Mitt Romney likely victory indicated by QStarNews swing state poll

examiner.com ^ | October 4, 2012 | Dean Chambers

[Ron C.]

The QStarNews poll of swing states released today shows President Obama leading 49.61 percent to 47.99 percent in the popular vote collectively in the 11 key swing states surveyed while Mitt Romney leads in seven of the 11 swing states. The QStarNews poll surveyed likely voters from Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. The poll included 2737 likely voters from those 11 states and had a margin of error of 1.87 percent.

The president has a slightly higher disapproval rating than his approval rating among the likely voters in the 11 states in the QStarNews poll. Those who somewhat approve of Obama's performance as president were 25.27 percent while 23.65 strongly approve of the president for a total approval rating of 48.92 percent. Those who disapprove were divided between 4.61 percent who somewhat disapprove and 45.38 percent who strongly disapprove for a total disapproval rate of 49.99 percent. All responses in this survey were obtained before the first debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney.

[cookcounty]

"The poll included 2737 likely voters from those 11 states and had a margin of error of 1.87 percent.

Actually, within each state, the MOE is pretty massive. 2737 divided by 11 = 249 polled in each state.

[mrs9x]

This poll is garbage...there is no way that Obama leads by double digits in Ohio, yet Romney is ahead in Michigan and Pennsylvania?

[OrangeHoof]

How does Romney win Michigan but loses Ohio???

[Lexinom]

Ohio, post 10-3, is tied. Rasumussen with a sample of 500LV has Obama up 1, while WeAskAmerica with a sample of 1200LV has Romney up 1.

Not sure from whence this +11 nonsense is arising.

[Kenny]

I thought Sarah Palin got blindsided by Biden’s lies in 2008. He made up a bunch of crap during the debate and she looked surprised a couple of times.

Of course the next day they gave Biden 200 pinnochios or something but the lies were already out there in front of a huge audience. Hope Ryan’s expecting the unexpected.

[JediJones]

The article is complete garbage. That’s why you see ridiculous results like the huge Ohio lead for Obama. Look at how many likely voters they surveyed from each state. Less than 100 in some cases. If you don’t poll around 1,000 people in each group than the results are meaningless.

IOWA
61 likely votes — 12.55 margin of error

MICHIGAN
181 likely votes — 7.28 margin of error

OHIO
209 likely votes — 6.78 margin of error

[2ndDivisionVet]

Nevada has quite of few members of Gov. Romney’s religious denomination.

[Lexinom]

Well, I've had a number of Mormon friends, customers, and coworkers over the years. I've always maintained the Mormons as a clean-cut lot with some rather kooky doctrines.

In a historical context, given their exclusively American heritage and their history, it would mean quite a bit to them if part of their story included one of their own coming to the rescue of America in her hour of great need.

Do I like Mitt Romney? No. He embodies the very 1%'er caricature for which Republicans are vilified. But he's what we've got, and he did show a fine batting average and slugging percentage last Wednesday.

[houeto]

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Thank you Ron C.!