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The November IAEA Report On Iran's Nuclear Program: No Significant Advances (Far from the bomb
Arms Control Now ^ | November 14, 2013 [next IAEA report in Feb. 2014] | Kelsey Davenport

Posted on 01/11/2014 10:39:31 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist

...

According to the November 14, 2013 report, Iran's stockpile of 20 percent enriched material increased slightly to 196 kilograms. This keeps Iran well below the required amount which, when further enriched is enough for one nuclear weapon.

Key Highlights From the Report:

Iran's stockpile of 20% enriched Uranium is at 196 Kilograms, an increase of only about 10 kilograms since August 2013 [link at URL], because Iran is continuing to convert 20% Unranium Hexaflouride gas into powder. The stockpile remains below the estimatwed 240-250 kilograms which, when further enriched to weapons grade, would be enough for one nuclear weapon.

The IAEA reports no major components of the ARAK heavy water reactor were installed since August, although Iran continues to make progress on construction..

Since the August report, Iran has only installed 4 additional IR-1 centrifuges...

Iran installed no new IR-2M centrifuges [next generation centrifuges], leaving the total at 1008 advanced (IR-2M) centrifuges at Natanz. These centrifuges are not yet producing enriched uranium...

...

(Excerpt) Read more at armscontrolnow.org ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: apocalypse; iran; nucleariran; rop; worldwar3
Iran seems to be far but not real far from getting one bomb. Back In August the IAEA said that it would be hard for Iran to make a dash to making a bomb without it being noticed, as it had only 189 kilograms at 20%, far below the 240-250 needed and far below (as well) the 90% needed.
1 posted on 01/11/2014 10:39:31 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

I remember decades ago when the bombings became more common in Israel that there were a number of explosions that killed the bomb makers. The Israelis had a bomb making apartment wired for video. When the bombers finished the bomb, they tested it...

Let’s hope the Iranians do the same.


2 posted on 01/11/2014 10:41:45 AM PST by Gen.Blather
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

All the underground facilities and “without it being noticed”? Yeah, OK. Who noticed North Korea getting the bomb?


3 posted on 01/11/2014 10:44:05 AM PST by Olog-hai
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

let’s see now, they’ve been working on their bombs for over 10 years, it is, they say, their number one national priority, they openly brag they plan to eliminate their “Great Satan” when they get their nuke missiles done, plus they’ve threatened their Arab and Israeli “neighbors”...

they have almost infinite financial resources (since they are a big oil producing country), and unemployed nuclear scientists and engineers are a dime-a-dozen on the world scene...

now tell us ..... what!?

(ps: this “inspection service” has been highly suspect as a cover-up for the Irani nuke bomb program, for years...and years...)

somehow I am NOT sleeping any more securely tonight...


4 posted on 01/11/2014 10:49:13 AM PST by faithhopecharity (now)
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

No one in their right mind would trust the IAEA for anything. I trust Israel’s judgment. I don’t even trust my own country’s marxist/muslim/islamist/commie-influenced judgment, anymore.


5 posted on 01/11/2014 10:51:46 AM PST by carriage_hill (Peace is that brief glorious moment in history, when everybody stands around reloading.)
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

and we should believe the IAEA... why??


6 posted on 01/11/2014 10:58:33 AM PST by GeronL (Extra Large Cheesy Over-Stuffed Hobbit)
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

The scaremongers have been telling us for the better part of two decades that Iran was only months away from the bomb and I wouldn’t be surprised if we’re going to be hearing the same alarms two decades from now.


7 posted on 01/11/2014 11:03:21 AM PST by Colonel Kangaroo
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist
The November IAEA Report On Iran's Nuclear Program: No Significant Advances (Far from the bomb

The July 1945 Japanese report on the U.S. Nuclear Program: No significant advances(Far from the bomb)

8 posted on 01/11/2014 11:05:13 AM PST by Starstruck (If my reply offends, you probably don't understand sarcasm or criticism...or do.)
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To: FReepers

Click The Pic To Donate

Support FR, Donate Monthly If You Can

9 posted on 01/11/2014 11:09:25 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: carriage_hill

Two years ago John Bolton said the situation was ‘urgent’. I definitely trust his judgment.. so if anything’s changed, it’s for the worse.


