NPR Poll: R 48%, O 47% (+4 D)

http://media.npr.org/documents/2012/oct/NPROctpoll.pdf ^

[wideawake]

Hogwash. His response to the storm is to watch from the White House. He will get no “bump” from the storm.

[Humbug]

Of note, this same poll has Obama ahead 50-46 in battleground states.

[nhwingut]

Here is the latest from RCP...

NPR 48-47, Romney +1 (D+4)
Pew Research 47-47, Tie (D+1)
Rasmussen Reports 49-47, Romney +2 (D+4)
ABC News/Wash Post 49-49, Tie (D+7)
Gallup 51-46, Romney +5 (R+1)
IBD/TIPP 44-45, Obama +1 (D+7)
Politico/GWU/Battleground 48-49, Obama +1 (D+4)

Overall Avg, 48-47 Romney +1 (D+4)

Now if you take that average sample of D+4 and move it to what Gallup says is going to happen (R+1), it’s Romney 51-46. Exactly what Gallup shows.

[NELSON111]

>>>I missed it....what did Letterman say?

I would like to know too. Not that I care...but when rats jump of the ship...I like to see it...

[goldstategop]

That I don’t believe.

Push polls like this one and CNN’s are about influencing the vote and not about reflecting reality.

There’s just a blatant bias towards Democrats this year.

[nhwingut]

I predict the national polls out this week will show a dead heat.

It’s their only option left of helping Obama, and not looking like fools. They cannot show Obama up 2-3. It will be Obama +1 to Romney +1.

For example, if they come out with a poll that says 47-47, they can keep the hope alive, but save face when Romney wins 52-47 - by saying the undecideds broke late for Romney.

[woweeitsme]

And if it IS, fraud would have to be rampant.

[SamAdams76]

Unfortunately we will see his approval start rising bc of his storm response.

What storm response? That he is sitting in the White House looking like the doofus that he is?

Minds are made up. Now it's just a matter of getting everybody to the polls.

[Fishtalk]

So I clicked “headers” on the front page here and so okay, all the text below the articles disappeared but I don’t like it!

I did this due to an article by some Freeper on how to cut down “drag” on this forum.

Can somebody help me? I hit “header” again but nothing happens.

I hate the article list without the text!

[Izzy Dunne]

The insides of many Priuses will be spattered with brains after their drivers’ heads explode

You misspelled "oatmeal".

[nhwingut]

According to Dave in Fl (at AceHQ)....

R+0.90% - Current RCP Average
O+0.13% - Average using the 2008 turnout model
R+2.63% - Average using the D+3 turnout model
R+4.86% - Average using the 2010 turnout model
R+4.91% - Average using the 2004 turnout model
R+6.65% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model

[Izzy Dunne]

So I clicked “headers” on the front page here and so okay, all the text below the articles disappeared but I don’t like it!

Try clicking on the other option: "text".

[nhwingut]

Of note, this same poll has Obama ahead 50-46 in battleground states.

The battleground portion uses a D+9 sample. What planet is Carville on to think there will be a D+9 in the swing states, when the national turnout will be R+1.

[Lady Heron]

If this is their last poll before the election they can not do that if it is really not close. If they have more polls to go then no problem. So the only way they show a neck and neck race in their last poll is if it is what they really think is true.

That last poll they make has to be as close as they really think is right because they want to be called on next election as a gold standard in predicting the last election. They do not want to be Zogby, they have a business to run....

[nhwingut]

I am guessing this is the last NPR/DC poll. They are not a regular pollsters. So I believe this is it.

And to show a Romney win, says it all. Carville is behind this one (Democracy Corps), so he can say he predicted a Romney win, even if Romney wins by 2-4 more points. He had Obama’s number right, and the undecideds broke late, blah blah blah.

This is a meaningful poll.

[LS]

Wailing and gnashing of teeth as the evildoers are cast into darkness.

[LS]

I don't think so for a couple of reasons. First, no one who is IN the hurricane gives a crap what Obama does right now. They are trying to survive, get by, keep their homes intact, mayors are trying to guard against rioting, and so on.

Second, pollsters such as Gallup have actually ceased polling (for at least one day) because of the disruptions. ANY poll that comes out now will have a severely tainted sample. If it took 1000 calls to get one respondent before, think of the number it will take now.

Barry is stuck. Nothing he can do will save him.

[Lady Heron]

He had Obama’s number right, and the undecideds broke late, blah blah blah. This is a meaningful poll.

LOL! I did not even pay much attention of O 47%...priceless. Yes, you read it right...Carville predicted a Romney win so that is all that matters.

[COBOL2Java]

Unfortunately we will see his approval start rising bc of his storm response. This could be bad for R.. I hope that is not the case though.. Frick I wish it was a week from today already

What response? This was his "response" from Rush:

---

They flew him back, and he has spoken. AP. I have it right here in my formerly nicotine-stained fingers. AP, Breaking News!” Ready? Ready for it? “Obama: “Slow-Moving Storm Will Affect Millions, Urges Americans to Heed Warnings.” (Gasp!) Wow. That we could not have done without. That... Oh, thank God. (interruption) Apparently not. Apparently he could not tell us this from Florida.

[Abiotic]

Osama bin Laden’s supposed 2011 killing, Qadaffi’s actual killing in 2012, and the false claims that the USA is basically pulled out of Iraq. Sheeple cannot think beyond these ultra simplistic memes.