Skip to comments.10 Reasons Why Romney Lost And Obama Won -- A Two Part Series [Part One]
Posted on 11/20/2012 11:30:54 PM PST by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle
In the aftermath of establishment Republican Mitt Romneys defeat in the 2012 presidential election, Governor Romney said he lost because he couldnt overcome the effect of Obamas gifts to key demographics; student loan modifications for young voters and amnesty for young and predominantly Hispanic illegal aliens.
We think Romney missed the mark with that analysis because conservative ideas have successfully countered the Democrats attempts to bribe voters in the past. However, the comment is a good place for conservatives to start analyzing the failures of the Romney campaign and learning from the successes of the Obama campaign.
Here are our top 10 reasons Romney lost and Obama won starting with five top reasons Romney lost.
Romney lost because he failed to nationalize the election and present a starkly contrasting conservative world view to Obamas radical liberalism. During the campaign we criticized Governor Romney for playing small ball and not nationalizing the election. By nationalizing the election we mean presenting a stark contrast between conservative and liberal world views the freedom, personal responsibility and traditional values of conservatives versus the state control, government dependency and radical secular humanism of liberals.
We cant repeat this point often enough; Republicans never, ever win national elections unless they nationalize the election and include the conservative agenda especially the conservative social agenda in their campaign. Doing so isnt a guarantee of success, but failing to do so is a guarantee of defeat.
Unfortunately, that advice fell on deaf ears and you couldnt find conservative ideology anywhere in the Romney campaign, the establishment GOPs national advertising or even from Karl Roves much vaunted Super PACs. Romney managed to eventually say all the right things to conservatives during the primaries, but he didnt run or campaign on them in the general election.
Romney lost because he ran as a technocrat, not as a conservative. Making the welfare state more efficient is not exactly a compelling conservative vision of the future, or even a credible one given the recent Washington Republican record on spending, earmarks and pork. When Tea Party candidates stood for a constitutionally limited government in opposition to liberal candidates whose policies led to economic stagnation and suffocating government regulation being imposed upon this country by President Obama and his Democratic allies in Congress overwhelmingly the voters chose the Tea Party candidates.
The Romney campaign and their allies in the establishment Republican Party rejected that proven model for political success, and instead ran a content-free campaign selling Mitt Romney the technocrat.
Romney lost because he and his establishment Republican allies distanced themselves from and alienated the Tea Party. In 2010, a fourth leg was added to the three legs of the Reagan coalition the small government constitutional conservatives of the Tea Party Movement. As a result of adding this fourth leg to their existing coalition of economic, national defense and social conservatives, the GOP was swept back into control of the House of Representatives, brought within striking distance of a Senate majority, and a re-energized Republican Party elected thousands of down-ballot candidates.
Unfortunately, unlike the wise Party leaders who built the Reagan coalition -- men such as Nevada Senator Paul Laxalt, Lyn Nofziger, Dick Allen, Ed Meese, Marty Anderson, and Judge William Clark -- instead of solidifying the four legs of the new coalition, in 2012 Mitt Romney distanced himself from the Tea Party and did his best to alienate and marginalize the adherents of the new conservative voting bloc of the Tea Party Movement.
Romney lost because he wasnt in the fight on many issues and failed to establish his own narrative on Obamas radical secular liberal agenda. You are always going to lose a fight youre not in. Obama and the Democrats threw down the gauntlet on the social issues -- such as same-sex marriage and abortion and created a phony "war on women" revolving around rape, contraceptives and abortion. Romney never established his own narrative on these issues, or even fought back, and consequently an attack unanswered is an attack believed.
Romney and his establishment Republican allies ran away from such issues as same-sex marriage, religious freedom and Obamas war on the Catholic Church. You couldnt find any mention of the Constitution or the conservative social agenda in a Romney ad or in a Rove-run Super PAC ad or an ad run by the national GOP.
The stand for nothing strategy didnt work for President Fords 1976 campaign, it didnt work for President George H.W. Bushs re-election and it certainly didnt work for Bob Dole and John McCain. Governor Romney won the nomination by spending tens of millions of dollars knee-capping his conservative opponents in the primaries and then handed the election to Obama because he and his campaign team spent most of the campaign mired in the establishment Republican folly of trying to win by standing for nothing.
Romney lost because he failed to understand and effectively use the new and alternative media to get-out-the-vote and deliver a conservative message to voters who only get their information through online media. Romneys ORCA get-out-the-vote technology was spectacularly bad and may have cost him the election in Ohio, Florida and Virginia, but that wasnt Romneys only online failure.
Romneys team was stuck in the 20th century TV air war campaign mindset. They failed to grasp that the most dramatic change in the media environment, ever, has been the rise of digital media and social networking sites. The Romney team failed to craft conservative messages that would appeal to voters who use these sites especially young voters.
