RUSSIAN SCIENTISTS: ‘WE COULD FACE COOLING PERIOD FOR 200-250 YEARS’

‘We could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200-250 years. The period of low solar activity could start in 2030-2040.’

Global warming which has been the subject of so many discussions in recent years, may give way to global cooling. According to scientists from the Pulkovo Observatory in St.Petersburg, solar activity is waning, so the average yearly temperature will begin to decline as well. Scientists from Britain and the US chime in saying that forecasts for global cooling are far from groundless. Some experts warn that a change in the climate may affect the ambitious projects for the exploration of the Arctic that have been launched by many countries.

Just recently, experts said that the Arctic ice cover was becoming thinner while journalists warned that the oncoming global warming would make it possible to grow oranges in the north of Siberia. Now, they say a cold spell will set in. Apparently, this will not occur overnight, Yuri Nagovitsyn of the Pulkovo Observatory, says.

So why should we find this any more credible than the global warming claims?

Why? At a purely scientific level because relatively simple models of the earth's climate based on solar irradiance, solar magnetism (for which sunspot number is a proxy), and the earth's orbit correctly retrodict the earth's climate on a scale of millenia in fairly fine detail, while the hugely complex computer models used by the AGW crowd to "prove" that human CO2 emissions were (or are) causing "global warming" can't be made to agree with the climatic record on a time scale of centuries.

On a sociological level because predictions based on solar models don't support anyone's political agenda, while the warming predictions predicated on human causation support the left's agenda of extending state control over every aspect of human activity.

"But how was Herschel to back up his hypothesis? Hampered by the lack of precise meteorological records by which to test his theory, he persevered by lateral thinking. Given the effects of lesser or greater quantities of sunshine on vegetation, it struck him that records of good or bad harvests might provide him with the data he needed. Any correlation between these and periods of many or few sunspots would theoretically support his argument. Using Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nations as his source, he was able to single out five periods when, due to poor harvests, the price of wheat in England had been particularly high. Comparing these records to those of sunspot activity during those periods, he discovered to his surprise a clear correlation between poorer wheat harvests and a relative lack of sunspot activity. Contrary to what had been thought until then, the presence of sunspots did not reduce the amount of heat from the sun, the opposite was true: greater sunspot activity corresponded to good weather and lower wheat prices, while a lack of sunspots corresponded to high wheat prices, which implied less favourable weather. ‘It seems probable,’ he wrote, ‘that some temporary scarcity or defect of the vegetation has taken place when the sun has been without those appearances which we surmise to be the symptoms of a copious emission of light and heat’. As we now know, the sun emits greater ultraviolet radiation, causing more heating of the Earth’s atmosphere, during periods of greater sunspot activity, or solar maximum. But in Herschel’s time this was a revolutionary idea – and the apparent correlation with Earth’s climate made it more revolutionary still. "

Actually that’s not right, since their strident claim has been that greenhouse gasses trump all other influences, including the Sun.

Intellectual honesty hasn't exactly been their strong suit. The low information voter just listens to what Jon Stewart and NPR tell them today, they don't care to compare it with what they were told yesterday.

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