Dick Morris: Romney Pulls Ahead

dickmorris.com ^ | 26 September 2012 | Dick Morris

[texas booster]

One thing is certain - Romney may have a slight edge in actual votes cast, but Obama will have the edge in votes counted, by hook or by crook.

[Alter Kaker]

He has to lose exactly 3% of his voters. That is all. He won with 52.6% of the vote. That is all. If he loses 3% of his vote, or if the Black vote falls to it's normal level of 11% of the population, He loses and he knows it.

That assumes the voter population is identical to 2008. The reality is that the population changes (older voters die, immigrants are naturalized, younger voters register) probably give Obama another 2% or so to work with. We're running up against demographic problems.

[BizBroker]

I thought he predicted 60-70 seats...

[Jim from C-Town]

Yes and they got 63. That is sixty to seventy seats exactly!

[GatorGirl]

Southeastern Florida is the Democrat armpit of our state. Of course they are all going to be leftist loons. It’s DWS territory (i.e. Northeastern transplants).

[Jim from C-Town]

Yea right. All those 15% of the vote that was black will replicate. None of those avenues of fraud have been closed out by new ID laws, and replicate the HIGHEST Democrat turn out in three generations.

Ain't gunna happen.

2008 was a fluke that will not replicate. A normal turn out election and he is swamped by Republican votes. In this election MORE Republicans than Democrats will vote. They are at a high water mark, The Democrats are at a historic LOW watermark and Romney LEADS decisively we are to believe that O’Bumbler will generate MORE enthusiasm than the last electrion cycle, Please.

[Alter Kaker]

All those 15% of the vote that was black will replicate. None of those avenues of fraud have been closed out by new ID laws, and replicate the HIGHEST Democrat turn out in three generations.

Hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the states that will decide the election: Ohio, Florida, Virginia and Colorado have no photo ID requirements. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin do, but we're still underdogs in both those states for other reasons. And it's not clear that Pennsylvania's requirement will even be in effect, thanks to a court challenge.

Even if black enthusiasm drops -- and I'm with you that I think it will -- you're forgetting that there are simply more Hispanic voters than there were four years ago.

[Jim from C-Town]

Ohio HAS a voter ID requirement. I have served as a poll attendant in Ohio and you MUST show ID.

As a matter of fact when requesting an absentee ballot in Ohio you MUST provide either the last four digits of your SS#, your entire OH Drivers license #. OR A Photo copy of a current AND valid photo ID, military ID, OR Current(within last 12 months) utility bill, bank statement, government check, paycheck, or other government document (other than a voter registration notification mailed by a board of elections) that shows your name AND current address.

This law has lowered the voter registrations greatly in Cuyahoga(Cleveland) County where the Democrats outnumber the Republicans two to one and where Voter fraud is an art form.

Also Cleveland has a 15mil School levy on the ballot in November and it is polling at 75 - 25 AGAINST and that brings out more right wing home owners in order to protect the several hundred dollars in annual tax increase on their properties.

I am CONFIDENT that Romney will take Ohio. I think he will win it by 250,000+ votes out of around 5,500,000 votes cast. That would be about 52% of the vote.

[Jim from C-Town]

Most people don't think at all! That is how O’Bumbler got elected.

There is a groundswell of unbridled hate for O’Bumbler. He hasn't polled above 45% approval in a valid poll in months and the economy is still crappy.

Do not be daunted. Go to the polls and drag a like minded friend with you. Stay the course. Our long national nightmare is almost over.

[Tau Food]

God will have a role to play in this election and it’s not easy to poll for that. God will be with us on November 6 just like God is with us every single day.

God shall reveal His will soon enough. We just need to be patient. Those of us who trust God know that we have nothing to worry about and that God shall soon show us the way He has chosen for us.

[Alter Kaker]

Ohio HAS a voter ID requirement. I have served as a poll attendant in Ohio and you MUST show ID.

Try reading again. I wrote that Ohio has no Photo ID requirement. I'm familiar with Ohio law. Producing an electric bill isn't a Photo ID.

Also Cleveland has a 15mil School levy on the ballot in November and it is polling at 75 - 25 AGAINST and that brings out more right wing home owners in order to protect the several hundred dollars in annual tax increase on their properties.

From your lips to God's ear -- skeptical however.

I am CONFIDENT that Romney will take Ohio. I think he will win it by 250,000+ votes out of around 5,500,000 votes cast. That would be about 52% of the vote

That's great -- I hope he does. At this point I'm not sure how he gets there unless the double dip recession proceeds quickly, Obama screws up the debates or we get some other significant event. If the election were held today, Romney would lose Ohio and probably by a fairly significant margin, but the good news is that the election isn't today.