Posted on 10/07/2012 5:16:18 PM PDT by LS
I hope the 70k decline in Cleveland translates to 70k R/R vote. If so that is over a third of the margin needed to make up from the 08 totals, and that is just one county.
Looking really, really good. Overall, so far, total absentees down (I think mostly from Ds) but that may change with early voting. However, I’m not sure if early voting is tallied with absentees. Either way, there is no way to spin these numbers as anything except massive bad news for Obama.
Mc Pain actually won the vote on election day in ‘08
Rats were able to “bank” hundreds of thousands of votes via absentee/early voting
If trend continues and ‘Pubs are able to win on election
day looks promising
Great job ! It’s nice to get real data on the ground. There’s no way the left or the press can spin this kind of info.
“...except massive bad news for Obama...”
Absolutely excellent.
IMHO
The time for absentee ballet requests in OH expired Friday, correct?
Yah, I think. I’ve been out of state so have to catch up.
Thank you for all this encouraging information. I expect Romney to win Ohio going away. In the 3-2-1 strategy, Ohio along with Indiana is part of the “2.” Since I fully expect Romney to carry all three of the southern states that comprise the “3” (Florida, NC, and Virginia), which state will fulfill the “1” requirement? Don’t worry. Expect Romney to carry several other states, including Pa., Iowa, Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada, and maybe Michigan. It won’t be as massive a victory as the Gipper in ‘84 but will surpass the ‘04 Bush victory.
If Romney wins every Southern state plus Iowa, Colorado, and Nevada, he forces a tie which the Republicans will win.
Excellent. Thanks, LS.
As a numbers guy I thank you for this. Important to note that Dems crossover much easier than Reps, so those numbers are likely even better than they appear.
Absentees are similar here in SE Iowa.
I still don’t think Obama has locked up Oregon, Minnesota, & New jersey (Yes I said New Jersey)
Haven’t much polling data to work with but Obama polls around 50% or just above in New Jersey and thats with skewed polling.
My companies there so I travel to North Jersey quite often and can tell you most people I meet like Christie. I think this will help Romney.
Don’t be surprised if it is red Nov. 6th.
I would not rule out Romney carrying PA in 2016 if he has a successful term, but now ? I rather doubt it. Bush fell short both times and Obama is still likely to get sufficient turnout from Philadelphia no matter how he fares elsewhere.
I think WI will be hard but that is the one I want to see Romney win. CO (and probably IA) should go for Romney if he wins.
That seems like a big change from the updates last week, doesn’t it? Is it your interpretation that Rs are closing the gap as the time goes on?
I understand that Rs are rapidly closing the gap in IA as well.
in 2008 96% of ballots requested were cast
Unlikely to win all three if he loses Ohio; road to WH goes through OH
I agree, I have thought all along that MN and OR are going to be VERY close. And that spells trouble elsewhere...
I don’t understand - does this also include early voting by party?
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