[Numbers Guy]

If you go to the poll itself, there's one extremely interesting data point. Forget for a moment the D/R breakdown (35D/31R if you exclude leaners)

http://images.politico.com/global/2012/11/politico_gwbgp_nov6_questionnaire.html

Near the bottom there's a question: Who did you vote for in 2008? The results are Obama 50%, McCain 40% (others presumably didn't vote or were too young to vote). In other words, given that Obama won by just under 7 points, this polling sample is skewed 3 points to the Dems based on something clearly verifiable (the actual results in 2008). Now that's not completely indicative, you likely have older voters who passed on who may have leaned McCain and firsttime voters may lean Democratic, but it is an interesting measure of the skew.

[skeeter]

I consider it a very good omen that sources typically biased to the left are constantly calling this race a tie. I do not believe it is.

[CatOwner]

More accurate would be to determine what the margin of victory was in the battleground states in 2008. It’s possible that it might have been closer than the national spread of 7.27%.

[Gaffer]

What did Politico do? Poll all the cellphone numbers that their staffers gave them of their ‘drug - connections’ in DC? Ha!

[ShovelThemOut]

“Independents break for Romney by 15 points, 47 percent to 32 percent.”

So for Zero to win, he’s going to have to get MORE Dims to the polls than what showed up in 2008. Yeah right.

Once again, we are being fed this TOO CLOSE TO CALL crap.

We heard it before with the Wisconsin Recall. The reality: 49 MINUTES after the polls closed it was OVER. Walker won 53-46.

Here is MSNBC saying it would be hours and hours before we knew who won, and then having to eat crow. PRICELESS

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pchwcD4IPzs

[SnuffaBolshevik]

An incumbent at 47% is not in a good position.
Keeping fingers crossed.

[Trapped Behind Enemy Lines]

D/R/I breakdown in the poll?

Never used to ask this question, now I always do.

[Graewoulf]

May the heros of Benghazi be proud of how we vote today.

They gave their lives for us, now we need to give our votes for them.

Vote as if the lives of our Military Men and Women depended on it.

[justiceseeker93]

Near the bottom there's a question: Who did you vote for in 2008? The results are Obama 50%, McCain 40% (others presumably didn't vote or were too young to vote). In other words, given that Obama won by just under 7 points, this polling sample is skewed 3 points to the Dems based on something clearly verifiable (the actual results in 2008). Now that's not completely indicative, you likely have older voters who passed on who may have leaned McCain and firsttime voters may lean Democratic, but it is an interesting measure of the skew.

I was thinking of the same issue: who is voting this year who didn't vote in '08 and who voted in '08 who isn't voting this year? It has to be a bit more nuanced than merely the older voters in '08 having passed on the young first time voters replacing them. There are quite a number of not so young conservatives who foolishly sat out '08 out of frustration with RINO McCain and his passive campaign, but are now strong for Romney. You also have some not so old Democrats, especially so-called "minorities," who were enthusiastic for the Messiah in '08 but are sitting this one out in remorse or resentment at his performance as POTUS.

[N. Theknow]

Wonder why no poll gives a sample of unemployed voters.

R&R should have a built in 7.9% advantage with that demographic.

[RedMonqey]

A majority, 53 percent, disapprove of Obama’s handling of the economy, 57 disapprove of his spending policies and 54 think the country is on the wrong track.

A landside for Romney?

[rwfromkansas]

Uh, guys, this shows a BIG OBAMA LEAD in the swing states.

This is a good poll, and that is my first true warning sign.