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Why Republicans should have won the election (and why they didn’t)
The Washington Post ^ | November 27, 2012 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 11/28/2012 4:57:47 PM PST by MinorityRepublican

Going into election day 2012, Republicans were very confident that former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney had a 50-50 chance of winning the presidency. It didn’t turn out that way.

Answering the “why” posed by that discrepancy is of critical import for Republicans as they move forward to 2014 and 2016. And, a new piece by Glen Bolger, a GOP pollster and partner at Public Opinion Strategies, explains both why Republicans should have won — and why they didn’t — as succinctly as anything we have read since the election.

Here’s Bolger’s argument in a nutshell (and here’s Austin Powers in a nutshell): If the electorate had looked like 2004, Romney would have won — and perhaps won easily. But, it didn’t. And, it won’t in the future.

To wit:

* Romney won self-described independent voters by 5 points — 50 percent to 45 percent (George W. Bush lost independents to John Kerry by 1 point in 2004.)

* Romney won voters earning between $50,000 and $100,0000 by 52 percent to 46 percent. That’s less than what Bush got in 2004 (he won that group by 12) but they were 28 percent of the electorate in 2012 and just 18 percent electorate in 2004.

* Romney won white voters by 20 points, the largest margin ever for a Republican candidate.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: elections; romney
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1 posted on 11/28/2012 4:57:51 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Romney lost because the Santa Claus Communist Party beat him (formerly the Progressive party) ((formerly before that the democratic party))


2 posted on 11/28/2012 5:01:58 PM PST by C210N (In favor of private rights and public happiness)
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To: MinorityRepublican

The socialist-indoctrinated youth have come of age, in critical mass. Unless that changes, bye-bye America. Oh wait.. It’s already bye-bye America. Then there’s that issue of voter fraud; A favorite of the unions who run the polling places in the swing states.. I think that put 0bama over the top, actually.


3 posted on 11/28/2012 5:02:43 PM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America (IMPEACH OBAMA)
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America

Dead on. Bump.


4 posted on 11/28/2012 5:04:30 PM PST by RightOnline (I am Andrew Breitbart!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

With Romney not contaminating the party, republicans may be able to recover from his dark influence on the party.

Massachusetts liberals should never have taken over the GOP.


5 posted on 11/28/2012 5:08:41 PM PST by ansel12 (The only Senate seat GOP pick up was the Palin endorsed Deb Fischer's successful run in Nebraska)
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To: MinorityRepublican

VOTER FRAUD...simple as that...(with a side of swarming Biblical Locusts.)


6 posted on 11/28/2012 5:09:44 PM PST by Mortrey (Impeach President Soros)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Says there are more democrats than republicans. There ALWAYS has been among adults or registered voters. Obama got a huge minority turnout and turned them into “likely voters”.

Note he dismisses getting more of the white vote. God forbid we should openly appeal to a group that is 72% of the electorate.

The hispanic thing is a fantasy, a trick to make 30 millin more democrats from illegals.

The real problem is a near 100% black vote for democrats. Note the author assumes you can’t crack the black vote, or get more of the white vote.

You can. And you can get hispanic votes without giving in on illegals. A non Obama will not get 100% of blacks or the high black turnout. A Rubio or Cruz (sp?) may get more minority votes. Hang in there.

Let’s also remember what’s good for America.


7 posted on 11/28/2012 5:09:50 PM PST by Williams (No Obama)
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To: FReepers; Patriots
All contributions are for the
Current Quarter's Expenses.


Please Donate Tonight!
FReepathon Day 59!!


8 posted on 11/28/2012 5:14:27 PM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: C210N

The tax consumers won. It their country now ( as lon as lit last) and Mexico’s of course.


9 posted on 11/28/2012 5:16:02 PM PST by Breto (The Establishment party is killing our country)
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To: C210N

Mr Etch-a-Sketch lost because he could not energize his own base, much less revive Reagan’s coalition of conservatives, evangelicals, independents and blue collar democrats. If the GOP follows moderate/liberal advice and tilts further left, they’ll simply lose more elections.

There is no such thing as a moderate coalition. Never has been, never will be.

This country was founded to secure and defend God’s blessings of life and liberty to ourselves and our posterity. Nothing less will suffice.

God, Life, Family, Country, Liberty!!

HOLD THE LINE!!

