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Cruz likely to get hero’s welcome by Iowa GOP, despite shutdown aftermath
Cedar Rapids Gazette ^ | October 24, 2013 | James Q Lynch

Posted on 10/25/2013 4:10:34 AM PDT by iowamark

Sen. Ted Cruz’s 21-hour faux-filibuster and 16-day federal government shutdown may have been for naught, but the Texan likely will get a hero’s welcome at Friday night’s Republican Party of Iowa dinner.

The warmth of the welcome may speak to a divide in the Iowa GOP between traditional, “Main Street” Republicans and tea party conservatives.

“Grassroots folks generally see Cruz as a hero. Elite or ‘establishment’ Republicans tend to see him as a goat,” says University of Iowa political scientist Tim Hagle. “I suspect that the welcome he gets at the dinner will be more on the hero side, as it will be populated more by grassroots people.”

Cruz is coming at a time when the GOP – at the state and national level – appears to be lacking a unifying leader, says Iowa State University political scientist Steffen Schmidt.

“Since nature abhors a vacuum, Ted Cruz has stepped up,” he adds.

Right now, Cruz is “the shining light leading the GOP through a dark moment of no other leadership,” Schmidt says.

More than 600 people are expected for Friday’s 6 p.m. Iowa GOP Reagan Dinner at the Iowa Events Center in Des Moines. The fact tickets didn’t sell out until this week may speak more to the rift within the state party than Cruz’s popularity, according to Hagle.

It’s hard to tell who is more excited by Cruz’s visit, Republicans or the Iowa Democratic Party, who Coe College political scientist Bruce Nesmith notes “are already making hay over this.”

Democrats have been filling inboxes with messages linking Cruz to the GOP candidates for an open U.S. Senate seat as well as Gov. Terry Branstad, who is expected to seek a sixth term in 2014. Democrats have called on Branstad to boycott Cruz, which Schmidt says is not going to happen.

“He won’t hug Cruz because he is the smartest politician in the United States,” Schmidt says, “but Branstad needs to fend off attacks from the tea party and the insurgents, and by being polite he can accomplish that.”

The call for the boycott, based on Democrats’ online petition, is just politics, adds Hagle. Democrats are trying to make something of it “just because Branstad is running for re-election and they detest Cruz.”

Cruz’s visit – at the invitation of state GOP Chairman A.J. Spiker – probably won’t heal the intra-party rift, Nesmith says.

“Cruz, like Michele Bachmann or Joe McCarthy, is a polarizing figure even within the Republican Party,” Nesmith says, adding that his visit will embarrass some Iowa Republicans.

He also questions Cruz’s appeal as a 2016 GOP presidential nominee.

“He’s a movement leader,” Nesmith says. “With the arguable exception of Barry Goldwater — and Cruz is no Barry Goldwater — (movement leaders) don’t get nominations.”

But for Cruz, there is no downside, Nesmith says. Attention is its own reward. “He’s going to make a lot of money and/or get very famous from his celebrity political turn, and if there’s some presidential buzz, that can only help.”

There is that buzz. A state party official says there is no more room for media to cover the speech. However, it will be carried live at 7 p.m. on “Road to the White House ’16” on C-SPAN, C-SPAN Radio and C-SPAN.org.

Cruz is just the latest conservative Republicans being mentioned as possible 2016 presidential nominees to visit Iowa, host of the first-in-the-nation precinct caucuses. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, and U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan and Gov. Scott Walker, both of Wisconsin, are among the others.

Cruz won’t be the last. Texas Gov. Rick Perry is coming Nov. 7, followed by Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah, Sarah Palin and Eagle Forum founder Phyllis Schafly at the Iowa Faith & Freedom Coalition Friends of the Family fundraiser Nov. 9, and 2008 Iowa precinct caucus winner Mike Huckabee at Informed Choices, a pro-life group, Nov. 14.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: cruz; tedcruz
The Iowa Reagan Dinner will be on C-Span tonight at 8 Eastern/7 Central time.
1 posted on 10/25/2013 4:10:35 AM PDT by iowamark
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To: iowamark

Im gonna watch!


2 posted on 10/25/2013 4:15:05 AM PDT by rrrod (at home in Medellin Colombia)
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To: iowamark

Cruz likely to get hero’s welcome by Iowa GOP, despite shutdown aftermath


HAHAHAHAHA!

This IS the shutdown aftermath!


3 posted on 10/25/2013 4:16:24 AM PDT by cuban leaf
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To: iowamark
“He’s a movement leader,” Nesmith says. “With the arguable exception of Barry Goldwater — and Cruz is no Barry Goldwater — (movement leaders) don’t get nominations.”

I thought this tendency of relying on past results as an indicator of future events was limited to the professional political class. Apparently it has affected academia as well.

The sample size of elections is way to small, and the time between elections is way too great, and the wiggle room to tailor definitions, way too goosey, to take such pronouncements seriously.

