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Poll: New Jersey Senate race tightens
politico.com ^ | 10/14/13 | Tal Kopan

Posted on 10/14/2013 6:15:23 AM PDT by cotton1706

Newark Mayor Cory Booker still holds a double-digit lead over his Republican challenger in the New Jersey Senate race, a new poll shows, but his lead continues to shrink with the election two days away.

Booker leads Steve Lonegan by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent, among likely voters in a poll out Monday from Monmouth University. Continue Reading

A separate poll last week had Booker up by 12, two weeks ago Monmouth had him up by 13 and over the summer by 16. In August, polls had Booker’s lead topping 24 percent.

The poll also found Booker’s favorability has dropped since this summer. While voters still view him favorably, 51 percent to 30 percent, that’s down from 61 percent to 15 percent in June.

Voters view Lonegan favorably 38 percent to 35 percent, also narrower than June, when he registered a 34 percent to 20 percent favorability margin.

Booker’s national profile may be a disadvantage in the race, according to the poll. Forty-eight percent said Booker is running for Senate more to be on the national stage, while 37 percent said he was running to serve New Jersey. Seven percent said he’s doing both.

The special election to replace late Sen. Frank Lautenberg is Wednesday.

Monmouth surveyed 1,393 likely New Jersey voters from Oct. 10 to 12 for the poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percent.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: booker; elections; lonegan; nj2013
The gap between them is likely less than ten points. I pray to God Steve Lonegan wins and sends shock waves through Washington.

But even a close loss for a CONSERVATIVE in NEW JERSEY will have its effect, for the same seat is up for grabs again next November.

1 posted on 10/14/2013 6:15:23 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

The election is Wednesday....I can’t see voters en masse coming out to vote for Booker (some might think he going to win and don’t need to vote). It’s probably going to be closer than the polling data because of that


2 posted on 10/14/2013 6:31:52 AM PDT by Bigtigermike
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To: cotton1706

Even if Lonegan doesn’t pull it out, it is astonishing for an ultra convervative in a state like NJ to be this close to the obama clone. Booker spent 12 million. Lonegan spent 1.2 million. He is campaigning against obamacare. His ads have been extremely effective. The rinos really should take heed of where this country is. The people are tired of the empty suit and his political games.


3 posted on 10/14/2013 6:37:32 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: Bigtigermike
"The election is Wednesday....I can’t see voters en masse coming out to vote for Booker (some might think he going to win and don’t need to vote). It’s probably going to be closer than the polling data because of that"

I suspect that the Democrat dead will be voting along with 110% of the living, if that is what it takes.

4 posted on 10/14/2013 7:00:28 AM PDT by Truth29
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To: Truth29

Yep! New Jersey and PA ALWAYS tease us and make us think we can win.. but it usually doesn’t happen lol.


5 posted on 10/14/2013 7:06:47 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (In America, we don't do pin pricks. But sometimes we elect them.)
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To: cotton1706

Is this race a test of Chrispy Cream’s political pull?


6 posted on 10/14/2013 7:15:01 AM PDT by LachlanMinnesota
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To: Truth29

Even those that can see, know what the right call is, but find it so hard to admit they made a huge mistake in voting in Democrats in the first place.. I would vote for this fine man, a blind man, Mr. Steve Lonegan, being legally blind, has a clearer view of a future for this troubled state..


7 posted on 10/14/2013 7:18:09 AM PDT by carlo3b (RUFFLE FEATHERS, and destroy their FEATHER NEST!)
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To: cotton1706

Has Christie endorsed Booker yet?


8 posted on 10/14/2013 7:20:02 AM PDT by Bushbacker1 (Molon Labe! (Oathkeeper))
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To: Truth29
With rampant voter fraud in Newark, Camden, Trenton, Elizabeth, Paterson, etc., Lonegan faces an uphill battle.

If Booker doesn't win the first time around, I'm sure enough votes will be found in closets &/or automobile trunks to put him over the top. Still won't keep me from getting to the polls & pulling the lever for Lonegan, though.

Should Booker win, he'll start laying the groundwork for 2020 (aided & abetted by the MSM fawning all over him). I get the sense he doesn't want to be just a lowly Senator.

9 posted on 10/14/2013 7:27:08 AM PDT by mellow velo (Oxymorons: jumbo shrimp, rap music, liberal think-tank)
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To: ConservativeMan55
New Jersey and PA ALWAYS tease us and make us think we can win.. but it usually doesn’t happen lol.

As a perpetually disenchanted Pennsylvanian, I have to agree with you.
10 posted on 10/14/2013 7:30:31 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia (Democrats: The perfect party for the helpless and stupid, and those who would rule over them.)
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To: cotton1706

Ten points is tight? In a presidential election, that’s a landslide. Sad to say, Lonegan isn’t going to win.


11 posted on 10/14/2013 7:31:04 AM PDT by irish guard
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To: cotton1706
And then there's this...

Neighbors: Cory Booker 'never lived in Newark'

12 posted on 10/14/2013 7:44:15 AM PDT by Semper911 (When you want to rob Peter to pay Paul, you'll always have the support of Paul.)
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To: irish guard

how did you get so smart irish guard? still throwing rocks at the brits?


13 posted on 10/14/2013 7:50:37 AM PDT by aumrl (let's keep it real Conservatives)
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To: cotton1706

Yeah, I’d like to see a real conservative win in NJ.


14 posted on 10/14/2013 7:53:42 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: cotton1706
Haven't you folks YET learned to check the respondent split in political pols?

Again. Another poll heavily weighted to Dems. Dem 38% Ind 34% Rep 28%

15 posted on 10/14/2013 7:54:33 AM PDT by HeartlandOfAmerica (Obama&Admin=An army of deer, led by a lion is more to be feared than an army of lions led by a deer)
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To: HeartlandOfAmerica

That’s the weighted poll. The numbers for the unweighted poll: Dem 469 Ind 554 Rep 360


16 posted on 10/14/2013 7:57:21 AM PDT by HeartlandOfAmerica (Obama&Admin=An army of deer, led by a lion is more to be feared than an army of lions led by a deer)
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To: cotton1706

If he by some chance wins, its because he received all the white racist’s votes. Most of them will be fraudulent when it gets reported by the MSM. A win by Lonegan means he cheated and the Koch brothers donated billions for his campaign. Newark political corruption and crime is a plus for the urban voters.


17 posted on 10/14/2013 8:11:09 AM PDT by Bringbackthedraft (Remember Ty Woods? Glenn Doherty ? Forgot already?)
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To: HeartlandOfAmerica

What’s the partisan breakdown in NJ? Are you really sure that this is an unrepresentative breakdown? It really wouldn’t make sense to have an even breakdown in a state where the actual split of voters is not even. I would have to think that in NJ, there would be more Dem voters than Republican ones.


18 posted on 10/14/2013 8:29:15 AM PDT by stremba
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To: stremba

The breakdown is 33-20 (according to Wikipedia, 2010 registration). So, if anything, this is oversampling Republicans, and undersampling Independents.

Anything better than a 10 point loss would have to be considered a moral victory. I guess we will find out where the momentum really lies.


19 posted on 10/14/2013 8:41:33 AM PDT by jjsheridan5
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To: cotton1706

This is how you win. This ad has been on in prime time every night.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hb8CpkG_JmY


20 posted on 10/14/2013 1:18:57 PM PDT by jersey117
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To: aumrl

wrong kind of irish guard


21 posted on 10/16/2013 5:35:45 AM PDT by irish guard
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