Skip to comments.Breaking: Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania by Four
Posted on 11/02/2012 7:50:40 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
Romney ahead of Obama in Pennsylvania by Four Posted on November 2, 2012 by eriecogop
Susquehanna Polling and Research results for Pennsylvania released today shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama 49% to 45% among 1376 likely voters. Two percent are undecided and 3% are for other candidates.
In the same sample Republican Tom Smith leads Senator Casey by two percentage points in the race for the United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania. Smith is at 48% to Caseys 46% according to this poll.
Diana Irey Vaughan (R) is tied with McCord at 45% each, David Freed(R) trails Kane by 45% to 47% and Maher(R) leads DePasuale 45% to 44%.
This poll shows the highly competitive nature of all statewide races where there are no highly favored candidates and it also reveals that Pennsylvania is definitely in play for both the presidential and senatorial races which will determine control of the direction of this nation between two differing visions on energy independence, education, international trade, balancing the budget and support for small businesses.
Now we’re talking!
Thanks for the great news!
Having Mitt win in PA would be awesome... would just put a great cap on what I pray is a great night for Mitt. It trumps Ohio - but furthermore, if Mitt is up by 4 in PA, he is easily up by 5-6 in Ohio. Philly is the key. If the nor-easter materializes in time and runs the east coast, turnout in Philly will be depressed.
Even the islolated jag-offs who will put up Obama signs won't put up Casey signs.
If Pennsylvania announces for Romney/Smith early on Tuesday night, I won't know whether to stay up and celebrate or go to bed early and get a good night's sleep.
Obama’s war on coal is going to hurt him big time in Pa. That and a lot of folks in the Marcellus Shale area are worried about Barry’s EPA fracking regs.
Come on Keystoners.
This is our last chance to turn Obamacare into a 2700 page bonfire.
Wow! We need something like that in OH, MI and WI. Anyone knows what’s the latest state of play in these three states?
This is HUGH and SERIES!!!
I do NOT trust these polls at all! If Romney is not ahead by at least 10 points then America has failed! You can take it from there.. I have other things to say but it can wait until after you leftists lose big time! This is NOT a socialist country!
Paging Nate Silver - spill on aisle 3.
I dated a gal name Susquehanna.
WTF? If this is the case, WI, MI, and MN are falling. OH is in the bag.
I have been positive about things, but did not think polls in PA would turn this way. I was expecting it to be a turn out the vote thing.
If R win’s Penn, isn’t that a shoe in?
Hail to the Mitt!
Winning PA would be both stunning and huge. Changes what Romney would require to get to 270. Hard to believe that PA may go Romney before OH.
this is such good news, but can’t we just give philadelphia to New Jersey, they would fit right in there and then the rest of our state would definitely be a very pretty shade of red,
Susquehanna called Toomey Sestak in 2010 exactly
Hahahahahaha! Yet we’re supposed to believe to believe that Mr. Obama is winning in Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa and Florida? LMBFAO!
Clearly, all their base are belong to us.
If PA gets called early enough, I’m going to bed at a decent hour.
I’ll have earned my rest after a long day at the polls.
Wow, major good news for R. You have seen several analyst all saying PA is in play for real this time. And even WashPost indicated it was trending R.
Look, it has long been recognized that the corrupt MSM’s propagandizing on behalf of Democrats easily gives them about a 15 point bump.
EVERYONE keep working to get out every R vote!
There are a lot of gravestones in Philly and every one of them could cast 4 or 5 Obama votes!
I hope this is true.
You can also spot the loser as well. Four years ago at this time, John McCain had those slumped shoulders and that fake "Jerry Sandusky" smile on him as he went through the motions of his final rallies.
Well I saw some video of the beaming Mitt Romney tonight at that Ohio rally and that was the look of a winner. Evidently he has been told by his team that the internals are looking very good and that he can expect to be the president-elect in less than 100 hours from now.
If Pennsylvania falls into place, that will be icing on the cake. But regardless of which way PA goes, Romney is on his way.
As an aside, if PA goes to Romney, we will likely see MI, MN, NV, and WI go to Romney as well. If that is the case, we all need to send Axlerod some dull razors.
Mittmentum....SWEET dreams! GO PA GO!
Look, I know they aren’t polling in NY/NJ right now, but my gut tells me that enraged voters will log protest votes over the incompetent government emergency response.
If that happens, and I think it will, look for NY and NJ to go RED.
Regardless of the direction of the overall assessment, we need the internals and the turnout model to understand the results and its implications.
These are the same results of an earlier Susquehanna poll. You’d think there would have been some movement one way or another in the past two weeks. But no, same exact numbers. I heard these guys on the radio justifying their last poll and they made it clear that they were the most accurate pollster when it comes to PA, and that the turnout models being used by others don’t reflect what’s really happening. I like it.
Susquehanna called Toomey - Sestak in 2010 exactlyI remember reading that a few weeks ago. When Rasmussen and a couple of others showed Toomey with a 4-5 pt lead on the final weekend, Susquehanna showed it tightening way up to about a half point. They tried to tell Toomey, and Pat just lectured them about how they were wrong. I guess he takes their calls now, eh? Great news!!
Mrs. ConservativeInPa said she is going to buy a bottle of Champaign this weekend. Personally, I think she wants to get me drunk and take advantage of me.
What made Hanna so sucksque?
I don’t know how accurate this poll is, but I can tell you with certainty that 0 is beginning to panic. All night long I’ve been seeing pro-abortion Obama ads with clips showing the world how opposed Romney is to abortion and Planned Parenthood. Clearly the target audience is rich suburban women. Don’t know how effective the ads will be since the economy around here is in the toilet. I guess we’ll just have to stay tuned. I really think PA is going to be a nailbiter.
I dated a Hanna who liked to su...
No, another time.
What made Hanna so sucksque?
If Pennsylvania goes for Romney, then it is game over.
Final Top Line Survey Results
Susquehanna Polling - Fall 2008 Statewide Poll
Sample Size: 700 Registered Likely Voters
Conducted: October 16-18, 2008
Following are the key findings from the poll:
In the current poll, Democratic candidate Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain by a 48/40 margin, with 7% still undecided.
[Final Result: 54.4% Obama, 44.2% McCain]
AMEN! Can't say it better.
Yes! I am giving another 50 for the Romney campaign tonight.
Nate Silver doesn’t have time for facts. He is probably in the bathtub with his boyfriend.
If Romney wins PA, does it mean he still has to win Ohio or does it not make a difference anymore? If Romney wins PA its ADIOS KENYAN MARXIST
If Romney takes PA I am going to have to click over to MSNBC to watch the collective meltdown. Then again, maybe Carville will put a garbage can on his head again.
Roll on Mitt, roll on!
Then NJ would have three NFL teams.
If this holds on election day, it is game over. The bad guy loses.