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OH Absentee Update (Wow: Numbers get better!)
George Mason University Early Voting Project ^ | 10/10/2012 | George Mason University

Posted on 10/10/2012 11:17:02 AM PDT by LS

Here are the lastest #s from OH

Astabula Co: Dems +1 (100 vote diff)

Carroll: Dems +1 (100 vote diff)

Champaign: Rs 3:1, up 20 points over 08

Clark: Rs up, 19-point swing from 08

Columbiana: Rs lost 08 by 6,000 votes, now up 400, and Rs have 3/4 of all 2008 vote numbers in already (18 point swing)

Cuyahoga: Rs doing 6 points better than 08 was 52-15, now 53-22). Total Ds down 10k from 08, Rs up 11k

Franklin: was 18-15 D in 08, now 19-16 R (up 5,000 votes for 6-point swing)

Greene: Ds won in 08 33-29, now R 33-14 (22 point swing)

Hamilton: was 5% R lead in 08, now 11%; R ballots almost already at 08 levels

Lake: Rs up 1 point over 08

Licking: Rs up 15 points over 08

Lucas: Ds won 3:1 in 08, now not even 2:1

Montgomery: (very important D county) BIG gains for Rs---in 08, the margin was 3:1 by 22,000 ballots. Today? only 2500 diff!!

Muskingham: tie in 08, now Rs up big (2.3:1)

Pickaway: Ds won by 1000 votes in 08, Rs now up 2:1

Portage: Rs already at almost 08 levels---5 points ahead of 08 spread

Seneca: Rs gained 11 points

Starke: Rs 10 point gain

Summit In 08 Rs lost 3;1, now within 200 votes for a 10-point swing

Trumbull: 15-point R gain

Tuscarawas: was 2:1 D in 08, now Rs up 3% (a 27-point shift)

Wood: 9% D win in 08, now tied


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; obama; ohio; romney
I did not include counties in which there were no updates from 10/8, or counties that had no 08 data to compare with (very few really important counties), or counties that had no real change. But if you notice, these are the biggies, esp. Montgomery, Cuyahoga, Hamilton, and Franklin. The trends are overwhelmingly in the direction of a seismic flip in the direction of Rs.
1 posted on 10/10/2012 11:17:05 AM PDT by LS
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To: LS

Thanks for reporting the good news.


2 posted on 10/10/2012 11:19:58 AM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: LS

Nobody can predict the future. Still, we all try. I will tell you, though, that if Romnoid takes Ohio, we will be talking about a near-Mondale-grade crushing of 0bama.


3 posted on 10/10/2012 11:21:29 AM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (This stuff we're going through now, this is nothing compared to the middle ages.)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder
About predicting, yes and no. True political experts like Michael Barone can tell you from two or three precincts in two or three counties who will win an election if he knows the vote in those districts.

If, when absentee/early voting is over, Obama has not won Hamilton and Franklin counties and doesn't have at least a 30-point edge in Cuyahoga, yes, I can predict the future. That's a Romney win.

4 posted on 10/10/2012 11:26:29 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

When is the absentee ballot cutoff?

Also, when does in-person early voting start?


5 posted on 10/10/2012 11:27:41 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: LS

Romney will win the election 55-45. ‘Fraid so!


6 posted on 10/10/2012 11:30:52 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: LS
Wow!!!.....You could probably put Summit in there too...what a swing in that county too.

Thanks for continuing to watch this...

Gotta go pass on the good news to my family and friends in Ohio now.

7 posted on 10/10/2012 11:34:31 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: mrs9x
According to the board of elections website for the state an Absentee ballot can be requested up until 12 noon on the Saturday before the election. It must be turned in by 7:30pm on election day to be counted.

Early in-person voting has already started......

8 posted on 10/10/2012 11:37:00 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: LS

Thank you for your on going information.

It is evident the country’s 3 plus years “of our veil of tears” is almost gone.


9 posted on 10/10/2012 11:40:07 AM PDT by Recon Dad (Gas & Petroleum Junkie)
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To: LS

Nice!

Can I still ‘roll it and smoke it’ as to the accuracy? Lol :0)


10 posted on 10/10/2012 11:42:06 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder
If you have Picture in Picture, PIP, you might want to line up your channels now.....the media meltdown is going to be ...

How to the kids say it?......

EPIC!


11 posted on 10/10/2012 11:45:43 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: thingumbob

Will we have any statistics on the early voting, such as the party ID of those who have voted?


12 posted on 10/10/2012 11:48:02 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: mrs9x

What I meant to ask is whether we will have statistics on the party ID of those who vote early in person.


13 posted on 10/10/2012 11:48:47 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: GilGil
Romney will win the election 55-45. ‘Fraid so!

That's my prediction since sometime last month.

14 posted on 10/10/2012 12:01:11 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: thingumbob
Pop Corn Epic Meltdown......

A history lesson to learn: HOW NOT TO GOVERN and report the news...

