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1 posted on 10/20/2012 10:45:30 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache
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To: My Favorite Headache

Yesterday’s poll:

QStarNews Daily Tracking Poll

811 likely voters surveyed October 17-19, 2012

Choice of tickets for president/vice president:

Obama/Biden 44.92 percent
Romney/Ryan 52.59 percent
Johnson/Gray 0.22 percent

Approval and Disapproval of Barack Obama’s performance as president

Strongly Approve 28.63 percent
Somewhat Approve 16.81 percent
Somewhat Disapprove 5.46 percent
Strongly Disapprove 48.23 percent

Total approval and disaproval:

Approve 45.44 precent
Disapprove 53.69 percent


2 posted on 10/20/2012 10:46:46 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (In a world where I feel so small, I can't stop thinking big.)
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To: My Favorite Headache

UnSkewed Polling Data
Sunday, October 21, 2012 12:45:31 AM
Poll Date Sample MoE Skew Obama(D) Romney(R) Spread
UnSkewed Avg. 10/7 - 10/16 — — +4.5 D 45.3 49.9 Romney +4.6
Hartford Courant/UConn 10/11 - 10/16 1023 LV 3.0 +8 D 45.0 48.0 Romney + 3
Politico/GWU/Battleground 10/11 - 10/14 1000 LV 3.1 +3 D 46.0 51.0 Romney +5
Wash. Post/ABC News 10/10 - 10/13 923 LV 3.5 +9 D 47.0 51.0 Romney +4
Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun 10/8 - 10/10 1360 LV 2.7 +3 D 45.0 48.0 Romney +3
Fox News 10/7 - 10/9 1109 LV 3.0 +1 D 43.0 46.0 Romney +3
IBD/TIPP 10/11 - 10/16 931 LV 3.5 +8 D 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
Rasmussen 10/15 - 10/17 1500 LV 3.0 +3 D 46.0 51.0 Romney +5
Gallup 10/10 - 10/16 2700 LV 2.0 +1 D 45.0 52.0 Romney +7


3 posted on 10/20/2012 10:48:56 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (In a world where I feel so small, I can't stop thinking big.)
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To: My Favorite Headache

So, it’s not Gallup then?


4 posted on 10/20/2012 10:49:21 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Alas Babylon!
over here. ;-)

5 posted on 10/20/2012 10:49:33 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (WA DC E$tabli$hment; DNC/RNC/Unionists...Brazilian saying: "$@me Old $hit; w/ different flie$" :^)
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To: My Favorite Headache

Looks like the Johnson vote has increased by 3% up and taken directly from Obama/Biden.


6 posted on 10/20/2012 10:50:12 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache (In a world where I feel so small, I can't stop thinking big.)
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To: My Favorite Headache
thxs, for the post. :-)

8 posted on 10/20/2012 10:52:50 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (WA DC E$tabli$hment; DNC/RNC/Unionists...Brazilian saying: "$@me Old $hit; w/ different flie$" :^)
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To: My Favorite Headache

Gary Johnson has been doing a bunch of public appearances - I think he’s been on every FNC show this past week - this would be consistent with a preference cascade - Obama is even losing his base (he’s just NOT cool anymore!)


11 posted on 10/20/2012 10:58:55 PM PDT by Steven W.
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To: My Favorite Headache

Who is Johnson?


12 posted on 10/20/2012 11:05:58 PM PDT by hsalaw
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To: My Favorite Headache

I have to admit to being just as deeply suspicious of this outfit’s polling methods as I am of many others.

Case in point:

Their daily tracking poll for Oct 18

Romney 60% / Obama 39%

Their daily tracking poll for Oct 19

Romney 51% / Obama 48%

http://unskewedpolls.com/dailytrackingpoll.cfm

....whatever the real numbers, and even allowing for the normally-stated margins of error, they’re claiming an 18% swing overnight here? To Obama? And now an 8% swing back in the other direction? With the enormous daily swings they publish, then for sure, they’ll occasionally hit on a correct figure (stopped clock twice a day, and all that) but overall, their numbers just suggest poor, even amateur polling methods.

I don’t doubt that Romney is likely ahead right now. But some of the numbers on this site are as laughable as most of the other polling outfits around. Different, but just as laughable.


14 posted on 10/20/2012 11:09:22 PM PDT by Zajko (Never wrestle with a pig. You'll both get dirty, but the pig likes it.)
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To: My Favorite Headache

My friend was registering voters I’m Southern California a few weeks ago in front of a WalMart. Two young black men in hoodies were walking in and she motioned them to come over.They were hesitant, but polite. One said that he wasn’t registered and was a little embarrassed because he doesn’t follow it too much. However, he told my friend that he did not want to vote for Obama, My friend did not ask why, but she told him that because he has an opinion, that he had a duty to vote. He and his friend registered Republican and said they would vote for Tommey.


21 posted on 10/20/2012 11:30:55 PM PDT by Hildy (F"When the debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser." - Socrates)
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To: My Favorite Headache

I’ve never heard of this polling outfit before this election, but UnSkewedPolls.com Favorite sites are: American Thinker | Freedomist.com | DickMorris.com | Thomas Sowell | Walter E. Williams | Rush Limbaugh | Laura Ingraham.


25 posted on 10/20/2012 11:44:26 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: My Favorite Headache

election poll ping


26 posted on 10/20/2012 11:46:34 PM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: My Favorite Headache

This poll is total BS. Anyone who believes Gary Johnson will garner anywhere near 4% has been smoking what Gary Johnson has been smoking.

Or is this a poll of just Gary’s family?


40 posted on 10/21/2012 6:21:03 AM PDT by kevao (Is your ocean any lower than it was four years ago?)
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To: My Favorite Headache

So this is their own poll — not their unskewed version of another poll. If so, SHAZAM!


50 posted on 10/21/2012 1:19:05 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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