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ELECTION 2014: New poll shows Graham below 50 percent needed to avoid runoff
thestate.com ^ | 2/6/14 | Adam Beam and Jamie Self

Posted on 02/06/2014 10:49:39 AM PST by cotton1706

COLUMBIA, SC — Sen. Lindsey Graham leads his nearest Republican challenger by 28 percentage points, according to a new poll from Wenzel strategies.

But the poll -- paid for and released Thursday by the campaign of state Sen. Lee Bright, one of four Republicans vying to unseat Graham in June's primary -- shows Graham did not get more than 50 percent of the vote, which he would need to avoid a runoff election. That's important because, with a crowded Republican primary field, the only way a challenger has a chance is to get into a runoff.

More than 22 percent of those polled were undecided.

The poll included 623 "likely Republican primary voters" who were questioned through an automated telephone survey conducted in the evening between Feb. 3-4. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percent.

The poll randomly selected from a pool of South Carolina residents who voted in two of the past three Republican primaries, said Fritz Wenzel, the company's president.

The automated survey screened callers by asking them if they were likely to vote in June's Republican primary, Wenzel said, adding that the representative sample was balanced to reflect voter turnout, gender and age.

While most of those polled said they would vote for Graham, when asked if Graham deserved to be reelected, 49 percent said it was "time for someone new."

Wenzel strategies is a polling firm based in Ohio, whose clients include U.S. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Kentucky and a potential 2016 presidential candidate. The firm conducted polling in South Carolina in 2011 and 2012 for U.S. Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who sought the GOP presidential nomination.

(Excerpt) Read more at thestate.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; senateraces
If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

Lindsey Graham: 45.9 percent Lee Bright 17.4 percent Nancy Mace: 5.1 percent Richard Cash: 4.9 percent Bill Connor: 4.2 percent Not sure: 22.5 percent.

Should Lindsey Graham be reelected or is it time for someone new?

•Deserves reelection: 38 percent •Time for someone new: 49 percent •Not sure: 13 perent

1 posted on 02/06/2014 10:49:39 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Time for someone new: 49 percent!!!!!!!!


2 posted on 02/06/2014 10:50:04 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Is Lee Bright a good prospect?


3 posted on 02/06/2014 10:50:28 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Amnesty is job NONE! It isn't even the leading issue with Hipanics.)
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To: DoughtyOne

“Is Lee Bright a good prospect?”

Yes he is, but he’s not very good at fundraising. Either he or Mace would make good candidates.


4 posted on 02/06/2014 10:51:35 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

I like that “Time for Someone New” number. The fact is that Graham is a despicable little worm who brings shame to the whole state of S. Carolina


5 posted on 02/06/2014 10:52:48 AM PST by turducken
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To: cotton1706

Lindsey probably has already started contract negotiations with MSNBC to be their newest “Republican” useful idiot commentator. After he gets the boot, he can go MSNBC to rant and rave about how nasty and extreme those Republicans have become.


6 posted on 02/06/2014 10:55:03 AM PST by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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To: cotton1706
I appreciate the response. It dawned on me I should look for articles here concerning him. Those were helpful too.

LINK

7 posted on 02/06/2014 10:55:54 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Amnesty is job NONE! It isn't even the leading issue with Hipanics.)
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To: cotton1706; All

Political “Rule of Thumb” : 85% of Undecided vote goes to the challenger(s). That’s good news for our team.


8 posted on 02/06/2014 10:56:22 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: cotton1706

And Democrats can put phony candidates into the race to siphon votes from Republican candidates. People, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that you guarantee the incumbent’s victory if 8 opponents split the opposition votes. There ought to be a straw poll before the primary, closed to Democrats, and candidates not getting over 10% can’t get into the primary.


9 posted on 02/06/2014 10:56:32 AM PST by txrefugee
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To: cotton1706

Hopefully, this will be another Ted Cruz race.


10 posted on 02/06/2014 10:59:24 AM PST by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: DoughtyOne
Is Lee Bright a good prospect?

Yes. Help him out if you can.

Support Lee Bright to oust Lindsey Graham in SC

11 posted on 02/06/2014 11:02:11 AM PST by Paine in the Neck (Our Lives, our Fortunes, and our sacred Honor)
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To: cotton1706
Unfortunately it is paid for by one of his opponent so use with a grain of salt. But if those numbers were true it would be fabulous news. Getting rid of him makes this the number 1 race.
12 posted on 02/06/2014 11:02:34 AM PST by amnestynone (Lindsey Graham is feckless, duplicitous, treacherous, double dealing backstabbing Corksucker.)
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To: txrefugee
People, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that you guarantee the incumbent’s victory if 8 opponents split the opposition votes.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to understand that more candidates is worse, not better, for incumbents when they need to garner 50% to avoid a runoff.
13 posted on 02/06/2014 11:03:08 AM PST by jjsheridan5
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To: Paine in the Neck

Thank you.