" COOL ! "
15 posted on 10/10/2012 12:24:14 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: mrs9x; LS; Ravi
What I meant to ask is whether we will have statistics on the party ID of those who vote early in person.

I can't anwser that one.....I am no longer in state and to be honest I think this might be the first time Ohio has done early voting. I don't remember ever having the opportunity to do this in all the years I lived there.

So, I'm pinging LS and Ravi with this reply to you. They're both doing a lot of heavy lifting on this info and they might be able to answer your question.

16 posted on 10/10/2012 12:32:50 PM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: thingumbob

If cable channels were smart, they’d make MSNBC pay-per-view on election night.


17 posted on 10/10/2012 12:36:33 PM PDT by BuckeyeGOP
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To: American Constitutionalist

You got that right!


18 posted on 10/10/2012 12:39:58 PM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: BuckeyeGOP

LOL.....

Might even break even with the budget that night too....
19 posted on 10/10/2012 12:42:33 PM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: thingumbob; LS; mrs9x

Early voting is considered a part of absentee voting in OH only. It is separate in other states but for some reason they lump it together with absentee voting in OH. Don’t know why. Great job LS btw.


20 posted on 10/10/2012 12:51:18 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

Thanks for the reply..... and keep up the good work BTW.


21 posted on 10/10/2012 12:55:21 PM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder
Nobody can predict the future. Still, we all try.

Two prediction for tomorrow:

1.) At 6:53 AM ET, the sun will rise over Boston.
2.) Beginning at 9:00 PM and running until 10:30 PM ET, Paul Ryan will beat Joe Biden like a rented mule.

22 posted on 10/10/2012 1:04:31 PM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (Kafka in the throes of a demonic possession could not have come up with the "tuck rule".)
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

“......Paul Ryan will beat Joe Biden like a rented mule.”

That statement is animalist!


23 posted on 10/10/2012 1:23:58 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (This stuff we're going through now, this is nothing compared to the middle ages.)
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To: thingumbob

We did early voting last year for the first time. BTW, spoke with the count co-chairwoman today. She isn’t ready to call it for Romney, but said in our county we registered MORE in August than the Dems, and that their “register/same day vote” was a huge disappointment. They had 1400, but expected thousands. They had a three entire floors with folding chairs set up that were empty. She thought our organization was very good.


24 posted on 10/10/2012 3:36:27 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS; ADemocratNoMore; Akron Al; arbee4bush; agrace; ATOMIC_PUNK; Badeye; Bikers4Bush; ...

Ohio Ping!
To be added to the Ohio Ping List, please freepmail,
(the three of us) Flutters, Whenifhow, and LasVegasDave.


25 posted on 10/10/2012 3:41:15 PM PDT by Las Vegas Dave (".....All 57 states (or is it 58?) must stand together and defeat O'bozo!.....")
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

2.) Beginning at 9:00 PM and running until 10:30 PM ET, Paul Ryan will beat Joe Biden like a rented mule.

Will they at least get the deposit back???


26 posted on 10/10/2012 4:04:46 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: Kolath

It is Ryan vs (Biden and Moderator)

two vs one.


27 posted on 10/10/2012 4:13:10 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: LS
I have a friend whose wife goes to a lot of discount outlets in the Northeastern Ohio area looking for a good deal on stuff she needs around the house. Well, in both Cleveland and Cuyahoga Falls two days apart from one another about two weeks ago when she was leaving the Obozo people were there trolling for absentee voters...

She got pinned down both times by some pretty scraggly looking characters, she said they looked like those Occupy Wall Street types, and asked if she was registered or needed a ballot......told both yes she was registered and then promised them both she and the whole family was gonna vote for Obozo on election day out of fear......which of course she and her whole family will not. They're all voting for Romney in Summit County. She apparently, went so far as to tell them her son (who goes to Univ. of Dayton) has already sent his absentee ballot in.....what she didn't tell them was that his vote was another vote for Romney.

I've been keeping them updated with all the good work you've been doing and she's overjoyed...and the family went to the Romney rally in Cuyahoga falls last night. Too many people to handle the crowd.

Also said the Romney campaign headquarters, Summit county area, is all out of Romney signage and waiting for more to come....another good sign, I'll pass on your new news too......

28 posted on 10/10/2012 4:43:09 PM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: thingumbob

Who’se the son? I teach at UD.


29 posted on 10/10/2012 5:24:30 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

You can factor in two more votes from Lake Co. ;)


30 posted on 10/11/2012 3:48:23 AM PDT by bonfire
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To: LS

Did you see on the news that a few Daytonians were organizing public school students who could vote to go get registered? Probably early voting too. The local news story made it look like they were being lectured to just prior to registering and voting.


31 posted on 10/11/2012 6:17:43 AM PDT by Eagle of Liberty (We the People are coming!!)
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To: Eagle of Liberty

Yep.


32 posted on 10/11/2012 6:54:28 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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