Posted on 10/17/2012 7:19:37 AM PDT by Perdogg
Rasmussen New Hampshire (0bama 50 ; Romney 49) (MoE 4.5%)
Rasmussen you notice is basically putting nearly every poll in a swingstate neck and neck. I think he’s doing it on purpose now. He’s putting them all within MOE. I dont think any of these pollsters have a clue whats going on out in the country.
I find the 50/49 stat very difficult to believe.
If Ras is using a +3 D model for NH he is probably out of bounds. He should be using a +2 R model w/44 I for NH.
In 2008 it was D +2 (Dem 29, Rep 27, Ind 45) and in 2004 it was R+7 (Dem 25, Rep 32, Ind 44).
What were the NH percentages in the 2010 mid-terms, and why weren’t those used for this sample?
Get ready for the Obumbler surge...you see only EVIL rats get to do overs and the stupid party gets a bend over and hold ankles opportunities. WHY THE HELL did the RNC agree to a freakin CNN debate circus....I’m just so pissed that if I would come across a liberal reporter I would bitch slap them. I’M SICK OF THIS SHIT...SICK!!
I say Romney wins NH but the media holds back announcing it to keep the West out there voting.
All polls use a weighted scale like this one below....
How's the American Idol contract coming......Just kidding....
Can't say but Post number 4 gives you a clue as to what happenind within the state in 2010.....
The reason the 2010 numbers weren't used is because Obozo wouldn't look like he has a chance of winning and that doesn't feed into the Media's storyline of desired results.
I guess, based upon those numbers, NH’s “Live Free or Die” motto is just more political lying BS.
How could anyone believing in freedom want another nano-second living under this Marxist communist administration?
They have a clue. Huge margin of error covers their behinds.
There is a major pollster out there that the justice department is going after! How many of these guys have had that same justice department ask them if they would like to join in on that treatment. Somehow I doubt these polling companies have the capital for those type of court fights.
We are not going to see the real picture until the last week of the election. It will be shown as a dog fight until the last second, and it always is unless the dem is winning even with out the attack on free speech and being able to run your company with out dem over-site.
Republicans are never winning in polls even if they win the election in a landslide since I have been watching (Reagan/Carter) until the last poll. It is always portrayed as a dog fight...absolutely nothing new about this....Rasmussen was the only exception in the past and looks like even he has knuckled under this election....big deal.
Then Ras can be off by about 10%, or in other words, Romney is winning the state by 10% with MoE included.
I get 5-8 polling calls a day in NH.
I always say, the registered voter is out buying more ammo.
I guess I’m in the 4.5% MOE.
I think about two weeks ago Ras was bypassed by the other pollsters because of his adherence to the “+D” model. No matter. We know what’s going on and what the likely numbers are, and they aren’t pretty for Zero.
I would like the final Romney victory to be totally crushing to the MSM. I want them left 100% clueless as to how they screwed up so badly. I want their misery and stupidity on public display to the point of the public at large and advertisers more so wondering what the heck is their mental problem. I want advertisers to pull their ads out of fear of being associated with such dross of humanity.
If you see the drive-bys hesitating to call NH on election night, you’ll know it’s a blowout. Romney can win without NH, but it’s “nice to have.”
Interesting to see how all the major races in Red Hampshire seem to be ‘neck and neck’...there is a possibility that NH could wind up with an all female Congressional delegation...U.S. House AND U.S. Senate...three of them very radical leftists. Another one might wind up as Governor...
Even the 'Old Man of the Mountain'; upon seeing the number of U-Hauls with Massachusetts and New York plates passing by on the interstate below; took his own life by plunging down the mountainside nearly 10 years ago...
Even the 'Old Man of the Mountain'; upon seeing the number of U-Hauls with Massachusetts and New York plates passing by on the interstate below; took his own life by plunging down the mountainside nearly 10 years ago...
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