From looking at all the methodology (when possible) it seems pretty clear that Romney has at least a %5 lead. Other things lead me to believe it is going to be a disaster for the RATs.
I think you are right, no matter how much the other side spins it. If Tom Smith makes it to the Senate over Bob Casey, you can bet your bippy that Pa. goes for Romney.
We’ve got to overcome the Philly vote at least but I think it can be done.
You people DO realize that the margin of error also runs the other way?
Sounds like Romney should hire Smith to write his slogans for him. Not sure I’ve heard any statement that simple, clear and succinct from Romney as to why he should replace Obummer.
Pennsylvania has disappointed me too many times for me to hold out a lot of hope, but it’s hard to dismiss the GOP candidate out of hand in either the Senate or presidential race when the last two statewide races in PA were won by Gov. Tom Corbett (R) and Sen. Pat Toomey (R). And it’s not like these guys are RINOs, either.
Casey is the most boring candidate in the world. He basically has his fathers name and ran against the most hated politician in modern politics (I know many here can’t accept this, but Santorum was sent packing by 17 points for very very valid reasons by the voters of PA) He basically phoned in his last campaign.
I have seen much in the terms of ads for either candidate myself, but its hardly surprising to me that Casey isn’t mopping up this election he’s completely a wooden board.
The idea that PA is lost is nonsense, BEST Obama can do is win this state by a few points this go round, and if Romney were to bring the fight here, I personally think he could win the state. These polls showing Obama up by margins as big or bigger than he won the state in 2008 are la la land folks.
Thing is, Smith’s been running some very effective ads, starting with slamming Casey (with his pasty blank-expressioned face on screen) and then moving to some of his own accomplishments and what he wants to do for Penna. - but I’ve seen no Romney ads, at least in the Philly market, at all - and examples of his ads I’ve seen from other areas seem lame and unfocused - Smith’s coattails might pull Romney over the line if he had a bit of a presence in the state......