Posted on 10/09/2012 5:29:51 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2
AZ: Open (R) CT: Open (D) IN: Open (R) MA: Brown (R) MO: McCaskill (D) MT: Tester (D) NV: Heller (R) ND: Open (D) OH: Brown (D) VA: Open (D) WI: Open (D)
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
It is important that Ryan keep up the pressure against Vice President Hairplugs in the coming debate. Some might say it's only the VP slot, but it's really a battle of ideologies.
We need the Senate to advance the Right agenda.
some good news.
Breaking…new WBUR Poll: Scott Brown Leads Warren By 4 Points – same poll had her up two last month http://wbur.fm/UC9IIT
I’m in MA and I think Brown will win. I was watching the senate debate in Montana last night. Rehberg is a great guy! No nonsense, and honest talker. Tester is nothing but a democratic tool. I hope he loses.
To that point, I think most of the Senate polls on RCP were pre-debate. I think you will see several of these seats shift away from the Wrong and toward the Right in the coming days.
Yep, each is a race unto itself. Brown is no gem, but he is miles of improvement over Warren.
A little more readable list:
AZ: Open (R)
CT: Open (D)
IN: Open (R)
MA: Brown (R)
MO: McCaskill (D)
MT: Tester (D)
NV: Heller (R)
ND: Open (D)
OH: Brown (D)
VA: Open (D)
WI: Open (D)
CT: McMahon (R) leads Murphy (D) by 3, but the polls are sort of old
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2923722/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2921618/posts
Don’t forget Nebraska. And I think Florida and Michigan are winnable. And Maine’s a possible. And Smith is closing in on Casey in PA. And who knows, Ron Paul’s guy Curt Bills could be an upset in MN.
CT: McMahon (R) leads Murphy (D) by 3, but the polls are sort of old.
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
I was listening to Dick Morris on Hannity earlier this week. He was saying that as a result of the debate, in the Presidential race, that CT, PA, MN, and OR are now in play.
It would follow that any Senate races in those states are now in play as well. I like Linda’s chances in CT.
People want to vote for the winner, and they don’t want to vote for a loser.
Yes, Nebraska appears ready to elect R Deb Fischer (running against D Bob Kerrey) to take over the seat held by D Ben Nelson.
Pretty sure Sherrod "I'm a Nimrod" Brown (D - out of Cleveland) will loose ... based on the Republican increases throughout the state and Rat voter registration losses especially in Cleveland and throughout the state in Absentee Ballot numbers.
Three more debates like the last one would almost certainly produce some coat tails. The more R the Senate the better. RINOs can be lead by the nose if you’ve got momentum and a winning hand. And a really big win this year will put fear into large bunch of Rats there up in 2014. The easier to get to 60 votes the better.
I watched some of that Montana debate. What a slugfest! And Tester was not a nice guy . . . several below the belt jabs. Rehberg seemed less polished but more likeable.
“And a really big win this year will put fear into large bunch of Rats there up in 2014. The easier to get to 60 votes the better.”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Excellent point. The 2014 races will be the echo of 2008, when a lot of D’s sailed in behind Obama’s coattails.
In 2014, there are 33 Senate races - of these, 20 are D and 13 are R:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2014
If we could get to, say, 51-49 in 2012, then we would need 21-12 in 2014 to get to 60.
But we would have to deliver in the 2012 elections, then really push the Conservative agenda for two years to make success in 2014 a reality.
But I’ll take majorities in both Houses of Congress as a start. One step at a time.
So, assuming the new poll for Brown in MA holds true and he wins, that means a pick-up for Repubs in NE and OH. We would just need one more without a loss (with a Romney victory) to control the Senate. Where so you see it? I’m afraid I don’t see it in FL, CT, MI, PA or even VA. Priebus keeps talking about HI, but I think that is a long shot. Maybe WI if Thompson can get his act together. SO, I guess it comes down to closes races in MT and ND. We must win one of those. Ironically, it may be in MO. I can’t believe we are doing this badly. Maybe it will all turn for us, though. Pray. Harry Reid is evil. Pray hard!
Rasmussen has Murphy (D) ahead 51%-46%. :-(
The anger of the electorate.
The media is busy telling us all that the Romney we saw the other night wasn't what we saw, and that the economy that is making our lives more difficult doesn't exist......which in essence is treating the voters like the idiots they think we all are
The problem for the media is: that a picture says a thousand words.....WE KNOW WHAT WE SAW and it didn't match the image that the media has been conjuring for us. Michael Devers knew that people pay more attention to what they see rather then what they're told and this was true when Ronald Reagan was President.
If the media keeps trying to tell us we were all imagining Romney was Presidential and knowledgeable they are in danger of creating the momentum to get people to vote possibly a straight Republican ticket.
I am usually reserved in my political prognostications, but for 18 months I have said to my wife and grown children and close friends that I am as sure as one can be that Obama would lose this election. And as sure as I was that long ago, I have only become more certain over time.
I know that this level of confidence is foolish, but there it is. I have tried to look at the data and the unfolding of events and be more reasonable, and to anyone other than my closest family/friends I have been confident but guarded. But I have become ever more convinced. And it’s not just a gut feeling. It really is based on what I read and see and hear.
Anyway, recent events have not simply validated what I have long felt. Rather they suggest to me that this could be the greatest shellacking in electoral history. Among the many reasons:
* Dems across the board are trapped. Now that the poop has hit the fan, finally, it’s too late to walk back from the egregiously hard lines they have taken for 4 years, and that with all of the recent hubris have actually hardened. The are all stuck taking what now are transparently obviously bad positions on a wide range of issues; and they have no choice but to stand by a president who looks to be melting down.
* The MSM are not trapped, and will do all that they can to be the first in the life boats to get off the Titanic. Bill Maher is talking about BO using weed. David Brooks is in the NYTimes today with a piece on drafting Hillary Clinton in 2016! The list goes on. These smarmy know-nothings do not want to be the last ones off of a sinking ship. Watch them turn!
* Even the biased polls show markedly less enthusiasm recently for “divided government.” Voters for decades have thought it would be wise to have D’s hold one branch of government and R’s to hold the other. But that has been a disaster for awhile now, and voters no longer believe it. If Romney’s lead grows, I believe that we’ll have even more than the usual coattails down the rest of the ticket.
* America’s adversaries around the world do not overlook opportunities to make the US look bad, and this is their best chance for years to come. I predict more embarrassments in the coming weeks.
I could go on. Now ... maybe Biden won’t be as bad tonight as I anticipate. Maybe BO will find a way not to have a second and third debate as bad as the first. Maybe there is too little time left for Putin or the Pakistanis or Iran to p*ss on the US again. On the other hand, ...
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