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Netanyahu Draws Israel's Red Line for Iran Amid Secret Discussion With US On Spring Attack
Debkafiles ^ | September 27, 2012, 9:20 PM (GMT+02:00)

Posted on 09/27/2012 12:52:42 PM PDT by drewh

Addressing the UN General Assembly Thursday, Sept. 27 Israel Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu graphically depicted Israel’s red line for Iran.

He held up a simple diagram showing that Iran had covered 70 percent of the distance to a nuclear bomb and must be stopped before it reached the critical stage next spring or early summer.

He stressed that it is getting late, very late to stop a nuclear Iran.

The best way, he said, is to lay down a clear red line on the most vulnerable element of its nuclear program: uranium enrichment. “I believe that if faced with a clear and credible red line, Iran will back down and may even disband its nuclear program,” he said.

Red lines prevent wars, don’t start them and in fact deterred Iran from blocking the Strait of Hormuz.

Israel and the US are in discussion over this issue, said Netanyahu. “I’m sure we can forge a way forward together."

He went on to accuse Iran of spreading terrorist networks in two dozen countries and turning Lebanon and Gaza into terror strongholds.

Hoping a nuclear-armed Iran will bring stability is like hoping a nuclear al Qaeda will bring peace, the prime minister remarked.

Some Washington sources as disclose that the White House and Israel emissaries have come to an understanding that Israel will hold back from attacking Iran’s nuclear sites before the US election in November, while a special team led set up by President Barack Obama completes a new paper setting out the end game for Iran.

He put the team to work after concluding that negotiations with Iran had exhausted their usefulness and placed at its head Gary Samore, top presidential adviser on nuclear proliferation.

Netanyahu’s citing of late spring, early summer 2013, as the critical point on Iran’s path to a nuclear bomb appears to confirm that he has agreed to delay military action against Iran in negotiations with the White House.

Our sources report that the prime minister was represented in those talks by Defense Minister Ehud Barak and National Security Adviser Yakov Amidror.

According to another view, which is current in Washington’s intelligence community, Israel was finally persuaded by fresh intelligence presented by the Obama administration which showed that Israeli estimates were overly pessimistic in judging the timeline for Iran’s nuclear facilities to be buried in “immunity zones.”

That time line extended to spring 2013, leaving Israel five to six months up to April-May for ordering a military operation against those sites.

However, we have learned, Israeli intelligence circles dispute their American colleagues’ estimate as “interesting” but inaccurate.

Netanyahu in his speech confirmed that Washington and Jerusalem were constantly exchanging views and evaluations on the state of Iran’s nuclear program.

He also made the point that while intelligence services, American and Israeli alike, had remarkable aptitudes, their estimates on Iran were not foolproof.

TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: netanyahuunspeech; nucleariran

1 posted on 09/27/2012 12:52:47 PM PDT by drewh
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To: drewh

Straight, serious talk from the true leader of the free world.

God be with him and Israel.


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To: drewh
With the U.S. military assets in the region along with multiple other nations naval forces, I would have guessed something imminent.

3 American carrier battle groups...that's allot of firepower off the coast of Iran for training exercises.


3 posted on 09/27/2012 1:06:20 PM PDT by servantboy777
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To: drewh; maggief

Fox News (thanks maggief)

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To: onyx

the full speech

5 posted on 09/27/2012 1:33:20 PM PDT by LeoWindhorse
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To: drewh

Bibi must be 11000011000% sure Obama is going to lose if he is planning a spring attack. No deal with Obama would be honored ten seconds after he is sworn back in.

6 posted on 09/27/2012 1:35:41 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: drewh

Nov 6 will determine whether Bibi can count on the U S to support military action against Iran.
He knows it.

In the meantime Zer0 will send a letter to Abbajobbado in all UPPER case.
That’ll scare them. /s

7 posted on 09/27/2012 1:38:04 PM PDT by Vinnie (A)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

This 90% is the red line is crap.

Bibi is setting up to go against Iran VERY soon IMO.

When they say they are going to attack then just yawn.
When they set an absurdly late red line and say perhaps next spring...hold on it’s gonna be a bumpy ride.

8 posted on 09/27/2012 1:39:46 PM PDT by Bobalu (It is not obama we are fighting, it is the media.)
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To: dennisw; Cachelot; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; Lent; GregB; ..
Middle East and terrorism, occasional political and Jewish issues Ping List. High Volume

If you’d like to be on or off, please FR mail me.


9 posted on 09/28/2012 6:16:36 AM PDT by SJackson (none of this suggests there are hostile feelings for the US in Egypt, Victoria Nuland, State Dept)
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To: Vinnie
Bruce Herschenson discussed this on yesterday's Dennis Prager Show, concluding that Israel is in a "tough spot":

If Israel attacks before November 6th Israel will have U.S. support because obama would most certainly lose the election if he failed to provide it (and being re-elected is, above all else, obama's primary objective).

If Israel holds off until after the election (though he didn't say it the clear implication is they would be counting on a Romney victory), Israel would need to sit still while lame-duck obama remains in office as there would be no incentive for him to support them.

If Israel holds back until after Romney takes office in January, although they can count on U.S. support there is a real possibility it would be too late to stop Iran from developing a nuke.

Thus, Israel is faced with either attacking Iran before the election (and perhaps providing obama with an electoral majority), or waiting until after next January when it may be too late.

10 posted on 09/28/2012 6:36:20 AM PDT by glennaro
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