If Romney keeps Washtenaw County under 60% and Wayne under 66% Obama he'll win the state.
What was said was Romney is ahead in Oakland, Macomb ( home of the "Reagan Democrats" and 2 points ahead in Wayne County.
In 2008
Oakland -- 56%-42% for Obama 96,000 vote margin.
Macomb -- 53%-45% for Obama 36,000 vote margin
Wayne -- 74%-25% for Obama 440,000 vote margin
I have a hard time believing that Romney is ahead in Wayne. If he is, it is all over.
Unless the decline of Detroit has caused a massive population change in Wayne county, I do not see how it goes republican.
Gravis Marketing Poll - Michigan
Obama 46%
Romney 44.4%
Dems- 36.5%, Rep 32.2%, Ind 32.3%
http://gravismarketing.blogspot.com/2012/10/latest-poll-michigan-shows.html
Dude...you better get over to South Detroit (you know...home of the “ballet”) and recruit a few ex-pat voters to make sure “Romeny” get the numbers.
Oh...and give “Tabitha” a five-spot on my behalf. Just mention my name, she will remember.
..wasn’t Macomb the county that every Michigan watcher kept their eyes on because of the strong presence of Reagan Democrats? If Michigan goes RED it will be a complete route nationally...
I’d like to think it’s possible, but no. Thank Prop 2 for that, among others. Once those unionist voters get into their polling stations, they’ll flip for Obama—he’s just not what’s driving them to the polls.