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Why Reported Inflation Seems Different Than Reality
Zero Hedge ^ | 20 December 2012 | Tyler Durden

Posted on 12/23/2012 10:30:36 AM PST by arthurus

But the manipulation of the data did not stop there. Aside from the weighting changes the BLS instituted a system of “hedonic” adjustments. Hedonics adjusts the prices of goods for the increased pleasure the consumer derives from them.

“That new washing machine you bought did not cost you 20% more than it would have cost you last year, because you got an offsetting 20% increase in the pleasure you derive from pushing its new electronic control buttons instead of turning that old noisy dial, according to the BLS.

When gasoline rises 10 cents per gallon because of a federally mandated gasoline additive, the increased gasoline cost does not contribute to inflation. Instead, the 10 cents is eliminated from the CPI because of the offsetting hedonic thrills the consumer gets from breathing cleaner air. The same principle applies to federally mandated safety features in automobiles. I have not attempted to quantify the effects of questionable quality adjustments to the CPI, but they are substantial.”

(Excerpt) Read more at zerohedge.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government
KEYWORDS: bls; cpi; hedonic; hedonicadjustments; hedonics; iglation; inflation
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To: Sirius Lee
Tuition is up because most people don't pay the full cost of a college education. If you were to eliminate every form of financial aid, I can pretty much guarantee you that the cost of a college education would decline -- because schools would be out of business otherwise.

Same with milk, eggs, bacon ..

Maybe you missed this part of my post:

The same holds true for almost any product or service that involves technology that has advanced considerably over time.

21 posted on 12/23/2012 12:02:27 PM PST by Alberta's Child ("I am the master of my fate ... I am the captain of my soul.")
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To: arthurus

The government learned the lessons of the Carter years well. We will never again see inflation, unemployment, and other numbers that accurately tell us the state of the economy.
The labor stats are outright lies. The inflation numbers are outright lies. Money supply is incleasng at an exponential rate. Prices on most everything have doubled from 2000. yet, we have almost zero inflation.
And gold has also exploded in price from 2000 because there is no inflation./


22 posted on 12/23/2012 2:37:06 PM PST by DesertRhino (I was standing with a rifle, waiting for soviet paratroopers, but communists just ran for office.)
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To: Graybeard58
S.S. says that inflation was 01.7% in 2012. Anybody believe that?

I believe the blue line in the following chart:


23 posted on 12/23/2012 2:39:49 PM PST by khelus
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To: arthurus

That’s why the Baraqqi Coalition has been so successful.
Combine hard left ideology, the tactics of the Chicago political mob, and the full fledged support of the MSM and you have a formidable force.

Up is down, black is white, and there’s no inflation.


24 posted on 12/23/2012 2:39:49 PM PST by nascarnation (Baraq's economic policy: trickle up poverty)
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To: khelus

Yes as the old Hunkeys used to say in Cleveland:
Dat’s boolsheet!


25 posted on 12/23/2012 2:41:27 PM PST by nascarnation (Baraq's economic policy: trickle up poverty)
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To: Alberta's Child
t's a much better car,

Much better if you like "traction control" that brakes wheels randomly until it breaks. Or airbags that may injure seat belt wearers but otherwise do nothing except cost 1000's to replace after a minor accident. The 1000 miles of extra wiring that adds unreliability. Or the air pressure sensors in a tire (how hard is it to look at a tire?) which break and then cost $100+ a piece. Oh yeah, I should also point out almost all of this crap is required by federal law. Mini spare tire, much better, yeah right. Now cars come with a much better can of fix-a-flat and no spare at all. I won't even go into the much better pollution control so we can breath from the tailpipe.

26 posted on 12/23/2012 2:41:45 PM PST by palmer (Obama = Carter + affirmative action)
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To: bert
When the GDP is adjusted for actual inflation, it is negative. . . .

Blue line = GDP adjusted by the cost of a set standard of living, not a declining one.



Ain't globalism grand?
27 posted on 12/23/2012 2:44:58 PM PST by khelus
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To: Alberta's Child
Tuition is up because most people don't pay the full cost of a college education.

Yes only on FR do we talk about the "Big Education" cycle

1) Govt makes unlimited loans to students

2) Schools raise prices to soak up available funds

3) Schools pay profs and administrators excessive salaries

4) Profs and admins donate heavily to Democrats

and repeat

28 posted on 12/23/2012 2:50:17 PM PST by nascarnation (Baraq's economic policy: trickle up poverty)
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To: arthurus
So my taxes aren't really going up, I'm just getting a more enjoyable government for my tax dollar?