DON’T RUN SQUISHES!!


10 posted on 11/28/2012 5:21:18 PM PST by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!!)
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To: ansel12
With Romney not contaminating the party, republicans may be able to recover from his dark influence on the party.

Says the obsessive ...

11 posted on 11/28/2012 5:21:18 PM PST by x
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To: MinorityRepublican

Hard to believe we’ve just given up on the black vote. There won’t be a dark complexion candidate running each time for the dems and there are certainly a rising number of middle class and upper class blacks. Why aren’t we going after these folks, just to peel off a few percent at least.


12 posted on 11/28/2012 5:22:05 PM PST by gotribe
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To: Williams
having covered this earlier today it's still fresh in my mind ~ just have your state mail out voter registration cards EARLY ~ that's so people will know they are registered to vote so there're no surprises on election day.

Plus, make sure they are endorsed DO NOT FORWARD.

That way any of them sent to an old address no longer used by the registered voter can be returned to the registrar's office for correction of the voter registration records.

That little trick probably removed MILLIONS from the voting rolls this year ~ maybe as many as 7 million Democrats and upwards of 2 to 3 million Republicans!

13 posted on 11/28/2012 5:26:47 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: MinorityRepublican

The huge problem we face is that Liberals assiduously demonize Republicans, while Republicans avoid this type of behavior. Demonization is a highly effective means of poisoning (ignorant) moderates against an opposition. If these poorly informed individuals constantly hear one side saying bad things about the other, but nothing similar going back the other way, it affects how they perceive the battle.

Republicans need to start attacking Liberals as cowardly, disloyal, ignorant, naïve, etc, now, and carry it through for four years, or they will be hopeless in 2016.

All fo these groups can be harnessed through shame, if the Republicans would have the balls to put up a united front, and be impolite with the idiot Libs who are constantly hammering them.


14 posted on 11/28/2012 5:28:14 PM PST by AnonymousConservative (Why did Liberals evolve within our species? www.anonymousconservative.com)
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To: Mortrey; All

We can not wait for 2014 and 2016 to regroup and figure out new strategies. By then it will be too late. The Marxist/Muslim usurper will have completed his planned distruction of America.

That’s what people fail to understand.

Col Allen West; “I don’t want to see America become like Zimbabwe where people don’t trust their electoral process. If we cannot trust the integrity of the voting system then we are no longer a free republic.

Col West has opened the door.
It’s now up to We The People.

Silence in the face of evil is itself evil. Not to speak is to speak. Not to act is to act.

.
Polls indicated that Romney was going to win the election. The economy is close to Great Depression era conditions, and unemployment is almost as high as when Obama entered office. Economic conditions became so dire after Obama took office it prompted the rise of an entire new movement, the Tea Party.
Presidents rarely win reelection when the economy is in the tank.
So how did Romney lose a race that numerous reputable polls and pundits predicted would be an easy win, based on historical patterns?
Massive voter fraud.

There are massive reports of criminal activity
(not mischief, not shenanigans, as many term the fraud- but CRIMINAL ACTIVITY) going on all over the U.S during the presidential election.
Reports of machines changing votes from Romney to Obama, eyewitness reports of Republican poll watchers who observed busloads of non-English speaking Somalians in Ohio being instructed to vote Obama- the list is endless.

http://www.ObamaVoterFraud.com/

Romney lost because of this, not any other reason.
Nobody could have won against the fraud planned and perpetrated by the Obama Machine.

The evidence is overwhelming!

http://atlasshrugs2000.typepad.com/atlas_shrugs/2012/11/video-eyewitness-of-somali-muslim-voter-fraud-in-ohio-by-obama-camp.html

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-aVy_s76ZY

https://www.facebook.com/lori.patriot/posts/404694619604138

http://www.westernjournalism.com/obama-stole-the-election/

http://www.youtube.com/watch?

feature=player_detailpage&v=LbOtYQceBxI-

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=Hbf3iaEbAuY

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ILJDudUpct0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=dmJtaOO2etc

