Skip to comments.Prediction: GOP to take Senate [Video at Link]
Posted on 10/31/2012 11:07:29 PM PDT by GonzoII
Our calculations show a gain of seven Republican seats and a loss of two Democratic seats, for a net gain of five GOP seats in the Senate. That would give Republicans a 52-48 majority. But, some races are very tight, and that outcome is hardly a given.
Former Surgeon General Richard Carmona trails Rep. Jeff Flake by only a few percentage points in the latest RealClearPolitics average. Since the state will tilt Republican on the presidential ticket, expect Flake to ride the momentum to a narrow victory.
Prediction: Republican hold
The latest Mason-Dixon poll conducted has Republican nominee Linda McMahon in a virtual dead heat against Rep. Chris Murphy. After a few weak debate performances from Murphy, McMahon is in striking distance to win the seat she narrowly lost in 2010.
Prediction: Republican gain
Florida: Sen. Bill Nelson (D)
With Romney leading in the Sunshine State by a narrow margin, the Senate race is a little more open. Republican Rep. Connie Mack trails Democratic incumbent Sen. Ben Nelson 41 percent to 45 percent in a Naples Daily News/Scripps poll conducted earlier in October.
Prediction: Democratic hold
A solid Democratic stronghold on the presidential level should also mean a win for Democratic Rep. Mazie Hirono. Former Republican Gov. Linda Lingle trails her in the latest Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG poll, 55 percent to 39 percent.
Prediction: Democratic hold
Even considering State Treasurer Richard Mourdocks recent comments on abortion, he should hand Democratic Rep. Joe Donnelly a loss on Nov. 6. Mourdock leads Donnelly in the latest Rasmussen poll by 5 points.
Prediction: Republican hold...
(Excerpt) Read more at humanevents.com ...
We can’t do much without getting the senate too, fortunately a massive pubbie turnout, chick fil A style, is going to bring it on home. The dem meltdown is going to be sooooo sweeeeeeeeet!
Looks like Menendez (D New Jersey) is fixing to take a dive.
Got caught with er uh , hand in cookie jar.
This is a freebie we didn’t expect and could help Romney in N.J.
Take the Senate? Not if Chris Christie has anything to say about it!
Carmona (AZ-RAT) is a real dirtbag. This race shouldn’t even have been close but Flake didn’t get the ads going until just recently. Carmona has been clobbering him for two or three months.
how many are RINO’s?
My blood pressure is already almost uncontrollable. I may just hibernate through the first part of next week. I’ve done about all I can do.
He'a Bush guy. He wouldn't even have a political career without Bush.
This is more optimistic than most Senate predictions I have been reading.
Hope it plays out Tuesday night.
The Show-Me State continues to slip away from Republicans. Both PPP (D) and Rasmussen (R) have Rep. Todd Akin trailing Democratic incumbent Sen. Debbie Stabenow by 6 and 8 points, respectively.
Prediction: Democratic hold
Some great proof reading by humanevents.com. Akin and Stabenow are not running against each other.
The GOP-E gave no money to Akin, a conservative.
In the October issue of the NRA's American Rifleman Magazine the race between Akin and McCaskel was not listed in the battles for senate seats beginning on page 98.
Chris Cox of the NRA screwed up big time on this one.
Akin very pro gun. McCaskel is very anti gun.
“must be followed by holding their feet to the fire. Local and national. Always and forever.”
Well said, never trust them to there own devices, Hold their feet to the fire, and keep them “honest”... Eagles Up
“The Show-Me State continues to slip away from Republicans. Both PPP (D) and Rasmussen (R) have Rep. Todd Akin trailing Democratic incumbent Sen. Debbie Stabenow by 6 and 8 points, respectively.” Todd Akin is NOT running against Debbie Stabenow. Where in the heck did they get this information? In another poll, Akin is 2 points down from McCaskill which is within the margin of error.
Human Events predicts Republican gains in the Senate and Thompson win in Wisconsin
FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.
The Senate balance seems at least as close as the presidential race. In the 11 tossup senate races, you might get as good a prediction by flipping a coin as the predictions from the “experts.”
I am hoping for the best, but I think it’s just too close to call.
Don’t forget about recount skullduggery.
Another GOP blown opportunity. If the election was last November this wouldn't be an issue.
A 50D-50R (+Biden) Senate will cause Obama grief as would a 50R-50D (+Ryan) Senate would a POTUS Romney.
Sure, if McConnell is leader he can schedule embarrassing votes but he needs 60 to pass most stuff.
How about repealing budget related items of O-care using budget reconciliation? Rounding up all 50Rs to cut O-care spending would be much more difficult than most here imagine.
Akin is a conservative, but he is also an idiot and will be a loser. We need to nominate conservative who are not idiots, because independents are the key to a victory and they will not vote for a conservative whom they perceive to be an idiot.
I'm guessing that you do not know Democrats and you do not know New Jersey. With them, this is considered a badge of honor, a plus in the electoral sweepstakes. Menendez will not be hurt by any of this. New Jersey loves crooked and immoral politicians, an honest politician would make them all feel very uncomfortable.
No problem, Romney "can work with the opposition, reach across the aisle, get things done!" Like GWB.
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