This failure by itself may account for much of Romneys deficit with young voters; among adults younger than age 30, according to a Pew study, as many saw news on a social networking site (33%) as saw any television news (34%), and just 13% read a newspaper in print or digital form.
Conservatives long ago recognized the power of the new and alternative media. Ron Paul and the various elements of the Tea Party Movement have built vast networks of voters connected by online communications and social media. However, at every phase of the campaign, Mitt Romney's digital operation was behind the tech savvy Obama team. By alienating Paul supporters and the Tea Party Movement, Romney missed the opportunity to tap into their established networks and connect digitally with those millions of conservative voters.
Tomorrow we will explore the reasons why Obama won and what conservatives can learn from the success of the Obama campaign.
In the immortal words of Ms. Tina Turner: "BOOM-shakka-lakka-lakka!" ;)
Economic policy in America is easy enough to change. It is the social conservative issues you need advance during elections.
I think Sly and the Family Stone was first. :-)
I think you're absolutely right. ;) My bad, unquestionably.
I knew he would lose when he ignored Sarah Palin and the TEA Party, but I kept praying. He needed her to speak at his sorry convention. She was the VP nominee in ‘08 for crying out loud.
Yes, she was very luke warm for him as the nomineee, -— she was for Newt Gingrich in the primaries -— but nominees have to be big men and rally the base. Nobody can rally the base like Sarah Palin! Apparently, Romney was too scared Sarah would put off the independents...lol. What a colossal fool. Romney listened to the old, loser dogs in the GOP-E who despise Sarah Palin and we all noticed her absence!
I voted for Romney regardless, but a whole lot of others didn’t. I cringe every time I hear that McCain got more votes than Romney. Wrong. Sarah Palin got those votes!
Romney also failed to capitalize on Benghazi He was going for the Marxist throat when Candy Crowley shut him down, but during the following debate he absolutely took a pass on Benghazi, when all he had to do was mimic Charles Krauthammer’s talking points which Charles repeated every weekday night on Bret Baier’s panel.
Romney showed no leadership in the role as CIC. This was a no brainer. Nice, wimpy guys finish last.
Spot on.... all of it.
He ignored the Tea Party, Sarah. He tried literally to destroy all of his opponents. People could not forget that. I still believe he was in plots with several candidates to stop Newt after Palin said publicly Vote, Newt! I think Romney's staff leaked those odd stories about Herman. Herman was on top for awhile. Mitt was on the insider team (which we want a team) though, that special club looks down on most of us as being too in your face with our views(as we need to tone it down, they think)
His convention was milk toast no red meat, I saw from the candidate, Miit. Palin should had been. My lib friends were saying the GOP were nuts for keeping her away. So, we should not trust the leftist media when they tell you that one of yours are too far out there. Those are the people they fear that will rally a protest. It is a shame what happened. The GOP has to get a stronger candidate next time.
1. He is a creepy, creepy man. Remember the first time you saw him? Remember how transparently phony he was? Well, you may have gotten numbed to it after all the campaigning, but he is still the same, icky guy. He's a phony that no normal person can stomach. And some conservatives who vowed to never vote for him kept their promise.
2. Not kidding. I'll bet the dog thing cost him 1%. Might not be fair, but it just fits into his lack of personality. The thing that really stuck with me was that he would only allow his kids bathroom breaks at preplanned stops. CREEPY!
3. There are definitely people in the base who wouldn't vote for a Mormon. That cost him at least 1%.
A good candidate could’ve won and possibly pulled along some Senate seats. He was a horrible candidate, but, like ‘96 and ‘08, the GOP will never admit it.
Ditto! Well said.
I think the large number of people voted for the freebies and the Dems were able to build false votes where they needed them.
I believe that was a big part of it.
You are right. Those things too made a difference for him.
correct analysis. but conservatives did themselves no favors by allowing the movement to be divided by romney and the GOPe. we will need to build political instrumentalities outside the control and influence of the GOP.
You are the wisest of the wise.
You make great observations. The whole thing was a train wreck. GOP-E was totally focused against the Tea Party and not Obama.
Hi Gator113! Thank you very much.
I’m up late! GOOD to see you!!!!
And the wife too...
“I don’t think of myself as being rich.”
Yea, that’s because you’re super rich!
I don’t mind anyone being rich, but please - don’t make the stupid talk about it!
Thanks very much.
I’m just a Sarah-bot, ya know?
Hey, my dear friend!
Thanks very much.
He truly needed Sarah Palin!
Palin definitely earned her spotlight. Thanks for the posts.
I agree onyx was nailing it.
I like reading this thread. We are all being candid without getting offended while learning what went wrong. Have a good night/morning.