14 posted on 02/06/2014 11:04:58 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Amnesty is job NONE! It isn't even the leading issue with Hipanics.)
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To: C. Edmund Wright
• Time for someone new: 49 percent ping.

Go Lee Bright!

15 posted on 02/06/2014 11:08:43 AM PST by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free)
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To: cotton1706

Grahamnesty must be kicked out.


16 posted on 02/06/2014 11:17:32 AM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: cotton1706

He will come in with 50.0001%. You wait and see.


17 posted on 02/06/2014 11:23:45 AM PST by Resolute Conservative
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To: cotton1706

SWEET!!!


18 posted on 02/06/2014 11:29:58 AM PST by PistolPaknMama
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To: Servant of the Cross

Or put another way: deserves re elect? 38 % ping!!!


19 posted on 02/06/2014 11:32:02 AM PST by C. Edmund Wright (Tokyo Rove is more than a name, it's a GREAT WEBSITE)
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To: cotton1706

and those are probably democrats


20 posted on 02/06/2014 11:35:05 AM PST by Mr. K (If you like your constitution, you can keep it...Period.)
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To: Din Maker

“Political “Rule of Thumb” : 85% of Undecided vote goes to the challenger(s). That’s good news for our team.”

So you can add another 10% to the “we want someone new column.” Graham will not survive a runoff. Scratch one worthless RINO.


21 posted on 02/06/2014 11:44:48 AM PST by vette6387
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To: upchuck

Happy dance!


22 posted on 02/06/2014 11:47:09 AM PST by Slings and Arrows (You can't have Ingsoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: vette6387

From your lips to God’s ears!


23 posted on 02/06/2014 11:47:11 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: Mr. K; All

What’s scary is that SC has an open Primary. I wonder how many DemocrRATS will cross over to vote for Graham.


24 posted on 02/06/2014 11:48:53 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: cotton1706

did anyone find Lee Bright’s gun raffle web page?


25 posted on 02/06/2014 11:48:53 AM PST by TurboZamboni (Marx smelled bad and lived with his parents .)
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To: cotton1706

If I was retired, I would leave Florida right after Spring Training and finish off the spring in South Carolina working against Lindsey Graham. Some mornings I wake up thinking I should do something for my Country - retire, forget Spring Training altogether, and go straight to South Carolina, and do what I can to help get rid of this schmuck.

C’mon South Carolina, you can do better!! For the love of Country, please get rid of this guy!!


26 posted on 02/06/2014 1:34:05 PM PST by lowtaxsmallgov (This Administration has absolutely no idea how to grow an economy)
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To: Din Maker

They are more likely to do the opposite. Those statist satanists will, if anything, want to try and get a MORE conservative opponent for the General, thus vote for Bright or Mace.


27 posted on 02/06/2014 1:39:25 PM PST by lowtaxsmallgov (This Administration has absolutely no idea how to grow an economy)
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To: All

Graham must be sweating. Slow going for Bright, but he is making steady progress. http://www.brightforsenate.com/bright-emerges-as-top-lindsey-graham-threat/


28 posted on 02/06/2014 2:05:20 PM PST by neal1960 (D m cr ts S ck. Would you like to buy a vowel?)
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To: TurboZamboni

http://pages.brightforsenate.com/ar15-giveaway/ Good luck!


29 posted on 02/06/2014 2:10:17 PM PST by neal1960 (D m cr ts S ck. Would you like to buy a vowel?)
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To: txrefugee
FYI:Source.
30 posted on 02/06/2014 5:21:33 PM PST by upchuck (Stop this abuse now! Get behind Convention of States: http://bit.ly/1ak1Iz9)
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To: Slings and Arrows; alarm rider; Alex1977; at bay; Babsig; BILL_C; bnelson44; ColdOne; DesScorp; ...
Thanks for the ping.

Uber RINO Lindsey Ping
"Republican by day, Democrat by night."


Want on or off this ping list?
Just FReepmail me

And now we have another hat in the ring: Det Bowers. Poor linda; that 50%+1 just keeps getting more elusive.

31 posted on 02/06/2014 5:27:55 PM PST by upchuck (Stop this abuse now! Get behind Convention of States: http://bit.ly/1ak1Iz9)
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To: Opinionated Blowhard
After he gets the boot, he can go MSNBC to rant and rave about how nasty and extreme those Republicans have become.

Sounds like a plan. Cannot receive MSNBC or any such news channel. More power to him...out of office.
32 posted on 02/06/2014 5:47:21 PM PST by Resettozero
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To: lowtaxsmallgov

Those statist satanists will, if anything, want to try and get a MORE conservative opponent for the General, thus vote for Bright or Mace.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Why would they want to do that?


33 posted on 02/07/2014 5:35:52 AM PST by Din Maker
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