[LS]

Take a look at the absentee ballot numbers coming in across Ohio---I'm not going to post them all again, bu the Rs are ovet performing, sometimes by huge margins, their 2008 percentages and the Dems ar underperforming 2008. Heck, in some cases the GOP is surpassing 2010 levels. Just one example: Warren Co. Went for McCain 2:1 . . . But the r/D absentees are coming in at a rate of five to one .

Now, anything can change and we've only looked at the main counties so far but they all are showing big gOP advantages and/or in Dem counties much smaller margins than what Obama needs to win.

[mwl8787]

Thank you, please keep us advised as to Ohio absentees and ground game.

[Galactic Overlord-In-Chief]

I think another way to gauge whether Rs will carry Ohio is look at the cluster of counties (Williams, Defiance, Paulding, Henry, Fulton) in the northwestern part of the state, just west of Toledo. Bush swept that region with over 60 percent of the vote in each county, but McCain took a plunge and finished mostly in the mid 50s, plus he lost nearby Wood County that Bush carried. Actually, that might be the part of the state where GOP erosion was the most dramatic. If it came back our way, that would be a good sign.