Poll: Democrats Lose Lead in Congressional Generic Ballot

breitbart.com ^ | 10/9/13 | John Nolte

[cotton1706]

In another edition of the polls the media won't cover, between September 29 and October 6, Democrats have lost a four point lead in Rasmussen's generic ballot that asks voters if they would vote for a Democrat or Republican in the upcoming midterm elections. That poll is now tied at 40% - 40%. At the end of last month, Democrats led 42% - 38%. The media continue to run headlines that read, "Poll Shows GOP Taking Share of Shutdown Blame," which is true. Most polls show Republicans are at a single-digit deficit when compared to Democrats (still, a vast improvement over the 2-to-1 deficit the GOP faced in '95). But all that matters is what happens on Election Day.

If you back up a little further, Obama and his media's entire shutdown strategy is all about 2014. The media want to give Obama a third-term, which is an accurate way of describing what will happen if Democrats retake the House.

Like this Rasmussen poll, most polls show that Democrats are only hurting themselves a wee-bit more than Republicans. But midterm House races are hyper-local base elections. Which means that another story the media won't tell is what a GOP surrender would do to turnout in the 2014.

Context matters, and while the media ignore inconvenient polls and try to scare the GOP into handing Obama a victory, the story the media won’t tell is what a surrender will do to the GOP's electoral chances if the base feels betrayed and stays home.

When you are in political trouble, you hold on to your base. That is Politics 101. That is why Obama is doing what he's doing and why Democrats are doing what they are doing.

[Hostage]

Good commentary. Hold the line and hold the base.

[Paladin2]

The poll needs to be run ‘critter District X District.

[Steely Tom]

This is why they’re freaking out with the smashmouth rhetoric. Calling their opposition “terrorists,” saying they would “burn down your house.”

Next step: Republicans cave.

[Paladin2]

"the media won’t tell is what a surrender will do to the GOP's electoral chances if the base feels betrayed and stays home. "

Yep, See 2012 POTUS turnout.

[Paladin2]

"Next step: Republicans cave torch their own crib."

[Pollster1]

In other words "GOP taking blame for shutdown" could be more accurately reported as "GOP receiving credit for shutdown." It looks like a majority of Americans approve of shutting down the government, if necessary, to keep America as free as possible despite the occupation of our White House.

[We survived the War of 1812, and I hope to see our country survive these eight terrible years too.]

[Tupelo]

BUT BUT BUT
I heard just this morning on my local radio's Fox News that polls show 70% of the respondents blame the Republicans for the shut down.
Could that poll be wrong? Or could it be that some like me say that we CREDIT the Republicans for the shut er slowdown. And of course the media only say that we BLAME the Republicans.

[apillar]

Yep the voter are really “punishing” the Republican for shutting down the government...maybe “crediting” would be a better word...

[Night Hides Not]

Would have been a lot easier for the Dems had Wendy Davis decided to run against Cornyn, instead of running for governor.

She's going to drain the coffers of Emily's List and other lib donors.

She could have beaten Cornyn with $10 million, as Tea Partiers have had it with Cornyn. Instead, she's going to need $50 million to run for governor, and she'll still lose by a wide margin.

[zencycler]

The reason for the divergence is that in the shutdown poll they don’t give respondents the choice of saying which party they “blame” or, alternatively, “thank” for shutting down the government.