Posted on 10/14/2012 8:35:46 AM PDT by GonzoII
Erie threw out Blue Dog Dem Kathy Dahlkemper, too.
I like your tsunami analogy. The wave is high when it hits because the ocean is deep but the shore is shallow.
That’s assuming Philly and Pitts don’t vote early and often. They didn’t in 2010. If they stay home, its possible Romney has a shot and Casey may lose his re-election bid.
We also have a strong Catholics-for-Romney group here,” Pa is 53% Catholic.
If they got the resources and money to make a effort in PA then why not ?
I don’t know what the ad money situation is for R/R. If they need to be choosy, I say they need to concentrate on VA first — I know, everyone says OH.... I just don’t trust that NoVA won’t eff it up for the rest of the state. OH second, FL third. Anything leftover, they’ll need to determine the best of the best among CO, WI, & PA.
Just a humble FReeper opine.
I hope they can make a dent for Romney!
Are they are going to be able to strip away dems in counties such as Montgomery and Chester?
I can’t speak directly to the easter counties one by one, but I can say that Romney (like any republican) just needs to come out of Philly without getting completely swamped and if he can do that, he’ll win the state.
It is blindingly clear that Obama will NOT get the support ANYWHERE in the state he did in ‘08. So Romney should come out of Eastern PA with winning being possible.
If you got rid of the Philly region PA would be as reliably RED as any southern state. The problem is Philly absolutely swamps the system.. Philly has 1.5 MILLION people in it alone, not the metro area, that’s just the CITY. It represents over 10% of the overall state population.
The weakness of Obama in PA is one of the reasons I have been saying since day one, the notion that Ohio is in play is LUDICROUS! Ohio and PA are very very similar politically, the difference is Ohio doesn’t have a cancer that is part of the North East Libguard skewing its state. Cinci and Cleveland are NOWHERE near the size of Philly, they are more like a Pittsburgh, and while the urban centers of Ohio will continue to go dem, most likely they won’t carry them by huge margins, and INDIES and LOTS OF DEMOCRATS have kiss this idiot GoodBye.
Obama has never had a chance in ANY rust belt state where a insanely large city cannot swamp the vote. Which is why, Obama will lose, IA, IN, OH and WI. MI and PA are the battleground here, because the support OBama enjoyed in those supercities is way way down, and idies have abandoned him. So IL is probably safe for him thanks to Chicago, and MN is probably safe because frankly the state has always been more socialist than any of its neighbors.
MI and PA are the battleground folks, and both I believe can be won. Will they be? Who knows, but I do know that Romney does have a ground game in PA that has been more effective (at least by their own reports) than McCain ever was. I don’t know what Romney is doing with PA, but I can say I have suddenly seen a LOT more political signs in the last week or two almost all Romney.. though I don’t put huge faith in yard sign as a tell these days, but I haven’t seen really any political ads from either side here lately... That leads me to assume the R/R campaign have conceded the state. I have seen some PACs and things running ads, but even that hasn’t been much.
So if they are fighting for PA I’m glad to hear it, but until I see an ad buy, I am going to remain dubious to the reports.
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