Posted on 10/07/2012 5:16:18 PM PDT by LS
Astabula: R down .5% from 08
Athens: was 4.3:1 D in 08, now just over 2:1
Auglaize: Rs up 2.5% over 08 (small numbers, total requests down, Rs over ½ way to entire 08 total)
Brown: Rs up 1.4% over 08 (all ballot requests down)
Carrol: Rs down 2% (small numbers 2111 total)
Champaign: big change---in 08 Rs won by 170 votes, now up almost 4:1
Clark: important county, in 08 Ds almost 2:1, now Rs have a 1000 vote advantage (about 3:2 lead) Total turnaround.
Clinton: 08, was a R 25% lead, now R 40% lead
Columbiana: 08, Ds won by 9%, now Rs up 8%
Coshocton: Rs up 4% over 08
Crawford: Ds won by 5% in 08, now trail by almost 12%; GOP already 3/5s of all 2008 absentee total in by 10/6
Cuyahoga: this is the big kahuna. Dems won by 36.6% in 08 absentees. This time, the difference is just under 6%!! Rs are already 9,000 absentee votes over 08 total!
*In the general election, ceteris paribus, this translates to a 60,000-70,000 D decline in this county alone!
Defiance, Rs 1.6% over 08
Erie: Another big D county. Margin of victory in absentees in 08 was 24%, today only 8%! Ds are 3700 short of 08 total, Rs just 790.
Fayette: Rs increased lead by 7% over 08
Franklin: Ds took this county by 21 points, and went into general with 3% lead in absentees. Today, they have a 5,500 vote deficit! A 7% net swing from 08.
Greene: Near Dayton, was a 4.2% D win in 08, now is more than 2:1 R for a 22 point swing.
Hamilton: (Cincinnati) Rs had a 3:2 lead in absentees in 08, today have a 2:1 lead
Jefferson, Ds had a 34/19 lead in 08, now lead 42/21
Lake: another important northern county, Rs have increased their % of total absentees from 5.7 to 6.3%
Licking: big swing from 34-34% of total absentees in 08 to 35-20 R advantage)
Lucas: Dems won by 25,000 votes in 08, now up only 6,000. 13 point swing in Rs favor
Mercer: Rs increase lead from 32-28 to 38-25%
Montgomery: big south-center D-heavy county. In 08 Ds had a 3:1 advantage in absentees. Today, 12,100 to 10,300, a rather massive decline. Rs within 1000 votes of already reaching 08 totals!
Muskingum: slight 1% D advantage in 08 to massive loss, more than 2:1 now.
Paulding: very small total numbers but a bellweather in that Bush won it and McCain lost it: Rs ahead in 08 absentees 33-17, today, 35-14.
Pickaway: 08 Ds had 1000 more absentees than Rs (12-point gap); today, Rs ahead by 600 votes and 14-point lead.
Portage: another 4% R increase over 08
Richland: Ds held a 400 vote edge in 08, now trail very slightly.
Ross: Ds had 17 point advantage in 08, now Rs have a 5-point advantage.
Seneca: Ds had very slight advantage in 08, Rs now have 3:2 advantage. Starke: Ds had an 8000 vote lead in 08 (44-27), now, 40-33 for a 10 point swing.
Summit: HUGE dropoff for Ds, from 43,500 ballots in 08 to 13,000. They lead this blue county, but the swing is from 47-14 to 25-18
Tuscarawas: Ds had more than 2:1 advantage in 08, now trail by 250 votes for a 25 point swing
Union: Rs had narrow 7% margin in 08, now have a 32-9% lead
Warren: important red county, no 08 data but Rs leading 4:1. McCain won, but by nowhere near this margin.
Wayne: Went D in 08 by 10%, now Rs hold a 12-point edge
Wood: Ds had a 1500 vote lead in 08 (10%) now Rs have a 100 vote lead. Big swing.
I just sent him $10. I plan to send him at least 10 more before 10/20. He’s up against some desperate Donkey big bucks down there. The race is still a toss up. Recent polls have shown Allen behind but he should gain and win it by a nose. Why? Romney will win Virginia going away. Romney’s coattails will sweep Allen to victory. Lots of conservatives and others who normally vote GOP did not vote in ‘08. They are going to show up BIG TIME this year to send the Kenyan back to his Chicago Thugville digs or better yet to Kenya. While they are in the booth, or at home filling out their absentee ballot, they are going to select Allen, too. If there is anything you and your family can do to help, do it.
When is the last day to request absentee ballots? Is it right up through election day?
Those numbers are going to increase. And 44% of that 490K came from Cuyahoga county, City of Cleveland area, which has been voting heavily Democratic for eons....350,000 of the vote loss came from the three big counties which include the three big cities of Cleveland, Columbus and Cincinnati.
In short, the Republican Sec. of State is cleaning up the voter rolls. He found our names through the United States Postal Service address list.
Someone made a comment earlier that last Friday was the deadline for the request. Which may be true and makes common sense since they are now early voting in Ohio.
I hope that answers your question....that's about all I can give on it....we moved away in 2011.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.