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To: SunkenCiv

Oh yes, Iran has been such a clarion of peace.
War is inevitable and Israel cannot wait to turn
the other cheek or it will be destroyed from the
outset. I only pray they do a good job, we will
receive retaliation from Iran weather we help them
or not so it would be to our advantage to decimate
the Iranian military as much as possible from the
beginning.

It’s just too bad it couldn’t be a joint US,Israel,Russia,
and Chinese attack. We all face the threat of Islam.


7 posted on 09/22/2012 7:08:06 AM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: tet68; aumrl; blam

The Iranians are operating from a (current) position of strength;

1) if Israel attacks Iran directly, Iranian forces in Syria and Iran’s proxies in Lebanon and Syria (and Hamas, Fatah, Egypt) will attack Israel from within and without.

2) if Israel knocks out the Iranian occupiers in Syria first, the nearly inevitable loss of pilots could, at best, be expected to yield no political or diplomatic benefit.

3) if Israel destroys Hizbullah’s bunkers and so on in Lebanon, it will bring a temporary lull to the fighting in Syria, and with Iranian thugs around, Assad will probably be able to force a return to his dictatorship, by threat of force as an alternative to heading to the frontiers with Israel.

4) if Israel knocks out Assad, IOW, kills his sorry ass, there would be no more Syrian continuity, and nowhere for central authority to look. Syria would then turn into a factional morass like Lebanon, with Iran playing the role Syria played in Lebanon. Russia would be pushed to the margins unless they koutou to the new overlords — likely enough, since Russia and Turkey have been enemies for centuries. The Alawites in Turkey are a substantial fraction of the entire population. Turkey just moved anti-aircraft and other serious stuff toward its border with Syria, and has seen Kurdish takeover of the NE areas of Syria. The likelihood of Erdogan’s fall increases by the day, and he’s known for some time (since last year) that none of his new “allies” have the slightest interest in acting like allies, or in his continued political success. He’s hemmed in on all sides, mostly due to his own mismanagement and stupidity and clinging to his medieval ideology.

If Israel wants to take action, it needs to start with #4, within weeks move on to #3, then within months, as Syria’s factions turn completely against Iranian forces, move on to #2.


12 posted on 09/22/2012 11:30:30 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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