This bump is showing up very fast and i think its going to be a lot bigger come Monday because Dems always poll better at weekends also in Rasmussen.
So basically this is a jump from Friday only because the polling on Thursday was automated during the time off the debate, so count Thursdays numbers out but if this was a big boost from Friday alone......a 4 point swing.
sorry thursday still had a lot of pro obama averages built in, thats what i meant.
I agree. The performance(s) during the debate were striking.
The press keeps relying on the fact that the challenger historically wins the first debate. This may be true, but there is a huge caveat.
What the press is missing (on purpose?) is that never in history has a sitting president, who was hailed as such a intellectual heavyweight, come out looking so bad. And never has a challenger, framed as a goofy, gaffe prone Thurston Howell III caricature, come out looking so presidential.
The media-created images of the two men were the polar opposites of the men on stage. The media, even more than Obama, was shown to be frauds. They (and $150 million in Obama ads) had developed a Hollywood version of Romney - an out of touch Gordon Gecko plutocrat, with a touch of Mormom weirdness. It all blew up in their faces on Wednesday.
I think that is what the Romney camp was counting on all along - and why they held off on advertising, etc. Chris Christie had hinted it by saying, “On Thursday this race will be turned upside down.”
I think Romney takes a lead for good and does not look back. This will be remembered forever. Books will be written based on this moment in time.
The weekday vs. weekend polling was on my mind after the debate, while I was discussing things with the friend I viewed it with. It will be nice when next Thursday finally gets here so we can see a full week’s worth of numbers.
>> Dems always poll better at weekends also in Rasmussen <<
Correct — strictly speaking — but it’s basically irrelevant to the discussion at hand, because Rasmussen always adjusts his results to eliminate the “weekend effect.”
(He also adjusts his numbers, by the way, to eliminate factors like the bias arising from the problem that eldery people are much more likely than young people to answer a landline phone.)