[governsleastgovernsbest]

[governsleastgovernsbest]

David Axelrod surprisingly speaks a truth. Ping to Today show list.

[SMM48]

Axelrod is a snake. I wouldn’t believe anything he says.

[Servant of the Cross]

Good news for GOP Senate hopes (Election 2014)

In 2014, Democrats will be defending a total of 21 seats, including seven states Mitt Romney carried — Montana, South Dakota, West Virginia, Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana and North Carolina. In contrast, Republicans will be defending 14 seats. All of those seats are in Romney states, except for one — the Collins seat in Maine.

Among the 20 (or is it 21) Democrat Senators up for Reelection next year, 12 are freshmen and 5 retiring!!

[DoodleDawg]

Axelrod Admits GOP In Solid Shape For 2014

I hope so because 2016 could be a bear. There are 34 seats up for election in 2016 - 24 Republicans and 10 Democrats. The Dems are in New York, California, Oregon, Washington, Nevada, Colorado, Maryland, Connecticut, Hawaii, and Vermont; all solid Blue states. Republicans are up in 7 Blue states - Illinois, Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Florida. The odds of picking off a Democrat are not that great while the odds of losing Republicans seats are pretty high. If the GOP establishment forces a Chris Cristie or Marco Rubio on us again as presidential nominee then it could well be a bloodbath.

[Paine in the Neck]

Depends on the GOP’s actions on immigration. Drop and they’re golden. The base is fired up. Pass it and they die. It will thrown a wet blanket over any enthusiasm the base may have.

[nathanbedford]

I believe the 2014 election will represent an attempt by both parties to nationalize the congressional races. This will especially be true of the Democrats if they entertain any hope of taking the House. But they suffer from a distinct disadvantage in that they will be forced campaign on a lie that the Republicans are solely responsible for the shutdown and are therefore irresponsible, and they will have to campaign with the corpse of Obamacare hung around their necks.

The Republicans will be in a position of campaigning on the truth but they will be faced with a hostile media. I don't think they are in any danger of losing control of the House but the question is whether they can nationalize the election to the extent that they can take the Senate, a more difficult task than nationalizing the election to take the House.

When Axelrod says the Republicans are structurally in good shape I think he is referring to the safe Republican seats for the House members and the number of seats which Democrats must defend in the Senate.

When he speaks of the 2016 presidential election and implies that the Republicans will not win unless they go Rino, I don't think it matters so much what the ideology of the Republican champion is, what matters is his charisma.

[jboot]

A broken clock is still right twice a day.

The media acts as if the midterms are a national election. Yes, the Tea Party brand is dead in the NE and Pacific coast where everyone lives and breathes for just one more sip on the gubmint nipple. But people in Nancy Pelosi's district don't get to vote in house races in Texas or Tennessee. Out in flyover country the mood is decidedly different.

IMO, the Tea Party is poised to rock the house.