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ILJDudUpct0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_rMpQKqZhM

http://obamavoterfraud.blogspot.com/

http://newtgingrich360.com/profiles/blogs/obama-stole-the-election

http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/election-fraud-obama-won-more-than-99-percent-of-the-vote-in-more-than-100-ohio-precincts

http://appalachianforums.com/forums/Dickenson_County,_Virginia.pl/md/read/id/255145

http://beforeitsnews.com/election-2012/2012/11/stolen-election-evidence-is-mounting-everything-points-to-stolen-votes-2446928.html

http://www.wnd.com/2012/11/adding-up-the-evidence-to-a-stolen-election/

http://politicaloutcast.com/2012/11/allen-west-mitt-romney-and-the-massive-voter-fraud-machine/

http://www.truethevote.org/news/how-widespread-is-voter-fraud-2012-facts-figures

http://foxnewsinsider.com/tag/voter-fraud/

http://www.humanevents.com/2012/11/01/voter-fraud-is-no-myth-its-more-common-than-you-think/

http://thewillcountynews.com/?p=415

http://video.foxnews.com/v/4279497/obama-stole-election/

http://www.wnd.com/2012/11/the-big-list-of-vote-fraud-reports/

http://townhall.com/columnists/rachelalexander/2012/11/11/obama_likely_won_reelection_through_election_fraud/page/full/

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/11/333-000-Votes-in-4-Swing-States-Would-Have-Given-Romney-the-Presidency

Accuracy In Media

The Left’s national voter fraud strategy exposed:

http://www.aim.org/special-report/the-lefts-national-vote-fraud-strategy-exposed/

Thousands of military votes uncounted or missing:

http://www.examiner.com/article/cast-aside-thousands-of-votes-from-our-military-troops-uncounted-or-missing

http://www.humanevents.com/2012/09/17/vote-fraud-alert-one-out-of-five-registered-ohio-voters-is-bogus/#.UJsjsmjNq5x.twitter

http://frontpagemag.com/2012/volpe/complaint-filed-over-illegal-alien-voters/

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/chicago-source-tells-author-brad-thor-obama-campaign-planning-to-proclaim-early-victory-to-demoralize-romney-supporters/

http://dailycaller.com/2012/11/05/brit-hume-on-presidential-polling-theres-something-wrong-here/#ixzz2BSER1mKj

http://frontpagemag.com/2012/matthew-vadum/obamas-army-of-illegal-election-workers/

http://mvpproject.org/in-the-news/va-military-absentee-ballots-going-awol-in-2012/

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/03/Dozens-of-Romney-Voters-In-Colorado-Complain-Machines-Changed-Votes-To-Obama

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2012/11/03/breaking_naacp_takes_over_polling_station_advocates_for_president_obama_at_houston_polling_location

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/02/claims-increasing-switched-votes-in-ohio/

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/more-electronic-voting-machines-changing-romney-votes-to-obama-we-looked-into-it-and-heres-what-a-vendor-told-us/

http://www.marionstar.com/article/20121031/NEWS03/310310009/Problem-found-board-elections?gcheck=1&nclick_check=1

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57550603/citing-high-number-of-rural-black-voters-maine-gop-chair-suspects-improprieties-at-the-polls/

http://www.naturalnews.com/037952_vote_fraud_Philadelphia_elections.html

Demonstration- voter machine hacked:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u4FPuLNjvAc&feature=youtu.be

http://politicaloutcast.com/2012/11/allen-west-mitt-romney-and-the-massive-voter-fraud-machine/#ixzz2CJk9QHHE

http://www.barackofraudo.com/

Go to http://www.facebookcensorship.com and see the documentation of their censorship and harassment.

Bro. Winter Christian Bible teacher http://www.prime.org
http://www.barrysoetoro.net
.

What you can do:
.

.
Visit these sites:

The Competent Conservative: Here’s What You Can Do:

http://thecompetentconservative.com/elections-have-not-yet-been-certified-heres-what-you-can-do/

WND: How Obama Can Be Stopped In The Electoral College:

http://www.wnd.com/2012/11/how-obama-can-be-stopped-in-electoral-college/

The Competent Conservative: Here’s What You Can Do:

http://thecompetentconservative.com/elections-have-not-yet-been-certified-heres-what-you-can-do/

http://www.ObamaVoterFraud.com/

Most of ‘Obama Voter Fraud’ activity is moving to FaceBook.
‘Obama Voter Fraud Volunteers
http://www.facebook.com/#!/ObamaVoterFraudVolunteers

‘Obama Voter Fraud’ on FaceBook-
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=488176621204089&set=a.488176614537423.110863.488173144537770&type=1&theater";;;-

Sign the petition- over 99,000 and counting -cards, email
http://www.petition2congress.com/8222/petition-recount-on-2012-presidential-election/

Another petition, The ‘We The People’ petition has 60,000 signatures and counting-
https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/petition/recount-election/ZQmy0Mlv#thank-you=p

___________________________________________________

The best Obama Exposure site on the net:
http://theobamafile.com/indexArchive.html

The United StatesLibrary of Congress has
selected TheObamaFile.com
for inclusion in its historic collection
of Internet materials
http://theobamafile.com/LibraryOfCongress.html

.


