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Prediction: GOP to take Senate [Video at Link]
Human Events ^ | 10/31/2012 | John Gizzi

Posted on 10/31/2012 11:07:29 PM PDT by GonzoII

Our calculations show a gain of seven Republican seats and a loss of two Democratic seats, for a net gain of five GOP seats in the Senate. That would give Republicans a 52-48 majority. But, some races are very tight, and that outcome is hardly a given.

Arizona: OPEN

Former Surgeon General Richard Carmona trails Rep. Jeff Flake by only a few percentage points in the latest RealClearPolitics average. Since the state will tilt Republican on the presidential ticket, expect Flake to ride the momentum to a narrow victory.

Prediction: Republican hold

Connecticut: OPEN

The latest Mason-Dixon poll conducted has Republican nominee Linda McMahon in a virtual dead heat against Rep. Chris Murphy. After a few weak debate performances from Murphy, McMahon is in striking distance to win the seat she narrowly lost in 2010.

Prediction: Republican gain

Florida: Sen. Bill Nelson (D)

With Romney leading in the Sunshine State by a narrow margin, the Senate race is a little more open. Republican Rep. Connie Mack trails Democratic incumbent Sen. Ben Nelson 41 percent to 45 percent in a Naples Daily News/Scripps poll conducted earlier in October.

Prediction: Democratic hold

Hawaii: OPEN

A solid Democratic stronghold on the presidential level should also mean a win for Democratic Rep. Mazie Hirono. Former Republican Gov. Linda Lingle trails her in the latest Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG poll, 55 percent to 39 percent.

Prediction: Democratic hold

Indiana: OPEN

Even considering State Treasurer Richard Mourdock’s recent comments on abortion, he should hand Democratic Rep. Joe Donnelly a loss on Nov. 6. Mourdock leads Donnelly in the latest Rasmussen poll by 5 points.

Prediction: Republican hold...

(Excerpt) Read more at humanevents.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: banglist; romney2012; senate
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Praying for a new beginning Tuesday night...
1 posted on 10/31/2012 11:07:35 PM PDT by GonzoII
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To: GonzoII

We can’t do much without getting the senate too, fortunately a massive pubbie turnout, chick fil A style, is going to bring it on home. The dem meltdown is going to be sooooo sweeeeeeeeet!


2 posted on 10/31/2012 11:11:05 PM PDT by HerrBlucher (Praise to the Lord the Almighty the King of Creation)
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To: GonzoII

Looks like Menendez (D New Jersey) is fixing to take a dive.

Got caught with er uh , hand in cookie jar.

This is a freebie we didn’t expect and could help Romney in N.J.


3 posted on 10/31/2012 11:11:33 PM PDT by ping jockey (I would rather die a free christian than live , enslaved, and separated from my GOD.)
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To: GonzoII

Take the Senate? Not if Chris Christie has anything to say about it!


4 posted on 10/31/2012 11:15:09 PM PDT by FredZarguna (Every President from Arkansas both of whose inaugurations were held in prime years has a bitch wife.)
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To: GonzoII

Carmona (AZ-RAT) is a real dirtbag. This race shouldn’t even have been close but Flake didn’t get the ads going until just recently. Carmona has been clobbering him for two or three months.


5 posted on 10/31/2012 11:16:23 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Osama bin Laden is dead, Chrysler moved to Italy and China.)
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To: GonzoII

52-48

how many are RINO’s?


6 posted on 10/31/2012 11:29:34 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GonzoII
Here's my take. and I'm sticking to it. With the new media rising and the old one about to go completely “Hysterical PMSNBC Tingle”? We are riding the Truth Wave created by “We the People”, Rush, JR, Sarah, Hannity, The Blaze, and all who have labored and donated. This “New beginning” MUST be be based on Liberty and Freedom and each cycle we win must be followed by holding their feet to the fire. Local and national. Always and forever.
7 posted on 10/31/2012 11:33:19 PM PDT by liberty or death
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To: GonzoII

My blood pressure is already almost uncontrollable. I may just hibernate through the first part of next week. I’ve done about all I can do.


8 posted on 10/31/2012 11:36:30 PM PDT by SWAMPSNIPER (The Second Amendment, a Matter of Fact, Not a Matter of Opinion)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
Carmona (AZ-RAT) is a real dirtbag.

He'a Bush guy. He wouldn't even have a political career without Bush.

9 posted on 10/31/2012 11:43:04 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: GonzoII

This is more optimistic than most Senate predictions I have been reading.

Hope it plays out Tuesday night.


