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Rasmussen New Hampshire (0bama 50 ; Romney 49) (MoE 4.5%)
Rassmussen ^

Posted on 10/17/2012 7:19:37 AM PDT by Perdogg

Rasmussen New Hampshire (0bama 50 ; Romney 49) (MoE 4.5%)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
Crosstabs to subscribers only
1 posted on 10/17/2012 7:19:39 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Perdogg

Rasmussen you notice is basically putting nearly every poll in a swingstate neck and neck. I think he’s doing it on purpose now. He’s putting them all within MOE. I dont think any of these pollsters have a clue whats going on out in the country.


2 posted on 10/17/2012 7:22:18 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: Perdogg
Too many people in this nation need their hands held by government before crossing the street.
3 posted on 10/17/2012 7:23:49 AM PDT by ConservativeStatement (Obama "acted stupidly.")
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To: Perdogg
In 2010 the voters of NH purged both their US House seats of the filthy moonbat Rats that held them and replaced them with real Republicans.In the same election they sent a Republican to the US Senate *and* flipped both houses of their state legislature to Republican....*veto-proof* Republican control.And just a few months ago the state legislature enacted a voter ID law *over* the veto of their Rat governor.

I find the 50/49 stat very difficult to believe.

4 posted on 10/17/2012 7:27:22 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: Gay State Conservative; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; ...

If Ras is using a +3 D model for NH he is probably out of bounds. He should be using a +2 R model w/44 I for NH.

In 2008 it was D +2 (Dem 29, Rep 27, Ind 45) and in 2004 it was R+7 (Dem 25, Rep 32, Ind 44).


5 posted on 10/17/2012 7:35:51 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

What were the NH percentages in the 2010 mid-terms, and why weren’t those used for this sample?


6 posted on 10/17/2012 7:44:02 AM PDT by Arm_Bears (Re-distribute my work ethic, not my wealth.)
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To: Perdogg

Get ready for the Obumbler surge...you see only EVIL rats get to do overs and the stupid party gets a bend over and hold ankles opportunities. WHY THE HELL did the RNC agree to a freakin CNN debate circus....I’m just so pissed that if I would come across a liberal reporter I would bitch slap them. I’M SICK OF THIS SHIT...SICK!!


7 posted on 10/17/2012 7:44:52 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: Gay State Conservative
Hey GSC.....You're right....These polls are to help Rasmussen avoid a Justice department threat of a lawsuit.

I say Romney wins NH but the media holds back announcing it to keep the West out there voting.

All polls use a weighted scale like this one below....

How's the American Idol contract coming......Just kidding....

8 posted on 10/17/2012 7:45:35 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: Arm_Bears
What were the NH percentages in the 2010 mid-terms, and why weren’t those used for this sample

Can't say but Post number 4 gives you a clue as to what happenind within the state in 2010.....

The reason the 2010 numbers weren't used is because Obozo wouldn't look like he has a chance of winning and that doesn't feed into the Media's storyline of desired results.

9 posted on 10/17/2012 7:51:04 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: Perdogg

I guess, based upon those numbers, NH’s “Live Free or Die” motto is just more political lying BS.

How could anyone believing in freedom want another nano-second living under this Marxist communist administration?


10 posted on 10/17/2012 7:51:06 AM PDT by Wurlitzer (Nothing says "ignorance" like Islam!)
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To: sunmars
Rasmussen you notice is basically putting nearly every poll in a swingstate neck and neck. I think he’s doing it on purpose now. He’s putting them all within MOE. I dont think any of these pollsters have a clue whats going on out in the country.

They have a clue. Huge margin of error covers their behinds.

There is a major pollster out there that the justice department is going after! How many of these guys have had that same justice department ask them if they would like to join in on that treatment. Somehow I doubt these polling companies have the capital for those type of court fights.

We are not going to see the real picture until the last week of the election. It will be shown as a dog fight until the last second, and it always is unless the dem is winning even with out the attack on free speech and being able to run your company with out dem over-site.

Republicans are never winning in polls even if they win the election in a landslide since I have been watching (Reagan/Carter) until the last poll. It is always portrayed as a dog fight...absolutely nothing new about this....Rasmussen was the only exception in the past and looks like even he has knuckled under this election....big deal.

11 posted on 10/17/2012 7:52:34 AM PDT by Lady Heron
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To: Perdogg

Then Ras can be off by about 10%, or in other words, Romney is winning the state by 10% with MoE included.


12 posted on 10/17/2012 8:27:50 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Perdogg

I get 5-8 polling calls a day in NH.

I always say, the registered voter is out buying more ammo.

I guess I’m in the 4.5% MOE.


13 posted on 10/17/2012 8:29:58 AM PDT by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown are by desperate appliance relieved or not at all.)
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To: Perdogg

I think about two weeks ago Ras was bypassed by the other pollsters because of his adherence to the “+D” model. No matter. We know what’s going on and what the likely numbers are, and they aren’t pretty for Zero.


14 posted on 10/17/2012 9:10:18 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

I would like the final Romney victory to be totally crushing to the MSM. I want them left 100% clueless as to how they screwed up so badly. I want their misery and stupidity on public display to the point of the public at large and advertisers more so wondering what the heck is their mental problem. I want advertisers to pull their ads out of fear of being associated with such dross of humanity.


15 posted on 10/17/2012 9:16:17 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: longtermmemmory

If you see the drive-bys hesitating to call NH on election night, you’ll know it’s a blowout. Romney can win without NH, but it’s “nice to have.”


16 posted on 10/17/2012 9:21:26 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Perdogg

Interesting to see how all the major races in Red Hampshire seem to be ‘neck and neck’...there is a possibility that NH could wind up with an all female Congressional delegation...U.S. House AND U.S. Senate...three of them very radical leftists. Another one might wind up as Governor...


17 posted on 10/17/2012 9:22:47 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Wurlitzer
I guess, based upon those numbers, NH’s “Live Free or Die” motto is just more political lying BS.

Even the 'Old Man of the Mountain'; upon seeing the number of U-Hauls with Massachusetts and New York plates passing by on the interstate below; took his own life by plunging down the mountainside nearly 10 years ago...

18 posted on 10/17/2012 9:30:46 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Wurlitzer
I guess, based upon those numbers, NH’s “Live Free or Die” motto is just more political lying BS.

Even the 'Old Man of the Mountain'; upon seeing the number of U-Hauls with Massachusetts and New York plates passing by on the interstate below; took his own life by plunging down the mountainside nearly 10 years ago...

19 posted on 10/17/2012 9:31:07 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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