(the three of us) Flutters, Whenifhow, and LasVegasDave.
Posted on 10/28/2012 5:18:53 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
Boosted by a surge among male voters who think he’s the best candidate to fix the economy, Republican Mitt Romney has come back to tie President Barack Obama in battleground Ohio.
They are deadlocked at 49 percent in a new Dispatch/Ohio News Organization poll. Obama was ahead by 5 points in the same poll published on Sept. 16.
How does that tie get broken in the next nine days?
“In the final days before the election, both campaigns will focus on turning out their bases, appealing to independents and attracting the few undecided voters that remain,” said Eric Rademacher, co-director of the University of Cincinnati’s Institute for Policy Research, which conducted the poll for Ohio’s eight largest newspapers.
“Absent any more twists and turns, a remarkable presidential campaign may end with the campaign that executes the best ‘ground game,’ narrowly delivering Ohio for the next president of the United States.”
The Buckeye State, the nation’s top presidential bellwether since 1900, is always important in a presidential election. But this year might be giving Ohio voters an attention-surplus disorder, with more than 70 visits by presidential candidates or their running mates, unprecedented ad spending, and reporters from around the world fanning across the state. Last week, a New York Times statistical analysis called Ohio more important than the other 49 states combined.
(Excerpt) Read more at dispatch.com ...
Its moved! Romney will take OH in the next 9 days!
Time for Nate Silver to cut his wrists.
Thank you Mr Rademacher for stating the bleeding obvious.
While I realize there are a lot of factors involved in the race, with the economy being number one, I can’t help but believe that the average American doesn’t like what he/she sees with regards to the Libya fiasco. Any patriotic American and veterans in particular, can’t like the building evidence that our “I will be honest with you” President not only let four Americans die but went on to try to bury the incident and condemn the Republicans for “politicizing” it. Worse yet, was the fact that the press spent the first three days slamming Romney for “politicizing” it when they should have been spending that time trying to get ot the bottom of what happened.
Bottom line, this issue may not cause a large shift in voting but even a couple percentage points could result in an Obama loss - with the cover-up hurting him even more than the event, itself.
One of the super Pacs should run an ad all about Bengahzi,with all the Reports and comments By the Generals and CIA,Seals stating that Obama Let these People Die,The former Seals who ignored the Order to stand down saved the Lives of 30 people,then when they called for Help were ignored,this is beyond Outrageous.
These super pacs can crank out ads in hours,run one on this 24/7 for the next week in Ohio,PA,Wisconsin,Minnesota and the Kenyan will be toast
Earlier in the race there may have been some lead, but the lamestream could never allow that.
As Nov. 6 drew closer, the numbers became more and more obvious for Romney, but the lamestream still couldn't allow that.
Now it is all too obvious their mullatto faggot usurper is done on both sides so they'll try to back out gracefully ... tied score in the 9th.
We have a real chance to save America, but it will depend mostly on the size of Mittz nutz whether he cancels everything the zero adfministration has ever elected, appointed and EO'd.
Is this another Dispatch mail survey? If so, Romney must be ahead by 10.
If Romney maintains his 4-5 point lead in Gallup and Rasmussen, he will win Ohio. Period.
The focus on electoral votes and swing states is that of a campaign/media down 4-5 points nationally.
The ONLY reason Obama has 49% if he does is because of UNION MEMBERS..
The Union members are the traitorous sons of bitches..
Not only Auto workers but the Police, Firefighters and Teachers.. OH and SEIU..
May their Union Funding mechanisms GO BANKRUPT...
Rasmussen still has Obama ahead for 237 EV, Romney for 206, and a toss up for the final 95. Looking just at the toss ups:
Obama leads in NV for for a total of 6 toss up EV with an Obama edge. This would give Obama a total of 243 EV.
Romney leads in CO (+4), NH (+2), VA (+3), and FL (+2), for a total of 55 toss up EV with a Romney edge. This would give Romney a total of 261 EV.
The states of Iowa with 6 EV, Ohio with 18 EV, and Wisconsin with 10 EV are all tied in Rasmussen’s polling and under his turnout model. IA only matters if Romney loses a state in which he is leading by at least 2 points and if Romney wins WI but not OH. If Obama takes both OH and WI, or IA and a surprise state along with WI, we lose. If Romney takes the expected states plus either WI or OH, America has a chance of recovery from this terrible lurch toward socialism.
Rasmussen still has Obama ahead for 237 EV, Romney for 206, and a toss up for the final 95. Looking just at the toss ups:
Obama leads in NV for for a total of 6 toss up EV with an Obama edge. This would give Obama a total of 243 EV.
Romney leads in CO (+4), NH (+2), VA (+3), and FL (+2), for a total of 55 toss up EV with a Romney edge. This would give Romney a total of 261 EV.
The states of Iowa with 6 EV, Ohio with 18 EV, and Wisconsin with 10 EV are all tied in Rasmussen’s polling and under his turnout model. IA only matters if Romney loses a state in which he is leading by at least 2 points and if Romney wins WI but not OH. If Obama takes both OH and WI, or IA and a surprise state along with WI, we lose. If Romney takes the expected states plus either WI or OH, America has a chance of recovery from this terrible lurch toward socialism.
We have 74,400 troops in Afghanistan. I wonder how many Ohio ballots were lost in that “accidental” crash.
...and he has the full support of busloads of Somalians.
Why are you hung up the state polls? If Romney were behind 51-46, then we could play the electoral college game.
But Romney is leading by 3-4-5 points nationally, consistently at 50%. Obama can’t get above 47%.
No candidate has ever garnered 50% and lost the presidency. No candidate has ever won by more than 1% and lost the presidency.
I agree. I also must say that I am impressed with CBS and CNN for at least covering parts of the story - it is unusual to see this.
“These super pacs can crank out ads in hours,run one on this 24/7 for the next week in Ohio,PA,Wisconsin,Minnesota and the Kenyan will be toast”
The Kenyan IS toast, and has been for quite some time.
He will lose in a landslide. The only difference today, versus a month ago, is now Obama probably sees it now too.
The ONLY reason Obama has 49% if he does is because of UNION MEMBERS..
The Union members are the traitorous sons of bitches..
Not only Auto workers but the Police, Firefighters and Teachers.. OH and SEIU..
May their Union Funding mechanisms GO BANKRUPT...
**
Agreed. After this election, i pray we privatize each and every one of these industries. No need for “unionism” anymore in this country. People need to learn to pull their own weight and be responsible for their fates.
The reason the media is focused on Oh is because it is the only place they could find any good news for Obama.
Obama can win OH, lose both CO and WI (looking likely) and lose the election.
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