10 posted on 10/31/2012 11:51:00 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: GonzoII
Missouri: Sen. Claire McCaskill (D)

The Show-Me State continues to slip away from Republicans. Both PPP (D) and Rasmussen (R) have Rep. Todd Akin trailing Democratic incumbent Sen. Debbie Stabenow by 6 and 8 points, respectively.

Prediction: Democratic hold

Some great proof reading by humanevents.com. Akin and Stabenow are not running against each other.

The GOP-E gave no money to Akin, a conservative.

In the October issue of the NRA's American Rifleman Magazine the race between Akin and McCaskel was not listed in the battles for senate seats beginning on page 98.

Chris Cox of the NRA screwed up big time on this one.

Akin very pro gun. McCaskel is very anti gun.

11 posted on 11/01/2012 12:09:52 AM PDT by TYVets (Pure-Gas.org ..... ethanol free gasoline by state and city)
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To: liberty or death

“must be followed by holding their feet to the fire. Local and national. Always and forever.”

Well said, never trust them to there own devices, Hold their feet to the fire, and keep them “honest”... Eagles Up


12 posted on 11/01/2012 12:16:01 AM PDT by ThomasPaine2000 (Peace without freedom is tyranny.)
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To: GonzoII
"PRAY HARD"
I Thessalonians 5:17
13 posted on 11/01/2012 4:00:35 AM PDT by Psalm 73 ("Gentlemen, you can't fight in here - this is the War Room".)
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To: GonzoII

“The Show-Me State continues to slip away from Republicans. Both PPP (D) and Rasmussen (R) have Rep. Todd Akin trailing Democratic incumbent Sen. Debbie Stabenow by 6 and 8 points, respectively.” Todd Akin is NOT running against Debbie Stabenow. Where in the heck did they get this information? In another poll, Akin is 2 points down from McCaskill which is within the margin of error.


14 posted on 11/01/2012 4:04:50 AM PDT by elephant
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To: GonzoII; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; JPG; ...

Human Events predicts Republican gains in the Senate and Thompson win in Wisconsin

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


15 posted on 11/01/2012 4:28:56 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: GonzoII; stephenjohnbanker; sickoflibs; DoughtyOne; Gilbo_3; NFHale

The Senate balance seems at least as close as the presidential race. In the 11 tossup senate races, you might get as good a prediction by flipping a coin as the predictions from the “experts.”

I am hoping for the best, but I think it’s just too close to call.

Don’t forget about recount skullduggery.


16 posted on 11/01/2012 3:31:56 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Fool me once, shame on you -- twice, shame on me -- 100 times, it's U. S. immigration policy.)
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; GonzoII; stephenjohnbanker; DoughtyOne; Gilbo_3; NFHale; Impy
RE :”The Senate balance seems at least as close as the presidential race. In the 11 tossup senate races, you might get as good a prediction by flipping a coin as the predictions from the “experts.” I am hoping for the best, but I think it’s just too close to call.”

Another GOP blown opportunity. If the election was last November this wouldn't be an issue.

A 50D-50R (+Biden) Senate will cause Obama grief as would a 50R-50D (+Ryan) Senate would a POTUS Romney.
Sure, if McConnell is leader he can schedule embarrassing votes but he needs 60 to pass most stuff.

How about repealing budget related items of O-care using budget reconciliation? Rounding up all 50Rs to cut O-care spending would be much more difficult than most here imagine.

17 posted on 11/01/2012 7:27:17 PM PDT by sickoflibs (Romney is still a liberal. Just watch him. (Obama-ney Care ))
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To: TYVets
Akin, a conservative.

Akin is a conservative, but he is also an idiot and will be a loser. We need to nominate conservative who are not idiots, because independents are the key to a victory and they will not vote for a conservative whom they perceive to be an idiot.

18 posted on 11/01/2012 7:33:56 PM PDT by centurion316
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To: ping jockey
Looks like Menendez (D New Jersey) is fixing to take a dive.

I'm guessing that you do not know Democrats and you do not know New Jersey. With them, this is considered a badge of honor, a plus in the electoral sweepstakes. Menendez will not be hurt by any of this. New Jersey loves crooked and immoral politicians, an honest politician would make them all feel very uncomfortable.

19 posted on 11/01/2012 7:38:24 PM PDT by centurion316
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To: sickoflibs; GonzoII; stephenjohnbanker; DoughtyOne; Gilbo_3; NFHale; Impy; AuntB
Sure, if McConnell is leader he can schedule embarrassing votes but he needs 60 to pass most stuff.

No problem, Romney "can work with the opposition, reach across the aisle, get things done!" Like GWB.

Oh, wait....

20 posted on 11/01/2012 8:36:41 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Fool me once, shame on you -- twice, shame on me -- 100 times, it's U. S. immigration policy.)
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