10 posted on 01/11/2014 11:11:02 AM PST by Track9 (hey Kalid.. kalid.. bang you're dead)
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

These days, global intelligence is not so intelligent.


11 posted on 01/11/2014 11:11:02 AM PST by Viennacon
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

On e you get uranium enriched to 20%, it becomes logarithmacly easier to enrich to higher grades. This is what the centrifuges do. It only takes 6-8kg of highly enriched uranium, or four times that amount of enriched uranium to make a simple Gun type nuclear weapon capable of at least a 20Kt detonation, which will wipe out a good 2 kilometer radius. I believe there is something wrong with this article, the person who wrote it, and the science they used as reference, and I believe it is deliberate. We have known all the physics of what is needed produce nuclear weapons since 1938, and have improved on them to state of the art around the mid-1970s. Iran will have enough HEU to make a make a bomb, and they probably already do.


12 posted on 01/11/2014 11:25:50 AM PST by lefty-lie-spy (Stay metal. For the Horde \m/("_")\m/ - via iPhone from Tokyo.)
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To: lefty-lie-spy

And HEU is not even necessary to make a dangerous weapon. A large amount of LEU can make a great boom in the low 100t to Kt range too. All the physics and case studies are available on YouTube, Archive.org, your public library and many other places. This article is propaganda catering to stupid people.


13 posted on 01/11/2014 11:30:46 AM PST by lefty-lie-spy (Stay metal. For the Horde \m/("_")\m/ - via iPhone from Tokyo.)
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

Another sire says different...

December 20, 2013

By using the approximately 8,800 first-generation centrifuges operating at its Natanz Fuel Enrichment Plant, Iran could theoretically produce enough weapon-grade uranium to fuel a single nuclear warhead in about 1.7 months.
http://www.iranwatch.org/our-publications/articles-reports/irans-nuclear-timetable


14 posted on 01/11/2014 11:36:11 AM PST by Irenic (The pencil sharpener and Elmer's glue is put away-- we've lost the red wheel barrow)
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To: Irenic
sire site
15 posted on 01/11/2014 11:37:47 AM PST by Irenic (The pencil sharpener and Elmer's glue is put away-- we've lost the red wheel barrow)
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To: Track9

This is part of 0muslim’s plan to advance the murderous, subhuman islamic caliphate (spit), and it’s on-schedule, unless Israel takes it off the table.


16 posted on 01/11/2014 11:49:05 AM PST by carriage_hill (Peace is that brief glorious moment in history, when everybody stands around reloading.)
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To: carriage_hill

I absolutely agree.. and as Freepers we are, we read all the back stories from Jonah Goldberg’s great compilation to Yuri Bezmenov to the Venona Secrets to black liberation theology etc etc. So we know who they are.


17 posted on 01/11/2014 12:11:19 PM PST by Track9 (hey Kalid.. kalid.. bang you're dead)
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

Whew! What a relief. The IAEA is on the case to make sure Iran doesn’t cross on of Obama’s red lines.


18 posted on 01/11/2014 12:23:00 PM PST by Organic Panic
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To: GeronL
and we should believe the IAEA... why??

Because they spout the party line that Iran is a benign entity and not to be feared....

19 posted on 01/12/2014 3:23:05 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: Olog-hai

Logical fallacy: North Korea got the bomb secretly, therefore Iran was also get the bomb secretly.

That is what you are saying, basically.

But, then again, Iran does have a base known as Area 51IR, IR as in Iran


20 posted on 01/14/2014 7:18:34 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: faithhopecharity

They have had a nuclear program for way over 10 years, and they still can’t get it right. Like I said, they seem to be far from getting the bomb, but not REAl FAR. They are not real far. Remember that.