The author seems to have omitted one of the key reasons for Romney’s loss - cheating on the part of the Democrats by ballot stuffing and multiple voting by voters, as well as getting out the vote by illegal aliens who sought a Democrat victory, with all of the government handouts and goodies - not to mention welfare scamsters and union goons, who sought a Democrat victory for precisely the same reasons, i.e., graft and payoffs.
Hi there, been a long time. Missed seeing you. I agree with what you posted about it being a train wreck ..It was alot of reasons, wasn’t it but really things went bad when the GOP turned their backs on the Tea Party. Have a good day.
Thanks very much.
I recall the Romney campaign saying they couldn’t work out a time schedule with her.
I like this thread too. I’m so happy to see you. I trust you’re all well now?
Those were good days on the ramparts - till we got slaughtered.
But in politics, we live to fight another day.
Indeed, she did! Romney ignored her and it cost him.
I truly hope he’s done with politics.
My hubby is sick with the flu. Doctor appt first thing this morning for him. Have a good day there.
Good point. Hate to say it, but she was not appealing. And that was another reason I couldn't stand Romney. Like Edwards, he had a sick wife, but instead of retiring with her, he cared more about pursuing power than caring for her.
I'd love to blame his loss on issues I care about. But normal people don't care about politics. Alas, the fact that he was not a likeable person doomed the campaign from the start.
Romney will be President of the UN.
-> But in politics, we live to fight another day.
Isn’t that the truth. Never give up, I say unless one can”t take the stress so one does not become ill.
Keep in mind that a lot of younger guys will watch a network based on how 'hot' they perceive the anchor to be. Robin Meade on CNN gets a faster vote than Shepherd Smith, so they watch CNN. (Yeah, I know Mehgan Kelly is hot, but too many younger males see her as threatening because she's smart.)
Happy about you! Very sorry about your husband. Awful to be sick for Thanksgiving. Prayers for him.
LOLOLOL. I hope NOT.
Notice that no matter how far to the Left their side gets, they are never presented as "extremists" or "Whackos". Heck, even our own side tends to kick the dog crap out of anyone who suggests return to original intent.
How in the heck are we going to win doing their work for them?
We can't out Democrat the Democrats, can't out Liberal the Liberals, and for d@mned sure can't give away more than they do, but the novel tactic of appealing to the base might work, if it was tried.
Had Romney's bunch decided to remind Catholics of their ties to a Church that would not budge on gay marriage nor abortion/obamacare, maybe they could have brought in more votes, especially from the Hispanic Catholics (run the ads in Spanish, in the appropriate market areas). Put the fear of God in the voters, where it counts. That could have been an entire ad campaign, and that is just one instance of where fighting the good fight might have made a difference.
I think the Dems calculated where they could stuff enough ballot boxes to carry the POTUS election, and then did so. (Philly, Ohio, for instance).
I also think they may have done the same thing to keep control of the Senate, because without that, DUH-1 would be vulnerable to getting impeached over Benghazi, or fast and furious, among other things.
“I knew he would lose when he ignored Sarah Palin and the TEA Party, but I kept praying. He needed her to speak at his sorry convention. She was the VP nominee in 08 for crying out loud.”
I like Sarah Palin, but the media had marginalized her into a caricature; she wouldn’t have brought more votes than he would have lost because of her. Mitt Romney didn’t lose this election for ten reasons; he lost it for one: The media campaigned for Obama for four straight years, and suppressed Romney’s message. He was sabotaged in the same manner as Palin, and with the same effect. I’m no fan of Romney, but voted for him because he was clearly better than the alternative.
Good, please tell him. I’m praying his doctor can help him and that it’s only a slight or 24 hour flu. Weather and the time change cause me grief and sickness! It’s also important to wash hands very often. I keep sanitary hand wipes with me at all times and in the car.
The media only marginalized her in the minds of the libtards and pro-abortion women.
She gained in stature with TEA Party conservative which Romney sorely needed and did not get.
Placing your faith in a proven (and staggeringly inept) con artist? Stupid, stupid, stupid.
The media effectively marginalized her with enough voters to cost McCain/Palin the election. She is simply much more effective in grass-roots campaigning for other candidates in “real America” than on a national stage.
I don’t fault her; the media in this country has shown that it is in fact NOT dead, and has flexed its muscle in a terrifying way for the second time in four years. Americans are ignorant enough to respond to it, and the Dems, working with the media, will ensure that they remain that way. Without a grass-roots ground game, the Repubs are finished on the national stage; even as the economy continues to deteriorate over the next four years, the media has just shown that they have the power to get another Dem into office in 2016 nonetheless.
One presumes Vigurie will throw that at the wall tomorrow with 4 other spitballs and see what sticks...