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FELIX ZULAUF: Japan Will Cause The Next Big Global Crisis
Business Insider ^ | 6-13-2013 | Steven Perlberg

Posted on 06/13/2013 10:51:19 AM PDT by blam

FELIX ZULAUF: Japan Will Cause The Next Big Global Crisis

Steven Perlberg
June 13, 2013, 11:11 AM

For weeks, Japan's stock market has been in an absolute freefall.

Last night the Nikkei fell to 12,445, down 6.4%. But it wasn't long ago that commentators were rejoicing in Abenomics – the policy moniker for Japan's monetary stimulus and government spending plan – for its bold three-pronged approach to juice the Japanese economy.

Now, with the Nikkei taking a turn for the worse and the yen strengthening, it appears Abenomics has not had the intended effect.

Felix Zulauf, swiss hedge fund manager and macro thinker, goes even further. He thinks Japan will spark a global crisis within the next 18 months.

Zulauf spoke with Financial Sense:

I do believe that this will be the root cause of the next big global crisis whenever it breaks out, probably sometime over the next 12 to 18 months or so. First of all, I think the Japanese situation is very dangerous because Japan’s tax revenues, when you look at the numbers, they have to use almost 50% to service their government debt—their Federal government debt. So if interest rates rise further, Japan is basically bust…I think this is a very dangerous thing that the Japanese are starting and I believe it will most likely be the trigger for the next big global crisis in financial markets and the world economy.

For years, the Bank of Japan has been a bastion of economic conservatism. Not anymore.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; japan; recession; stocks

1 posted on 06/13/2013 10:51:19 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam
A Bit Of A Global Bloodbath Is Happening In Markets, And Here's What Traders Are Talking About
2 posted on 06/13/2013 10:52:51 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

The DJIA is up 91 as I post

3 posted on 06/13/2013 10:58:23 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Isn't Japan doing what America is doing? And it's not working?
If it's bad when Japan is drowning is debt and wasting money on bogus "stimulus", programs, then surely it must be bad medicine for ol' USA as well.

4 posted on 06/13/2013 11:25:53 AM PDT by BitWielder1 (Corporate Profits are better than Government Waste)
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To: blam

Now, with the Nikkei taking a turn for the worse and the yen strengthening, it appears Abenomics has not had the intended effect.

This is total nonsense. Abenomics wasn’t and hasn’t been built in a day, its still in its formative & planning stages and we are only just now getting to the strategic implementation phase.

Small blips on the screen are going to occur that doesn’t mean its over, give it some time to get things going.

They are not going to pour billions into something and then stand by and let it falter, things haven’t even really started happening yet but already banks are scurrying around trying to distribute money as we speak, and there is all sorts of encouragement to companies to up salaries, bonuses and employment.


5 posted on 06/13/2013 11:32:03 AM PDT by erlayman
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To: blam

Why is the ¥ strengthening against the $ ??


6 posted on 06/13/2013 11:37:14 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Who will shoot Liberty Valence?)
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To: bert
"Why is the ¥ strengthening against the $ ??"

I don't know...it shouldn't be, should it?

7 posted on 06/13/2013 11:42:04 AM PDT by blam
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To: bert; erlayman
Despite The Market Crash, Nomura Just Put A HUGE 18,000 Price Target On The Nikkei
8 posted on 06/13/2013 11:44:24 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

18,000 is still less than 50% of the peak 39,000.


9 posted on 06/13/2013 12:15:28 PM PDT by monocle
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To: blam; bert

BOJ is pausing...they are sucking in the USD shorts...


10 posted on 06/13/2013 2:06:36 PM PDT by oblomov
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