21 posted on 01/14/2014 7:19:49 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: carriage_hill

The Bush administration trusted the IAEA, didn’t they?


22 posted on 01/14/2014 7:20:37 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: GeronL; All

Whom else should we believe?

Foreign intelligence has not had a fantastic track record these past few years...


23 posted on 01/14/2014 7:22:06 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: Starstruck; All

U.S intelligence report on Saddam in 2002: Saddam is very close to getting a nuclear warhead.


24 posted on 01/14/2014 7:24:24 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: lefty-lie-spy; All

Iran’s second gen ventrifuges are apparently offline, while their stone-age centrifuges are apparently still online.

Like I said Iran seems to be far from the bomb, but not real far.

If you have any info that discredits what the IAEA has to say, then post it.


25 posted on 01/14/2014 7:26:08 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

They have oodles of money to hire all kinds of expert scientists and engineers from all over the world, so they WILL get it right... and USA remains their Great Satan, number ONE target so..... I will definitely not forget what this administration has done to sell us out so thoroughly ... when the nukes hit us.
(But it won’t do any good, since we’ll be dead...)


26 posted on 01/14/2014 7:30:19 AM PST by faithhopecharity
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

Yeah, and that didn’t work out so well. Isn’t IAEA run by a muzzie named mo-ham-head? That should be a red flag in itself.


27 posted on 01/14/2014 8:09:38 AM PST by carriage_hill (Peace is that brief glorious moment in history, when everybody stands around reloading.)
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

Here is something you can look at. I don’t know the veracity of this, but it seems to be generally in agreement with what the world at large knows,

http://www.iranwatch.org/our-publications/articles-reports/irans-nuclear-timetable.

It does not take much to go from 20% enriched to 80% enriched, is the point I am making. Little Boy was an 80% enriched Uranium gun-type bomb.

Any capacity to enrich Uranium in the wrong hands is a bad one. Any country wanting a nuclear power program can buy all the material they need from any nuclear power at great diplomatic prices. There will never be a need for any country to invest in centrifuges to create their own nuclear power program when so much material is available. Iran is definitely building towards a nuclear bomb test.


28 posted on 01/14/2014 8:37:51 AM PST by lefty-lie-spy (Stay metal. For the Horde \m/("_")\m/ - via iPhone from Tokyo.)
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

No, I’m not saying anything of the sort. I’m saying the USA and the UN are creating the same conditions under which North Korea got the bomb secretly that can enable Iran to do the same. Recall the conditions under which the USSR got the bomb, after all.

Trusting Iran to keep their word is the height of naïveté, too. As Sun Tzu’s “Art Of War” makes plain, “(a)ll war is based on deception” (I:18); that principle is immutable and warmongers live by it.

Add the historic ineptitude of the UN and even logically, yes, nobody is going to notice Iran getting the bomb until they want to reveal it.


29 posted on 01/14/2014 8:45:53 AM PST by Olog-hai
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To: Olog-hai; Laissez-faire capitalist
And there is also Rowhani’s new rhetoric, which basically shreds the IAEA’s credibility some more.
30 posted on 01/14/2014 8:49:44 AM PST by Olog-hai
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To: Olog-hai

That reply was for Iranian consumption...


31 posted on 01/15/2014 6:40:15 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: Organic Panic

And whom do you suggest we should take in place of the IAEA? French intelligence? Our own?

Good track record there?


32 posted on 01/15/2014 6:41:35 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

I have come to believe that the actions against the Iranian scientists, the Stuxnet virus, the explosions at various Iranian facilities have combined to seriously set back the effort.

I believe the destruction in country, on the ground, has stalled the effort and the difficult air action is not really needed.

Knowing this, Obama can go for political credit, dismissing major military action that is unnecessary.

Who did the deeds? Perhaps the USA, but my money is on a combined Israeli/Saudi effort.

The future? more of the same....... forever


33 posted on 01/15/2014 6:49:21 AM PST by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... History is a process, not an event)
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