Skip to comments.Rasmussen Daily Tracking: MON 10/08: R:48% O:48% Obama -11%
Posted on 10/08/2012 6:38:40 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Monday, October 08, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
While there have been modest swings in recent months that have favored one candidate over the other, the overall picture is of a race that is both stable and very close. Over the past 100 days of tracking, Romney and Obama have been within two points of each other 72 times. Additionally, on 89 of those 100 days, the candidates have been within three points of each other. That is exceedingly close in a poll with a three percentage-point margin of error. See daily tracking history.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
This with a D +3.5 model.
Absolutely correct. The weekend bump now moves Obama up to being tied with Romney. He’s losing traction. I wish it were better news, but this is not bad. He’s in trouble. I will like it better when he remains behind even with the weekend bump.
Ras is still using his heavy dem bias on this poll.
All other polls today are confirming a 16% lead with independents for Romney, that means game over for Obama. McCain lost indies by 8 points at 52-44...They are showing Obama to Romney 52-35, even worse than what McCain polled.
I’d wait until Thursday before we can definitively say whether there is any big movement.
Looks like Romney got a huge bump on Thursday. And then Obama got a bump from jobs report. But not much.
So after debate and jobs report, edge I would say is with Romney. He was down 2 (pre debate/pre jobs report), and now even - and this is also a 3day weekend poll, Fri-Sat-Sun, which tends to favor Obama.
Let’s see where we are upon Friday morning’s poll release.
That should shake out the noise and provide a clearer picture of where race really stands. I think Romney will be up by 2-3 points.
Who gives a flying sh&& what Ras says! Unreal how anyone could fall for this tripe. 2010 was a sweep of huge proportions for conservatives. 2 years later the turd has done even more damage to our republic and people are falling for this BS!?
I thought it was determined to be D+5 now.
Not too bad considering the weekend.
The debate fundamentally shifted the race a solid two clicks in the right direction IMO.
Exactly 4 years ago today, Rasmussen had McCain down 7 to Obama at 52-45...I’d say Romney is holding his own just fine.
In 2008 thats all anyone talked about (indys). Now crickets, I wonder why
someone claimed that he reversed engineered Ras to get +3.5 D.
Ras himself i think said he had to up the dem bias as he could’nt get enough GOP’ers to participate, refused to participate.
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I want more than 2 clicks LOL Romney should be burying that man...just don’t understand this country :(
Ryan will be in Swanton, OH today then later to Rochester, MI.
From what I have heard from reading polling bloggers (Jay Cost, Sean Trende, etc), Rasmussen is using a D+3 or so sample (could be 3.5). I never heard of him using a D+5 this year.
And don’t forget, Rasmussen still has Republicans up +2.6 in party id - ending in September.
In 2010 for example, the September party id was D+2.1. And we know what happened 30 days later.
This will be a landslide of even bigger proportions, IMO.
The polls are pollster self interest biased. Usually politically correct, showing Obama having an edge and also promoting a close race for business money reasons. It is not that it isn’t close but there are so much self interests and agendas involved that the purpose of the polls to show reality/truth is completely thwarted.
But McCain did lose. So how does that compare to this?