Mitt Romney leads by nine percent in new QStarNews presidential poll (R 53.99% O 45.12%)

Examiner ^ | October 25, 2012 | Dean Chambers

[Red Steel]

Romney has a nine percent lead in the new QstarNews presidential poll released today.

While the latest Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama at 50 percent to 47 percent while the QStarNews Daily Tracking poll released today shows a Romney lead of 52 percent to 46 percent. The latest Gallup tracking poll of likely voters released today shows Romney leading 50 percent to 47 percent over the president. Mitt Romney's surge in the polls is even reflected in his slim lead today in the Real Clear Politics average of major polls.

The new QStarNews Poll of Politics and Currents Events released today shows Romney at 53.99 percent and Obama at 45.12 percent. The survey, conducted via web-saved surveying by The Qstar Group included 2529 likely voters polled between October 18 - October 24 and it has a margin of error of 1.95 percent.

The QStarNews Poll also showed President Obama's approval rating at 45.74 percent while 54.14 percent of voters disapprove of the president's performance in office. Those who strongly disapprove were at 49.70 percent while those who strong approve were at 30.82, leading do a negative approval rating of 18.88 percent. These numbers are just a few percent away from Rasmussen's approval to disapprove numbers, which are current 49 percent to 50 percent.

[Red Steel]

Released October 25, 2012

Survey conducted by The QStar Group

2529 likely voters surveyed via the web between October 18 - October 24. The survey has a margin of error of 1.95 percent.

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's performance as president?

Somewhat Approve	14.92
Strongly Approve	30.82
Strongly Disapprove	49.70
Somewhat Disapprove	4.44

Overall Approval and Disapproval

Approve	45.74
Disapprove	54.14

If the election were held today, would you vote for the ticket of Democratic candidates, President Barack Obama and Vice President Joe Biden, or the ticket of Republican candidates, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and Congressman Paul Ryan or a ticket of other candidates?

Romney/Ryan	53.99
Obama/Biden	45.12
other	0.89

Do you plan for vote for Democrats for Republicans for Congress?

Republicans	51.94
Democrats	45.34
Other	3.72

Some selected Crosstabs

Republicans, Democrats and Independents voting for Romney, Obama or Johnson

candidate	Democrats	Republicans	Independents
Romney	10.93	97.21	53.12
Obama	86.92	1.62	46.64
Other	1.15	1.27	0.24

Voted for McCain or Obama in 2008

candidate	McCain 2008	Obama 2008
Romney	94.70	29.66
Obama	4.66	70.25

Support for Romney, Obama and Johnson by racial groups

candidate	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian
Romney	62.01	7.05	37.31	62.64
Obama	37.04	92.85	62.01	38.12

Support for Romney, Obama and Johnson by religious groups

candidate	Christian	Catholic	Jewish	Atheist	Muslim
Romney	54.34	55.31	50.15	48.82	22.85
Obama	45.43	43.54	40.98	48.48	74.76

Support for Romney, Obama and Johnson by gender -- Male or Female

candidate	Male	Female
Romney	52.06	56.10
Obama	46.24	43.01

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/qstarnewspoll_20121025.cfm

[babble-on]

never heared of em

[Longbow1969]

This appears to be some web poll, not a real scientific poll.

[Tuxedo]

Doubt this makes it in the RCP average - but would be cool if it did.

[Red Steel]

I think the real voter results 12 days from now will be similar to this poll.

[Col Frank Slade]

This jumped off the page -—

Jewish - R 50.18 O 40.98

Women - R 56.10 O 43.01

[Uncle Slayton]

“The survey, conducted via web-saved surveying by The Qstar Group included 2529 likely voters polled between October 18 - October 24 and it has a margin of error of 1.95 percent.”

These polls are looking better and better each and every day. The most promising aspect of this poll is that it was conducted on the Internet which is said to always produce the most accurate poll results.

Furthermore, this poll was largely conducted before Donald Trump mad his earth shattering announcement that he would donate five million dollars to the charity of Obama’s choice if Obama released the college transcripts that would prove he was born in Kenya.

[InterceptPoint]

If this poll result is even close to the truth then Obama is toast.

Candidate	McCain 2008	Obama 2008
Romney	94.7	29.66
Obama	4.66	70.25

[JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain]

Looks like it is R+6
I would take it with a lone salt grain for several reasons.
I think R is still above 50 but not this high... Yet :)

[apillar]

I don’t know anything about this poll, but the end result looks similar to what Dick Morris has been predicting. Basically his argument is these polls that have Romney at 49% and Obama at 46% really mean the final result will be Romney 54% Obama 46%, because for a sitting president his poll number is his ceiling while the challengers is their floor due to the fact that the undecideds always break for the challenger.

[Homer_J_Simpson]

This appears to be some web poll, not a real scientific poll.

They claim to be legit, even to a +/- 1.95% MOE. It appears the sample is self-selected, which makes that seem unlikely, but they claim to make up for it with their weighting methodology. I selected myself as part of the sample and completed a survey. The number of grammatical errors in the questions leads me to take the survey less seriously than I otherwise would.

[arrogantsob]

Women are more pro R/R than men in this poll. Strange.

[InterceptPoint]

I agree. But it is fun to see some polls that are biased in our favor. They are a rare breed. Not suitable for use by Nate Silver. ;)

[arrogantsob]

The MOE only refers to the information derived from the sample. So it is a near certainty that the sample is very pro Romney but this says nothing about the relevance of the sample with regard to the actual population.

[ScottinVA]

It’s fun to read as entertainment, but if it’s an online poll (and they urge readers to participate), there’s no scientific validity to it.

[LibertarianLiz]

My hubby has been saying for, at least, a year that it will be a blow-out. I have had my doubts, because the Dems will cheat to win; but, I also know that about this time (2 weeks out) the polls and the media decide they need to rescue their reputations and the polls begin looking a bit different.

What has been consistent, is that the O is not polling above 50%. He is the incumbent, I think he is toast. I think he and his campaign are starting to seem desperate. Nothing they try seems to work. Alas, poor Barack, he finally has a record to run on, and it stinks.

I hate to be too optimistic (or, optimistic at all -- personality thing); but, I'm thinking that the Mitt-mentum is real, and that people are ready to put a grown-up in charge.

[Raycpa]

I don’t see how Obama can get beyond his 47%. The democrat voters are less enthusiastic than 2008. The republican voters are more enthusiastic. The independents are voting against Obama. If he increases turnout he is likely to bring more against him than for him. His only option is to try and decrease republican turnout. He needs some dirt to throw against Romney.

[taildragger]

I think the real voter results 12 days from now will be similar to this poll.

The Colorado Firm w/ the track record of "calling it" say 53 and change, this is a bit higher than they are predicting, but I will take it..

My guess is and I stick to it, it will be a blowout, 56% with a potential low of 42% for Oboingo...

[printhead]

Just a guess. The s key is next to the a key. So Qstar is really Qatar.

[romanesq]

Generally undecideds break 2-1 for the challenger.

Dick Morris gets more wrong than right of late.