Ipsos/Reuters: Obama 46% - Romney 44% (LV)...D+6 (RV), Indys R+6 (RV)

If the 2012 Presidential Election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?...

This is very good for Romney.

I have noticed this in the last few weeks. Apparently the pollsters got pissed about their Dem over samples being pointed out. So what they did is inflate both Dem and Rep samples and decrease the Indy sample. That way they could get the results they wanted but hide the statistical manipulation they were using to get that result.

So reweigh the poll to a 34D-31R-25Indy which is a more accurate sample and use the Indy sample split as the poll did 38% to 32% and you get an Obama 42-Romney 41 split.
The rest is either no vote, vote for 3rd party or undecided. Out of that 14% you can figure a 4% no vote or other vote leaving 10% undecided

Historically undecided break 2 to 1 to the challenger. In this case Romney. Split it that way and you get Romney 47.5 and Obama 45.5.

Now keep in mind that is merely the snapshot right now.

Looking at the internals what Romney seems to have accomplished in the 1st debate is to totally undo all the negative advertising the Mass Media and the O regime have thrown at him to date. In non partisan voters minds Romney has solidly established himself as a viable credible alternative to Obama. Based on how the trend is going, that suggest it is now Romney's race to lose. It is going to be very tough to undo the damage Obama did to himself in the 1st debate.

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.