.i would also point out each state is different. To ignore polls because of weighting is what losing campaigns do.
I remember reading dem blogs in 04 going nuts about poll weighting. This is a Fox poll it would be hard to believe it is partisan towards Dems.
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