Skip to comments.Prediction: GOP to take Senate [Video at Link]
Posted on 10/31/2012 11:07:29 PM PDT by GonzoII
Our calculations show a gain of seven Republican seats and a loss of two Democratic seats, for a net gain of five GOP seats in the Senate. That would give Republicans a 52-48 majority. But, some races are very tight, and that outcome is hardly a given.
Former Surgeon General Richard Carmona trails Rep. Jeff Flake by only a few percentage points in the latest RealClearPolitics average. Since the state will tilt Republican on the presidential ticket, expect Flake to ride the momentum to a narrow victory.
Prediction: Republican hold
The latest Mason-Dixon poll conducted has Republican nominee Linda McMahon in a virtual dead heat against Rep. Chris Murphy. After a few weak debate performances from Murphy, McMahon is in striking distance to win the seat she narrowly lost in 2010.
Prediction: Republican gain
Florida: Sen. Bill Nelson (D)
With Romney leading in the Sunshine State by a narrow margin, the Senate race is a little more open. Republican Rep. Connie Mack trails Democratic incumbent Sen. Ben Nelson 41 percent to 45 percent in a Naples Daily News/Scripps poll conducted earlier in October.
Prediction: Democratic hold
A solid Democratic stronghold on the presidential level should also mean a win for Democratic Rep. Mazie Hirono. Former Republican Gov. Linda Lingle trails her in the latest Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG poll, 55 percent to 39 percent.
Prediction: Democratic hold
Even considering State Treasurer Richard Mourdocks recent comments on abortion, he should hand Democratic Rep. Joe Donnelly a loss on Nov. 6. Mourdock leads Donnelly in the latest Rasmussen poll by 5 points.
Prediction: Republican hold...
(Excerpt) Read more at humanevents.com ...
We can’t do much without getting the senate too, fortunately a massive pubbie turnout, chick fil A style, is going to bring it on home. The dem meltdown is going to be sooooo sweeeeeeeeet!
Looks like Menendez (D New Jersey) is fixing to take a dive.
Got caught with er uh , hand in cookie jar.
This is a freebie we didn’t expect and could help Romney in N.J.
Take the Senate? Not if Chris Christie has anything to say about it!
Carmona (AZ-RAT) is a real dirtbag. This race shouldn’t even have been close but Flake didn’t get the ads going until just recently. Carmona has been clobbering him for two or three months.
how many are RINO’s?
My blood pressure is already almost uncontrollable. I may just hibernate through the first part of next week. I’ve done about all I can do.
He'a Bush guy. He wouldn't even have a political career without Bush.
This is more optimistic than most Senate predictions I have been reading.
Hope it plays out Tuesday night.
The Show-Me State continues to slip away from Republicans. Both PPP (D) and Rasmussen (R) have Rep. Todd Akin trailing Democratic incumbent Sen. Debbie Stabenow by 6 and 8 points, respectively.
Prediction: Democratic hold
Some great proof reading by humanevents.com. Akin and Stabenow are not running against each other.
The GOP-E gave no money to Akin, a conservative.
In the October issue of the NRA's American Rifleman Magazine the race between Akin and McCaskel was not listed in the battles for senate seats beginning on page 98.
Chris Cox of the NRA screwed up big time on this one.
Akin very pro gun. McCaskel is very anti gun.
“must be followed by holding their feet to the fire. Local and national. Always and forever.”
Well said, never trust them to there own devices, Hold their feet to the fire, and keep them “honest”... Eagles Up
“The Show-Me State continues to slip away from Republicans. Both PPP (D) and Rasmussen (R) have Rep. Todd Akin trailing Democratic incumbent Sen. Debbie Stabenow by 6 and 8 points, respectively.” Todd Akin is NOT running against Debbie Stabenow. Where in the heck did they get this information? In another poll, Akin is 2 points down from McCaskill which is within the margin of error.
Human Events predicts Republican gains in the Senate and Thompson win in Wisconsin
FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.
The Senate balance seems at least as close as the presidential race. In the 11 tossup senate races, you might get as good a prediction by flipping a coin as the predictions from the “experts.”
I am hoping for the best, but I think it’s just too close to call.
Don’t forget about recount skullduggery.
Another GOP blown opportunity. If the election was last November this wouldn't be an issue.
A 50D-50R (+Biden) Senate will cause Obama grief as would a 50R-50D (+Ryan) Senate would a POTUS Romney.
Sure, if McConnell is leader he can schedule embarrassing votes but he needs 60 to pass most stuff.
How about repealing budget related items of O-care using budget reconciliation? Rounding up all 50Rs to cut O-care spending would be much more difficult than most here imagine.
Akin is a conservative, but he is also an idiot and will be a loser. We need to nominate conservative who are not idiots, because independents are the key to a victory and they will not vote for a conservative whom they perceive to be an idiot.
I'm guessing that you do not know Democrats and you do not know New Jersey. With them, this is considered a badge of honor, a plus in the electoral sweepstakes. Menendez will not be hurt by any of this. New Jersey loves crooked and immoral politicians, an honest politician would make them all feel very uncomfortable.
No problem, Romney "can work with the opposition, reach across the aisle, get things done!" Like GWB.
Don’t remind me. Let me have a few more hours of dream time...
That is one thing he promises that I believe he will do, especially with a near equal Senate that needs 60. What could go wrong with that?
It seems you have 1/3 of voters who want Rs to stand firm until Dems cave.
...and 1/3 of voters who want Dems to stand firm until Rs cave.
But few of them are swing voters. Most of them fall in line every election.
Then you got another 1/3 who want them all to work together and compromise and then later they get mad when they find out what they really passed together was a pile of crap, unless its a massive handout, then they get mad later over the deficit. The swing voters are part of that group.
This is called Democracy DA-DA-DA.
” How about repealing budget related items of O-care using budget reconciliation? “
” Then you got another 1/3 who want them all to work together and compromise and then later they get mad when they find out what they really passed together was a pile of crap”
Same old story, same ol song & dance....
This is hardly clairvoyance. I hope not many listeners were surprised by him stating the obvious. That is why a POTUS Romney will/would make deals with Reid as GWB did with Pelosi and Obama with Boehner.
Believe me, Romney wins and the celebration here will last about as long as the Dems did 4 years ago, that was about 2 months.
A 50D-50R (+Biden) Senate will cause Obama almost as much grief as would a 50R-50D (+Ryan) Senate would a POTUS Romney. Sure, if McConnell is leader he can schedule embarrassing votes but he needs 60 to pass most stuff.
#17 posted on Thursday, November 01, 2012 10:27:17 PM by sickoflibs
I need my own radio show LOL.
You will have at least 20 listeners : )
and then itll be still be adding more laws and fedpork, not less...
This is EXACTLY my point but as usual you make it stronger with your way of describing things.
Back in November 2008 I warned many Dems here in the freak state that their happy party would be over in January (2009)when O took office but as usual they thought it was just more R party wishful thinking. And they had about 21 months of headaches (2009 to 2010) following that.
I don't think wishfully. If I say Dems will have headaches you KNOW they will have headaches.
I understand your misgivings about the Republicans and there past performance but I am not going to give up the ship just yet... the alternative is worse.
You owe me an F8 key for that. LOL
There is much stuff I post that you will enjoy, I will include you on those.
I just don’t drink Koolaid anymore Gave it up 2007 to 2008.