Posted on 10/05/2012 5:59:21 AM PDT by xzins
They definitely gear up for the Christmas shopping season, but I'm not so sure about the others. And there is also the planting/gardening season, the new fashion seasons, the school is out, vacation season, and increased construction during the warm months, etc..
Just going through WalMarts or Home Depot type stores there are several points, year-round, when they are making major changes in their stock and displays.
Somewhere in our economy, some major sector is just about always gearing up for their busy season.
Employed persons at work part time
Part time for economic reasons +582
Slack work or business conditions +306
Could only find part-time work +65
Part time for noneconomic reasons -260
**people arent buying the numbers.**
It assures President Obama’s re-election (1709)
10%
It’s proof the economy is improving (3865)
22%
It’s temporary, the worst isn’t over (2014)
11%
I don’t trust the numbers (10117) - your vote
57%
My guess is that most of these “new” jobs are Obama campaign jobs, like the SEIU members who being paid $11.00 an hour to follow Romney at his campaign stops and college students who are being paid to make phone calls.
Actually, it went up 953,000. The last number is irrelevant.
In August there was a 200,000 drop in part-time.
In September there was a nearly 600,000 gain in part-time.
Somehow or other that gets explained. My sense is gearing up for holiday hiring. I’m open to other explanations.
But, it has to be explained one way or other. Those are the numbers on the chart.
18,541 comments
on that topic,....that is hot alright!
Too hot for me to even get in and throw my usual number of fire bombs. It’s a hobby.
But what about the tens of thousands of students returning to school these past 45 days?
Holiday hiring has become. I’ve gotten calls and seen ‘now hiring’ seasonal signs.
Reporting errors, or unintentional or intentional computation errors in the Labor Department.
And with a 200,000 drop in August, then a 600,000 gain in September, that has the markings of some sort of error slopping over from one month to the next. An understatement in one month will lead to an overstatement in the month in which it is corrected.
And I'd think back-to-school hiring would take place in August since most all schools restart in August or early September. And Halloween does lead to some big, new displays of decorations, costumes and candy, but I'm not buying that Halloween leads to much new hiring.
We might not get an explanation since the gov't is unlikely to admit errors, especially intentional errors. And if there are logical explanations for such a flip/flop between August and September, the gov't should supply that explanation.
Look at this line in the above chart:
Employed
140,107 142,220 142,101 142,974 873
Somehow we gained 873,000 jobs from August to September with only 144,000 reported???!!!
You’d think they’d want to know where that nearly 900,000 job gain came from.
I heard some talking head on the news say that people who had said they were unemployed just decided they were employed.
These numbers are based on what people say????
If there’s any fudged numbers on this report, then that’s it...that 900,000 Jobs From NoWhere.
One more report on 11/2.
Election hiring and yes, some holiday hiring has begun. Haven’t you noticed that Christmas decorations appeared in stores in September this year? The early holiday season that co-incided with back to school was especially encouraged by the Obama administration. I don’t remember where I read that, probably right here on FreeRepublic, back in August.
Those numbers will be fudged, too. They’ve got to be.
4 days is enough time for an ad blitz to blow bad job numbers out of the water.
We are, as far as I can tell, looking at seasonally adjusted numbers. So, these aren't actual raw numbers from the months being compared. The more I think about the use of seasonally adjusted numbers, the more useless they seem.
Wow
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