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For the past month, as Mitt Romney trailed badly in almost every poll, especially in the all-important battleground states, I continued to predict a big Romney victory. Today I’m making it official.

READ ON TO UNDERSTAND MY REASONS...

1 posted on 10/09/2012 10:03:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Someone posted this a few days ago:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

I looked at the state by state breakdown over the last three presidential election cycles. If you just include the states that went to obama last time, but normally went R with the ones Romney has sewn up now, Romney wins. And he’ll get at least that.

That is when I stopped worrying even a little bit.


2 posted on 10/09/2012 10:06:01 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Obama down bigtime, Romney up on Intrade as well.


3 posted on 10/09/2012 10:08:33 AM PDT by bigbob
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To: SeekAndFind; All

We will look even better when Ryan finishes his debate with Neil Kinnoch....

NEIL KINNOCK at Welsh Labour Party conference May 1987:

“Why am I the first Kinnock in a thousand generations to be able to get to university? Was it because our predecessors were thick? Does anybody really think that they didn’t get what we had because they didn’t have the talent or the strength or the endurance or the commitment? Of course not. It was because there was no platform upon which they could stand”

JOE BIDEN IN Sept 1987 during his first presidential campaign:

“Why is it that Joe Biden is the first in his family ever to go a university? Why is it that my wife... is the first in her family to ever go to college? Is it because our fathers and mothers were not bright? ...Is it because they didn’t work hard? My ancestors who worked in the coal mines of northeast Pennsylvania and would come after 12 hours and play football for four hours? It’s because they didn’t have a platform on which to stand.”


4 posted on 10/09/2012 10:10:49 AM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I heard Wayne Allen Root on the Joe Paggs show this morning. He is one of many on Obama’s enemies list who are currently being audited by the IRS.


5 posted on 10/09/2012 10:11:05 AM PDT by BradtotheBone (Moderate Democrat - A politician whose voting record leans left and whose vote can be bought.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I bought my election night fireworks last week.


6 posted on 10/09/2012 10:12:53 AM PDT by Obadiah (The corrupt MSM is the enemy of the American people.)
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To: SeekAndFind
The numbers are actually pretty easy to believe. If Romney has 43% that will vote for him no matter what and Obama has 42% that will do the same, that leaves 15% "undecided". If they break 2-1 against the incumbent (not an unreasonable assumption - see The Incumbent Rule), that gives Romney a 6% victory.

With regards to the EC, the 100-120 margin is consistent with the modeling by the two Colorado professors who have been right since 1980.

I think the only question is whether it will be bigger than 6% and be a complete landslide. If most of the independents go to Romney (again, see The Incumbent Rule) and the under 34's stay home, we could be talking about a 10 point margin of victory in the popular vote.

8 posted on 10/09/2012 10:15:14 AM PDT by Pete (Check out an 11 year old entrepreneur: boodlies.com)
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To: SeekAndFind

Just finished the article. Excellent read. I look to those with good track records for predictions. It’s why Rasmussen and Pew are the only polls that matter to me at all.


9 posted on 10/09/2012 10:16:40 AM PDT by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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To: SeekAndFind

As we say in Shul: “From your mouth to G-d’s ears!”


10 posted on 10/09/2012 10:20:24 AM PDT by ssaftler (With apologies to Gene Kranz: "Obama is not an option")
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To: SeekAndFind

I worry a little Dems will try something unethical; voter fraud, ballot dumping. i worry more that Obama’s lies, and the MSM who stump for him daily will dupe enough morons into voting for a second term.
I pray that there’s enough common sense left in this country to elect some semblance of a conservative, but unless we turn this ship around, Romney will just be a stumbling block on the road to complete socialism.


11 posted on 10/09/2012 10:24:49 AM PDT by No_More_Harkin
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To: SeekAndFind
I am a Las Vegas oddsmaker...

Is there an application and an interview process for the job?

13 posted on 10/09/2012 10:33:11 AM PDT by Last Dakotan
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To: SeekAndFind

This is a very interesting article. Little reported in the news media is that Obama is tanking in Illinois of all places. Yes of course Obama will carry one party Chicago, but the suburbs and counties surrounding the city have turned sharply against him. The Dems have all but ruined Illinois and there is huge voter discontent in that state. Outside of the city limits of Chicago, Obama’s support in Illinois is tenous at best. The Romney campaign should start focusing there.


15 posted on 10/09/2012 10:44:11 AM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: SeekAndFind
Intrade.com:


18 posted on 10/09/2012 10:49:46 AM PDT by cynwoody
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To: SeekAndFind
Every poll at the time showed Kerry in the lead. Bush won by 3 and 35

. I do remember that. It was once again democrap lies and wishful thinking that Kerry was ahead, when in fact, he was never ahead. In fact, he fell way behind in August when the truthful Swift Boaters came out.

22 posted on 10/09/2012 11:02:22 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: SeekAndFind; pookie18
ROMNEY LANDSLIDE
23 posted on 10/09/2012 11:03:03 AM PDT by FrankR (They will become our ultimate masters the day we surrender the 2nd Amendment.)
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To: SeekAndFind

ping


30 posted on 10/09/2012 11:53:25 AM PDT by ducttape45
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To: SeekAndFind

“I can’t wait to Vote” I hope I have to stand in line for an hour. I want a MANDATE.

TT


31 posted on 10/09/2012 12:14:25 PM PDT by TexasTransplant (Radical islam is islam. Moderate islam is the Trojan Horse.)
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To: SeekAndFind; ExTexasRedhead
for later read ...................................... FRegards
32 posted on 10/09/2012 7:04:45 PM PDT by gonzo ( Buy more ammo, dammit! You should already have the firearms ... FRegards)
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