Posted on 11/04/2012 5:28:26 PM PST by Libloather
Democrats' drive to retake House falters
By ALEX ISENSTADT | 11/4/12 6:29 PM EST
Nancy Pelosi has spent much of the past two years proclaiming that Democrats had a great shot at reclaiming the House and returning the speaker’s gavel to her hands.
But her drive to regain the majority for Democrats is on the verge of a complete collapse. Democrats are expected to pick up five seats at best — a fraction of the 25 they need. On the eve of the election, some party officials are privately worried that Democrats might even lose ground and drop one or two seats to the Republican majority.
It would mark an epic failure for a party that has a legitimate shot at keeping the presidency and the Senate on Tuesday. The inability of House Democrats to pick off a good number of seats from one of the most unpopular House majorities in modern history will cause a lot of soul-searching in the party come Wednesday.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
Democrats are expected to pick up five seats at best
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This could be a repeat of 2010. It is so bad for the democrat party that they even gerrymandered Allen West’s district to remove him and he will probably win by double digits.
Shouldn’t the Census reallocation/redistricting have had a larger effect?
I thought the RINOs did that.
You would think the democrats would put more effort into taking out a quiet conservative freshman like mine but the democrat challenger isn’t much more than a placeholder on the ballot. Zero ads and zero signs for the democrat here.
The only reason we didn't win control of the Senate was because there really was not anything vulnerable in 2010.
You think we will have a majority in the Senate this time around?
DemocRATS expect to pick-up House seats? In 2012? With Obama at the top of the ticket?
HA-HA-HA!
And, may I add,
HO-HO-HO!
http://atr.rollcall.com/race-rating-changes-the-final-push/
“all of our final House ratings changes — save for one — are benefiting Republicans “
I thought the RINOs did that.
It was more of a side effect of favorable GOP redistricting in adjoining districts, IMHO.
I voted for West in 2010. I don't think he represents my Congressional district this time around, but I am very relieved to see that he will apparently win regardless.
I haven't agreed with him on everything, but he's a patriotic conservative firebrand in the tradition of the likes of Samuel Adams.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Allen West somewhere on a Presidential ticket within the next few cycles...
Here in deep blue Broward county FL, I see way more Romney signs than Øbama signs. It’s like a reverse of 2008.
Except on my street, I’m the only one. And there are 3 Øbama signs. But then again, my neighborhood is going down the tubes.
Let's go to school on this.
1. The House of Representatives is designed to be representative of the nation as a whole.
2. The current makeup of the House is 242 R and 193 D -- a 56-44% split. This balance was achieved in 2010 when the GOP got 57% of the total Congressional vote. 57% of the vote, 56% of the Representatives...pretty representative, I'd say.
3. Even the partisan Politico is admitting that the makeup of the House won't meaningfully change in this election. The Republicans will remain in charge with a solid majority.
4. Which translates to an admission that the GOP will gain 55%-or-so of the total Congressional vote again in 2012.
5. And, if the GOP gets 55%-or-so of the Congressional vote, how likely is it that Romney gets less than a majority of the Presidential vote?
6. And, by the same token, how likely is it that GOP Senatorial candidates will get less than a majority of the Senatorial vote?
The House vote is under the radar, but even those partisan comments about the eventual House outcome are themselves, admissive of a Republican sweep irrespective of the Presidential polls.
If the Polls were correct in the +D 5-11, the Congress should be up for grabs as well.
You are both wrong, Florida voters passed some queero “fair redistricting amendment” that robbed the GOP legislature of the power to properly gerrymander, there was little they could do to help West.
West’s current seat got more democrat and he is now running in what I consider one of the 2 new seats. While it has different territory the partisan balance is almost the same as his old seat.
His redrawn now rat leaninging old seat we have a chance to hold with popular Jewish Republican Adam Hasner.
Several months ago when it looked like Osama might possibly win easily they would have gained 5 seats.
They are likely to suffer a net loss and if we’re lucky it could be more than a few.
Pelosi was trash talking to raise money, privately the left knows it never had a chance to take back the House. But you can’t raise money saying “hey it’s hopeless”. They are just trying to win as many seats as they can.
Pelosi still deserves to have that giant gavel shoved into a very uncomfortable place after her “gloat walk” following the 0bamacare cram down.
It would be great to see her hop on her broom for the last time and disappear into the distance.
I see Hasner signs all over the place. Hope he wins...
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