In 1976 and 1980, Reagan WAS a movement leader. If we can go back 50 years, we can go back 100. Williams Jennings Bryan got he Dem nomination several times, and he was certainly a movement leader. He didn't win the general election? Good point. Well, in this climate neither willl another hack like Dole, Romney or McCain.
4 posted on 10/25/2013 4:22:21 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There's no salvation in politics.)
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To: iowamark
"It’s hard to tell who is more excited by Cruz’s visit, Republicans or the Iowa Democratic Party, who Coe College political scientist Bruce Nesmith notes “are already making hay over this.”


Seems the Iowa media and educrats will be glad to drive the tractor, columbine, and clear the barn to store that hay for the democrats as well.
5 posted on 10/25/2013 4:22:53 AM PDT by John 3_19-21 (Don't like Gramnesty? Support Lee Bright www.brightforsenate.com/)
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To: John 3_19-21

Combine - it’s early.


6 posted on 10/25/2013 4:29:15 AM PDT by John 3_19-21 (Don't like Gramnesty? Support Lee Bright www.brightforsenate.com/)
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To: iowamark

Cruz’s filibuster was a brilliant move that kept Obamacare in the forefront with Obama refusing to even consider any discussion.
The last GOP ‘offer’ was to delay the individual mandate.

Then Obama shut down the government.
Its laughable that now the Rats want a delay.

No more delays. No more exemptions.


7 posted on 10/25/2013 4:35:35 AM PDT by RedMDer (http://www.dontfundobamacare.com/)
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To: iowamark

Going to Iowa? Maybe a test run for his 2016 campaign? Just askin’.


8 posted on 10/25/2013 4:37:53 AM PDT by duckman (I'm part of the group pulling the wagon!)
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To: Dr. Sivana
The sample size of elections is way to small, and the time between elections is way too great, and the wiggle room to tailor definitions, way too goosey, to take such pronouncements seriously.

Academics are always vying for publicity under the guise of scholarship. Publishing, publicity, fame and extra income are nearly always at the forefront. These 'scholars' have to make wild stretches of the imagination, re-invent the wheel or to just make preposterous connections with the past when facts and conditions in the present have little similarity.

9 posted on 10/25/2013 4:45:58 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: iowamark

“despite the shutdown aftermath? It’s BECAUSE OF the shutdown efforts, you ignorant Demi]onic Party hack...


10 posted on 10/25/2013 4:54:11 AM PDT by Common Sense 101 (Hey libs... If your theories fly in the face of reality, it's not reality that's wrong.)
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To: John 3_19-21
Actually, I think maybe COLUMBINE just might have been the right word. After all mass shootings are standard grist for their propaganda mills.
Besides, 90% of them would not know a combine from a cultivator.
11 posted on 10/25/2013 5:04:44 AM PDT by Tupelo ( Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. An old Republican Tradition.)
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To: iowamark

Despite all the hate that has been and will be hurled at him Cruz will cruise into the presidency, provided he continues to walk the talk and never apologizes.


12 posted on 10/25/2013 7:13:26 AM PDT by PoloSec ( Believe the Gospel: how that Christ died for our sins, was buried and rose again)
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To: Tupelo

Or a manure spreader :)


13 posted on 10/25/2013 7:17:23 AM PDT by RedMDer (http://www.dontfundobamacare.com/)
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To: iowamark; Alissa; SunshinesStormySummerSon; Whenifhow; carjic; WilliamRobert; warsaw44; ...

Ted Cruz Ping!

If you want on/off this ping list, please let me know.

Please beware, this is a high-volume ping list!


14 posted on 10/25/2013 7:39:25 AM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: iowamark
Sen. Ted Cruz’s 21-hour faux-filibuster and 16-day federal government shutdown may have been for naught

It's quite clear now, and it's growing more and more clear every day, that the shutdown was not Ted Cruz's but rather Harry Reid's. People are starting to figure out that the Democrat Party's mule-headed refusal to change anything to do with Der Leader's precious Obamacide plan makes them responsible for EVERYTHING.

15 posted on 10/25/2013 7:46:59 AM PDT by Colonel_Flagg (Some people meet their heroes. I raised mine. Go Army.)
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To: Colonel_Flagg

“Obamacide”

Excellent appellation. Totally apropos.


16 posted on 10/25/2013 8:03:46 AM PDT by BlatherNaut
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To: iowamark
Sen. Cruz put Obamacare front and center, pushed for at least a years delay, and now a lot of libs are calling for exactly that. Ooopsie, hoisted on their own rat petard.
17 posted on 10/25/2013 8:04:04 AM PDT by JPG (Yes We Can morphs into Make It Hurt.)
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To: Colonel_Flagg

I pray you are right. Seems to me that the majority of American’s are more interested in their new iPhones.


18 posted on 10/25/2013 8:04:25 AM PDT by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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44 minute video at:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4vyfIrN_cY

11 minute press availability afterwards:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5Dtevcc4XE


19 posted on 10/26/2013 3:52:45 AM PDT by iowamark (I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy)
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