Yeah, 49-44 very narrow.
ping
It is all down to turnout.
As long as the RATs don’t beat us by five points or more, we should win.
I like our chances.
wow, a poll showing Romney up. I haven’t seen one of these in awhile. Just “Momentum” post. Keep them coming in their out there
I’ll take this poll over the QP/NYT/CBS one that was posted here earlier.
It sounds about right.
I wonder why all of a sudden nobody is demanding to see the internals of a poll, ha ha.
I live in Northern Virginia — Democratic stronghold. For what it is worth, Obama signs outnumbered McCain signs 10-1 (literally) in 2008. This year, I’d say it is 60-40 Obama...with less outright support for Obama. If Romney can get 40-45% of the vote in No. Virginia, it is over. He will win.
Ravi,
VA is going to go Republican. Just like NC, FL and CO.
All of this is manufactured “suspense”
To me the ONLY wildcards left are (in order of leaning Republican most to least)
NH
OH
WI
IA
MI
PA
NV
MN
NM
OR
If it is Gov Romney 53+ in the PV, then he sweeps ALL of them
If he is at 50+ then he should take OH, NH and WI. Maybe even IA
At this stage, I believe the firewall now belongs to Gov Romney
I live in Virginia and I feel pretty good about Romney winning the state, there is zero enthusiasm for obama here, night and day from 2008.
Here’s what I’ve seen...Last night I checked out DemocratUnderground.com. It seems like they all are VERY confident Obama is going to win.
I guess one side is going to be very disappointed and shocked next week. Sure hope it’s them.
D+4 too...
Great numbers, especially that drill-down for likelies! Hopefully they hold through whatever bump Obama might get because of Sandy.
Hooray. Romney ahead 4. Allen ahead 5. Beautiful!
Yet if it was the other way around, why Barack Obama would have moved out in front of Romney with a "commanding lead" of 49-44%. They just can't hide their bias can they?
5 points is narrow, eh?
The Tea Party in Virginia has been working its heart out in the exurbs of Northern Virginia since 2009.
I live in near Fauquier county - Republicans have ground game and signs for Romney are everywhere. There is a lot of hope in Virginia. I can’t imagine that it’s at all a purple state this time around. The goal of the outer counties is to get out the vote and overtake the margin won by the counties closer to DC.
I’m sure there must be some in Fairfax County thinking hard about Sequestration, too.
Off-year elections are when (R) turnout is highest, of course. That’s how we got Bob McDonnell and Ken Cuccinelli AG.
FIVE points is a “very narrow margin” these days? When Obama’s leading by one they don’t talk margins, they talk about Obama being ahead.
John Kass
Chicago Tribune
Sandy swoops in to save Obama - October 31, 2012 - What a difference a storm named Sandy makes, eh, Mr. President?
Click your ‘Print Preview’ to view the column without having to subscribe.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/chi-kass-sandy-saves-obama-20121031,0,4768067.column
I live in Oakton (NoVA) and remember well all the Obama signs in 2008...very depressing. Now on my 7-mile daily trip to Tysons Corner (through the very blue Vienna neighborhoods), I count 65-70% Romney signs, maybe more.
My neighbors and I took over a 1/4 mile stretch around a corner on a major connector. Obamahaters tore down signs twice but we replaced them. Been up ever since.
They’re giving up...
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