Skip to comments.The Republican Party’s uphill path to 270 electoral votes in 2016
Posted on 01/19/2014 9:22:33 AM PST by afraidfortherepublic
A recent conversation with a veteran of GOP presidential campaigns raised this question: Which, if any, of the recent battleground states are likely to become more Republican by 2016? The consensus: very few.
That reality highlights one problem Republicans face as they seek to regain the White House after six years under President Obama. Lots of factors affect elections: the quality of the candidates, the state of the economy, the effectiveness of the campaigns. But in a country whose demographics continue to change, Republicans will begin this campaign with one significant disadvantage.
Over the past three decades, the political leanings of many states have shifted dramatically. What once was a sizable Republican advantage in the electoral college has become a decided Democratic advantage.
One way to look at this is by comparing two overlapping 20-year periods. In the first, 1980 through 2000, Republicans won four of six presidential elections. In the second, 1992 through 2012, Democrats won four of six.
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I suspect they will not reform themselves and will crash to the ground again.
Lose Willard and any other liberal who “needs” or “deserves” the GOP nomination to satisfy an over stuffed ego or victimhood...
We’re fighting the products of public education and outright democrat fraud. It’s going to take another Reagan to turn things around. ‘I want to believe that a miracle is possible.’ But the chances are very hazy and may, in fact, be gone.
Why, when your opponent is the party of incompetence and perversion, should it be an uphill battle?
Its because we ceded the infrastructure of the war of ideas. Schools and universities, the news and entertainment media.
Who controls these controls the politics. We’re always just hanging on for the next election, hoping for a miracle that will turn the Titanic around while our enemies raise and educate our children, write our history, decide what happened and what didn’t, whats important and what isn’t, and define what is good and what is bad.
The road back to sanity is a long road that requires us to regain control of the education of our children, establish news sources that we trust, and forgive me if I suggest you get your family into church. If the church of your childhood has gone over to the dark side, find another. But take control of the moral education as well as the academic education of your family.
Time to practice saying,
“President Hillary Clinton.”
The GOP could not beat my cat running as a dem, barring some divine intervention...
We need someone who would make Ronald Reagan look like a wimp.
God bless Ronald Reagan.
Ohio is moving to R.
That means for gop to win, they need all the romney states plus Ohio and Michigan and florida for a 269-269 tie with the house of representatives deciding the election.
Winning the romney states plus ohio and FL is doable.
Michigan is the question.
Another path is OH, FL plus VA and something else.
With 109 locked up in perpetuity (Cal, Ill, NY) the Dems start the race with a huge lead. Then add in Mass, RI, MD, DC, etc and they’re halfway to a win without spending a dime.
What is interesting to me is that many of the states listed above are now exporting liberals to other states turning them blue.
BUT the exporting state remains or grows more liberal due to immigration.
Finding 60 more will not be that difficult...
When factoring in fraud and cheating...she's a shoe in...
Of course 2016 is still a few years away and anything can happen....
Not holding my breath...
“The GOP could not beat my cat running as a dem”
I’d much prefer to have your cat in the White House than Hillary. I’ll even contribute some catnip.
It’s clear that the Left has already certified Hillary Clinton as the next president. While I’m no fan of Christie, the glee with which the mainstream media has ripped him apart shows that someone out there thought he had a shot of winning.
Great post! Good analysis.
The reason the average millennial knows more about climate change than the US Constitution is the education system and the media.
No mention here of rampant voter fraud which seems to be occuring in an increasing number of states.
PLUS, I’ve been visitning my 100 year old mother in her assisted living facility this week and also chatting with some of the other residents. I really don’t think that 1 in 5 should be voting. But, we all know that all of them are with the assistance of Democrat operatives.
Do you think a protectionistic platform would seal the deal for the Rust Belt states?
I'm not as convinced yet. Waiting to see where the Chicago Mob lines up. Watch Axlegrease, Gibbs, and Plouffy. No doubt in my mind they could torpedo the Clinton Crime Family once again if they choose to.
Blue states need to be re-flipped to Red.
A long term plan needs to be created to start moving more to Red.
Another reason they are attacking Christie...he is the leader of the GOP governors Assn and the gop governors are accomplishing reforms.
Best way to stop this is to take down the leader.
So how's that Hispandering working out for you, Stupid Party?
You can pretty much forget Virginia.
I’d say Michigan and Colorado are the best bets to try and get. Remember, Paul and Cruz have been running ahead of Hitlery in Colorado recently, and Michigan may prove to be a big upset victory for Republicans in 2014.