Posted on 05/31/2013 9:14:28 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
MAJOR TORNADO OUTBREAK IMMINENT!!! (Please Share)
I don't often get worked up over events. There are times when all of the parameters are there and very little happens, generally because the models underestimate the CAP strength which prevents thunderstorm development. You better pray they aren't estimating this one correctly because the rest of the ingredients are all there for large damaging tornadoes between the hours of 6pm and midnight across C OK.
(Excerpt) Read more at facebook.com ...
I don’t miss tornado season in Georgia , but I am not looking forward to the hurricane season.
Lol
I watched that torpedo live from a cloud to a torpedo to it’s complete destruction...ghastly stuff
bttt
Yup, we had a tornado touch down here in Broken Arrow OK last night. Oklahoma tornadoes in the late spring is much like springtime shootings in Chicago. Hey, it’s tradition.
From the SPC in Norman, OK:
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013
VALID 311630Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL OK...SERN KS...AND SWRN MO...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT PLAINS
INTO UPPER MIDWEST...
...REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL/EASTERN OK...SOUTHEAST KS...AND SOUTHWEST MO. VERY LARGE
HAIL...WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW STRONG
TORNADOES/VIOLENT ARE POSSIBLE...
...OK/KS/MO...
ANOTHER VERY VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT IS IN PLACE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY TODAY. WIDESPREAD VERY STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S ARE
RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OVER 4000
J/KG. THIS AIR MASS IS CURRENTLY CAPPED...AND THE CAP SHOULD
RESTRAIN DEEP CONVECTION THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ALLOWING STRONG
HEATING.
BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY OVER THE TX PANHANDLE...ALONG WITH A SECOND AND STRONGER
TROUGH OVER CO...WILL APPROACH THE REGION. THIS WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN
THE CAP AND ALLOW EXPLOSIVE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER WEST-CENTRAL OK...AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING
FROM CENTRAL OK INTO SOUTHWEST MO. DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR
VALUES ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. SHEAR VECTORS PERPENDICULAR
TO THE N-S DRYLINE OVER CENTRAL OK WILL FAVOR DISCRETE STORM
STRUCTURES. ALL 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES RAPID INTENSIFICATION
OF THE LOW LEVEL JET OVER CENTRAL OK BY EVENING AS THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHES. GIVEN THESE PARAMETERS...IT APPEARS THE THREAT OF A FEW
STRONG/VIOLENT TORNADOES ARE IN PLACE. HAVE INCREASED SEVERE
PROBABILITIES OVER THIS REGION...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK
WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR AN UPGRADE TO HIGH RISK AT 20Z IF
SHORTER-TERM MESOSCALE MODELS MAINTAIN THIS SCENARIO.
DURING THE EVENING...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONGEAL
INTO A FAST-MOVING MCS THAT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHEAST OK
INTO SOUTHWEST KS. HIGH CAPE VALUES AND AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET
WILL PROMOTE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE...ALONG WITH
LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
...IA/MN/WI...
AN UPPER LOW IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER WESTERN SD...WITH MULTIPLE
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING NORTHWARD ACROSS IA/MN. STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING IS OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS OVER PARTS OF
MN/WI/IA WHERE MODERATE AFTERNOON CAPE IS EXPECTED. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM BY MID AFTERNOON OVER MN/IA AND
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SUPERCELLULAR
WITH A RISK OF HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO.
...IL/IND...
AN ONGOING CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE STL AREA MAY RE-INTENSIFY
THIS AFTERNOON AS IT TRACKS INTO AN INCREASINGLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR
MASS OVER IL/IND. IF THIS OCCURS...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE.
BTT. I had a meteorologist friend in the Navy who was clamoring to move to the midwest after he got out, and I was wondering why, because he’d never lived there in his life. “It’s where it’s interesting,” he told me. Yeah. Sometimes interesting isn’t good.
As some politician talks about introduction a law that would prevent tornadoes from killing people. Mayne making them get liability insurance before they form too.
Note the statement in the latest outlook from the SPC in Norman, OK:
...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK
WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR AN UPGRADE TO HIGH RISK AT 20Z IF
SHORTER-TERM MESOSCALE MODELS MAINTAIN THIS SCENARIO.
I would imagine when Tornado Watches are issued today in Oklahoma, you will see a PDS version...
bump!
We live 20 miles south of Moore, Oklahoma. The shelter is stocked and the bugout bag is packed. If the house is not damaged, but the power goes out, the generator is good to go and I bought plenty of fuel yesterday.
Indeed.
You know things are going to get interesting when the sky turns green...
BTTT
Weather people have really become hysterical over the years. Weather happens, sometimes ugly and with death. Now these media clowns use such events to gin up a scare and boost their ratings. Every time there’s an earthquake they’re on to the tsunami warnings now also, most certainly rooting for another (once in a lifetime) big one.
In the end it’s just tornado season this year, like every other year.
Down in Altus, where I graduated from high school too many years ago, this time of the year was when you got to socialize with your neighbors in the fraidy hole. A really good neighbor would bring a bottle of Jack with him.
Tornado season is the weatherman’s Viagra.
I’m sure Obama will be praying for his homies in Monroe, OK...
I don’t think the watch on the Moore tornado day was a PDS.
What an idiotic statement. In 2012 natural disasters cost this nation over 160 billion dollars and claimed tens of thousands of lives globally. The single most important thing a person can do to protect lives and property is to BE PREPARED. Warning people of impending or potential danger isn’t hysteria or hype, it is fundamental to disaster preparation.
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