Rasmussen is oversampling D’s by 4 or 5. I think there is a good chance Ras slowly moves that back to parity over the next week or so. Watch for Romney’s lead to grow...
Actually I have a theory that Rasmussen is waiting for the final debate to reduce his “positive D” sample
Yesterday I had told my wife that I suspected Rasmussen would do it this way
SAT: R:49 O:48
SUN: R:49 O:47
MON: R:40 0:47 or even 46
We shall see. Obviously my prediction for today came true.
One thing that I feel is holding Mr. Rasmussen back is that he takes GREAT pride in stating that his polls do not “fluctuate” and that everything is “steady” as she goes. Read his commentary and he makes it a point of stating that “Nothing has changed since August” and that these minor swings are basically noise and the race is “remarkably steady”
So, it is not in his interest to show huge gains as that spoils his narrative. I suspect he will move one point a day, either taking one off President Obama or adding one to Gov. Romney
We shall see....