15 posted on 11/28/2012 5:28:33 PM PST by patriot08 (NATIVE TEXAN (girl type))
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To: MinorityRepublican

“...Mitt Romney had a 50-50 chance of winning the presidency. It didn’t turn out that way. “

That’s nonsensical.


16 posted on 11/28/2012 5:29:23 PM PST by ifinnegan
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To: MinorityRepublican
To me, the Gop-e picked nominee, had already shown a weakness by going against the party’s own platform. He was pro choice, The policy of Don't ask, Don't tell; Mr. Romney wanted that left as it was standing for our military. He even said before the election that he was very proud of his governorship passing the gay-marriage bill and the health care bill for Massachusetts. Those were not party platform issues. All troubling before the primary was out of the gate, in my view.

Of course, everyone has their own thoughts of what happened. The republican elites have turned their backs on the traditional values and only now fight for causes they see in which there would be either no political damage or less political damage for them. America has been spiraling since Bill Clinton. Clinton’s Sec. Elders passing out condoms in our schools. Judges removing God from our books. Illegals given free care/food stamps/free education from he US worker. On an on.. When Newt coined Obama as the food stamp president, more people started to get it. Romney, dropped that message. Almost like, he was being pulled 2 different ways. I guess he was, when you think about it since his heart was really not into conservatism.

17 posted on 11/28/2012 5:29:44 PM PST by Christie at the beach (I like Newt. Our nation's foundation is under attack.)
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To: gotribe
Well, sure. Nobody's ever going to get 95 or 96 percent of the Black vote like Obama did in 2008. Obama's own share was down to 93 percent or so this year, and that will go down for other Democrats in later elections. But probably the Democrat share of the African-American vote will be well over 80 percent for the forseeable future.

FWIW, I found this on foxnews.com: "In 2008, black women had the highest turnout rate, 69 percent, of all groups." If that's a fact, why didn't we know that and make our predictions on that basis? If Black turnout was much higher than expected last time, why assume it would be much lower this time?

18 posted on 11/28/2012 5:30:23 PM PST by x
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To: gotribe
LBJ got 97% of the black vote. JFK had gotten only 75%.

Obama equalled LBJ"s record in 2008, but this year he only got 93% ~ which tells us that 7% of the black vote ~ not just black voters ~ went somewhere else.

Notice the Democrats are not crowing about getting out record numbers of black voters ~ and they didn't. The fewer who show up the lower the percentage who vote for Democrats. Once we get the out of date voter registration files corrected, the Democrat share of the remaining black vote is probably going to be back down there at JFK's level ~ that is, 75% tops!

Somebody who wants can come up with a quadratic equation that gives us an indication of what percent of the black vote is fraudulent ~ should be fairly simple ~ the fewer black people claimed to have voted in a given election, the lower the percentage of those votes that show up in the Democrat column. We control the number of black people who are registered by keeping registration files up to date ~ we do that by sending out voter registration cards to the last known address of the voter ~ those that are returned result in at least one theoretically black Democrat voter no longer being registered, and that turns into.......

BTW, you have to send those cards to everybody to win this game ~ you can't just target census blocks where the latest census tells you there are black voters. Do it for everybody ~

19 posted on 11/28/2012 5:35:21 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: x

Your man just led us to ruin in a sure thing election and the party is broken because of him, you need to obsess less for Romney and join us in excising him and his negative influence from the party.

You and yours have done enough damage, now we need to rework the party image away from the liberal gaffe machine from Massachusetts.


20 posted on 11/28/2012 5:38:58 PM PST by ansel12 (The only Senate seat GOP pick up was the Palin endorsed Deb Fischer's successful run in Nebraska)
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