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Why Chris Christie Might Be a Genius
Real Clear Politics ^ | June 5, 2013 | Sean Trende

Posted on 06/05/2013 4:30:32 PM PDT by neverdem

By now you’ve probably read about 1,000 versions of Chris Christie’s political obituary in the last six months, and will probably do so again in the next few months. The story is always roughly the same: Christie was already in peril in a Republican presidential primary, given his status as a relative moderate from the Northeast. Further complicating things, the Republican base believes that his effusive praise of Barack Obama’s handling of Hurricane Sandy cost Mitt Romney the 2012...

--snip--

In 2012, the New Jersey electorate was 44 percent Democrat, 30 percent Independent, and 26 percent Republican. In 2009 -- the early stages of a perfect storm that aided Republicans -- it was 41 percent Democrat, 31 percent Republican, and 28 percent Independent. In other words, he simply can’t win re-election by just tending to his base. He needs to win Independents by at least the 30-point margin he achieved in 2009...

--snip--

Chris Christie is a poor fit for the state(Iowa), even setting aside his definitively Northeastern persona. He is pro-life, but he supports civil unions. He believes homosexuals are not sinners. He believes global warming is real and at least partly caused by humans. He favors some gun control measures. Beyond this, he is a rather staunch conservative. But the strikes against him are more than enough to tank his chances in Iowa...

--snip--

That sort of campaign works well for a true outsider, someone who has angered his party a bit, at a time when people are disgusted with Washington. It also works well for an “authentic” individual. Chris Christie oozes authenticity, much as McCain did not in 2008 (but did eight years earlier). It would be an interesting matchup against Hillary Clinton, who epitomizes “Washington insider” and who often suffered from a wooden persona in 2008...

(Excerpt) Read more at dyn.realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: chrischristie; christie; newjersey
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To: Pecos

I wouldn’t sit an election out, but I would vote for someone else on the ballot. Otherwise (A)Democrats can try to claim “it was mispunched” for the Democrat (count it as an ATTEMPTED vote for Rat) or (B)it is “interpreted” by the chattering anchors/analysts as “evidence” that conservative numbers are shrinking. If “you can’t be motivated to go to the polls” then you are out of the election process and your vote is no longer sought (or again the pundits will claim you’ve now voted Democrat).


21 posted on 06/05/2013 5:09:06 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (America 2013 - STUCK ON STUPID)
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To: neverdem

22 posted on 06/05/2013 5:09:42 PM PDT by Bullish (Psalm 46)
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To: neverdem

In case anyone was wondering what “lipstick on a pig” means . . . . there ya go.


23 posted on 06/05/2013 5:14:52 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: Pecos

Me either. But I did vote 3rd Party instead of Romney.


24 posted on 06/05/2013 5:16:13 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: neverdem

Christie Kreme is way to chummy with comrade Hussein 0bama to EVER get my vote. When you sell your soul to the devil like he has, he can go to hell and he ain’t taking me with him!


25 posted on 06/05/2013 5:21:36 PM PDT by 21st Century Crusader (August 26, 1191)
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To: tennmountainman

The hugfest with 0 is where he made his biggest mistake.


26 posted on 06/05/2013 5:23:45 PM PDT by Jane Long (While Marxists continue the fundamental transformation of the USA, progressive RINOs stay silent.)
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To: Jane Long

That hugfest is ongoing.


27 posted on 06/05/2013 5:25:05 PM PDT by txhurl (RNC 'voter suppression': attempting to limit each voter to ONE vote!)
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To: neverdem
He’s a populist politician....One for all and all for me...

Not genius....populist crud works well with idiot voters. Same show that Bill O’really puts on five days per week. But thankfully he is not a politician. If he were we would have another rino.

28 posted on 06/05/2013 5:25:57 PM PDT by Cold Heat (Have you reached your breaking point yet? If not now....then when?)
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To: neverdem

Chris Christie is NOT a genius. He is a transparent opportunist.

A big, fat, stupid-looking, self-centered opportunist.


29 posted on 06/05/2013 5:32:16 PM PDT by Do Not Make Fun Of His Ears (The Buck Stops Over There.)
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To: neverdem

He’d be a genius if he picked a Republican for the seat and then ran a campaign to HOLD the seat, which actually wouldn’t take a genius in the year of Democrat scandals.


30 posted on 06/05/2013 5:35:43 PM PDT by ElkGroveDan (My tagline is in the shop.)
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To: neverdem

I do t want my taxes to go up S that pinniped uses more fuel in Airforce 1 than any three presidents combined would.


31 posted on 06/05/2013 5:42:44 PM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously, you won't live through it anyway)
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To: neverdem
Chris Christie oozes authenticity, much as McCain did not in 2008 (but did eight years earlier).

What dreck. This writer is a complete and utter fool. The only stuff McQueeg ever oozed cannot be mentioned here, lest I get the zot. McQueeg came out of the womb as a reptile, and has only gone downhill since.

32 posted on 06/05/2013 5:43:22 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (I am a dissident. Will you join me? My name is John....)
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To: ElkGroveDan

Maybe if there was a decent Republican in jersey that would be able to beat the mayor of _______(Trenton?). Christie reminds me of Tony Soprano. He licks your ear till you give him what you want. I have a feeling he’d bury you if you were to really try to back stab him.


33 posted on 06/05/2013 5:47:17 PM PDT by shadeaud (Stay Thirsty My Friends)
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To: neverdem

Christie is Obama lite!


34 posted on 06/05/2013 5:48:27 PM PDT by Keen-Minded
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To: shadeaud

Booker?


35 posted on 06/05/2013 5:51:47 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (I am a dissident. Will you join me? My name is John....)
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To: alloysteel
If Christie had been playing REAL hardball, he would have named Robert Torricelli as the Senator-designate, and let the Democrats deal with that.

I like the way you think.

36 posted on 06/05/2013 5:52:56 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (I am a dissident. Will you join me? My name is John....)
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To: Cyber Liberty
This writer is a complete and utter fool.

"Sean Trende is Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and author of The Lost Majority."

I don't think the author would be joining Michael Barone as a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics if Barone thought like you. Barone is far from being a dummy, very far.

37 posted on 06/05/2013 6:03:31 PM PDT by neverdem (Register pressure cookers! /s)
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To: neverdem

In 2012, the New Jersey electorate was 44 percent Democrat, 30 percent Independent, and 26 percent Republican. I am not too sure about the electorate in New Jersey but there is a whole lot of supposing going on here. I am one of those Independents (not from New Jersey) but it will be a cold day in Hades before I would EVER vote for EL TUBO LARDO..


38 posted on 06/05/2013 6:04:19 PM PDT by contrarian ( I am NOT a republican , I am a Conservative, and that my friend is a big difference.)
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To: Cyber Liberty; alloysteel

Ditto


39 posted on 06/05/2013 6:08:56 PM PDT by sarasmom (The obvious takes longer to discover for the obtuse.)
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To: neverdem
I don't think he has any interest in running for the White House in 2016. A sitting governor of a highly dysfunctional, liberal Northeast state like New Jersey is not going to have a very good track record behind him three years into his second term in office.

One of the things that makes Christie so "authentic" is that he is authentic -- but that only works in New Jersey and is not likely to give him much traction anywhere west of the Delaware River.

Personally, I think he's going to be angling for a spot in a post-2016 Republican administration -- as the U.S. Attorney General.

40 posted on 06/05/2013 6:13:45 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("I am the master of my fate ... I am the captain of my soul.")
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