-PJ

29 posted on 12/23/2012 2:51:59 PM PST by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: Chode
for years i've bought five candy bars at Wally's for an afternoon work snack for five bucks, last month they sent to $1.26 each...

I have to say that's a pretty substantial snack for one afternoon.

30 posted on 12/23/2012 2:54:59 PM PST by steve86 (Acerbic by Nature, not Nurture™)
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To: arthurus
The article makes inflation sound like some natural event that we must learn to live with like the weather. It isn't. It is a completely man-made phenomenon that needn't exist at all.

If the government didn't increase the number of dollars in circulation, inflation wouldn't exist.

31 posted on 12/23/2012 3:04:57 PM PST by BfloGuy (Workers and consumers are, of course, identical.)
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To: arthurus
The article makes inflation sound like some natural event that we must learn to live with like the weather. It isn't. It is a completely man-made phenomenon that needn't exist at all.

If the government didn't increase the number of dollars in circulation, inflation wouldn't exist.

32 posted on 12/23/2012 3:05:23 PM PST by BfloGuy (Workers and consumers are, of course, identical.)
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To: arthurus
Any thinking American knows the truth: they walk out of a grocery store these days with very little to show for it except a massive bill. The increase in prices from just a few short years ago is almost astronomical. The media has nothing to say on the matter, because to do so would hurt Bath House Barry.

The EBT crowd doesn't know, and doesn't care. Why should they?


33 posted on 12/23/2012 3:12:59 PM PST by SkyPilot
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To: Alberta's Child
What you are failing to take into account is that inflation rates aren't based on what happened 40 years ago or what the prices were then. They are based on prices within the last few years, as opposed to what they are today. Taking this into account inflation is far higher than the government admits to. For instance, they do not factor the cost of fuel and food into todays so called inflation rates. As for the so called improvements on cars, many of them are unnecessary and arbitrary demanded by the government, improvements we could do without and be just fine. Plus the regulations and rules imposed on fuels are BS also and cost the consumer without any benefit to the consumer, Ethanol being a large case in point.

Bottom line is this, while their may have been some improvements on things over the years the main reason prices are so high is because the dollar is worth a lot less due to inflation, and the constant wage increase with corresponding price increases to offset them haven't helped either.

34 posted on 12/23/2012 4:31:59 PM PST by calex59
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To: HiTech RedNeck
Don't forget his minions, the teachers.

That is what they have been up to for the last fifty years.

The transformation is complete - as the French say: "Ze joke, she is over."

35 posted on 12/23/2012 4:42:27 PM PST by Aevery_Freeman (The trouble with the "masses" is that they never achieve the "m")
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To: arthurus
Two points need to be made.

First, despite the name, hedonic price indexes attempt to correct price changes for improved quality, not for pleasure. It's hard to do, and I've discussed this with folks from the government who try to do it. However, it's necessary. If prices weren't adjusted for quality changes, the resulting price index would be completely meaningless.

Second, the current CPI is a flat-out lie, which has nothing to do with hedonic indexing. They've eliminated the things people buy most, such as food and gasoline, on the grounds that these prices are "volatile," and by eliminating them they're getting at so-called "core inflation." This is simply an excuse for fudging the data.

36 posted on 12/23/2012 4:43:57 PM PST by JoeFromSidney ( New book: RESISTANCE TO TYRANNY. Buy from Amazon.)
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To: Alberta's Child
The same holds true for almost any product or service that involves technology that has advanced considerably over time.

Do tell. What milk , egg and bacon technology has advanced over the past four years to justify its increase? I thought tech was supposed to create greater efficiencies. Or did you go to some business school where they teach you to increase efficiency in order to increase costs?

37 posted on 12/23/2012 4:58:30 PM PST by Sirius Lee (Sarah Palin - "Republicans like Rove... are said to be concerned she will win.")
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To: arthurus
Why Reported Inflation Seems Different Than Reality

It's because it is different from reality.

38 posted on 12/23/2012 5:33:13 PM PST by Hoodat ("As for God, His way is perfect" - Psalm 18:30)
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To: steve86
yeah, the first three go down easy, i gotta force the last two down... 8^)
39 posted on 12/23/2012 5:39:43 PM PST by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: nascarnation

That formula is now being applied to our food market.

1) Govt gives EBT handouts to increasing portion of population

2) Grocers raise prices to soak up available funds

3) Government pays Food Stamp administrators excessive salaries

4) Food stamp administrators and recipients donate to and vote for Democrats.

We have passed the point of no return


40 posted on 12/23/2012 5:41:28 PM PST by Hoodat ("As for God, His way is perfect" - Psalm 18:30)
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