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Paul Ryan Is the Odds-On Favorite to Win the Republican Nomination in 2016
Mother Jones ^ | February 5, 2014 | Kevin Drum

Posted on 02/06/2014 6:42:40 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

There's been a lot of blathering about who the front-runner for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination is, and so far I've resisted taking part. But I guess I'm kind of curious: Is there much of a case to be made for anyone other than Paul Ryan?

On the substantive side, Ryan sure seems like he's setting himself up for a run. There's his steady series of "unheralded" anti-poverty outreach trips that always manage to be just heralded enough to get sympathetic press coverage. He brokered a budget deal with Patty Murray that was businesslike and low-drama but didn't alienate the tea party crowd too badly. Today, in a hearing about the CBO's report on Obamacare, he acknowledged that the report didn't say that employers would be cutting jobs—points for intellectual honesty!—while also calling Obamacare a "poverty trap"—points for demagoguery! This is all stuff that seems very delicately calculated to stay in the good graces of the tea party base while building up plenty of policy substance cred that will keep him attractive to moderate voters.

On the flip side, who are his big competitors? Chris Christie is toast. Marco Rubio is inexperienced to begin with, and then muffed his chance for statesmanlike glory when he staked his reputation on immigration reform and came up empty. Jeb Bush can't even get his mother's endorsement. Scott Walker is getting buzz, but he strikes me as having too much baggage. Rand Paul and Ted Cruz are novelty candidates, not to be taken seriously. And although I used to think Bobby Jindal might have a chance, he's had a rough past couple of years.

Maybe I'm dismissing all these guys a little too glibly. Walker and Bush are certainly serious possibilities. And I admit that Ryan doesn't always give off a vibe that says he's running for president. And of course, we're still a couple of years away from 2016, anything can happen, blah blah blah.

Still, ol' blue eyes sure looks like the favorite to me right now. Anyone want to make a case for one of the others?


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; chrischristie; paulryan; randpaul; rino; scottwalker; teaparty; tedcruz
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Remind me of the last time a current or former congressman, with no other office held, was elected president.
1 posted on 02/06/2014 6:42:41 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I could point out a senator with basically the same qualifications who pulled the rabbit out of the hat.


2 posted on 02/06/2014 6:44:51 PM PST by ealgeone (obama, border)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh good Lord no.


3 posted on 02/06/2014 6:44:52 PM PST by RIghtwardHo
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hold on! I thought it was Krispy? No, wait... Huckabee!!!!

Bull. Ryan is finished.


4 posted on 02/06/2014 6:44:53 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: ealgeone

JFK?


5 posted on 02/06/2014 6:46:41 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Is it his turn?


6 posted on 02/06/2014 6:47:04 PM PST by depressed in 06 (America conceived in liberty, dies in slavery.)
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To: depressed in 06

No , it’s not Ryan’s turn! He has to stand in line behind Mickey Mouse!

FGS! Squueek Squeek!

Vote RINO!


7 posted on 02/06/2014 6:50:40 PM PST by acapesket
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To: depressed in 06

Actually, in historic terms, it’s Vice President Cheney’s or Governor Palin’s turn, not Rep. Ryan’s.


8 posted on 02/06/2014 6:50:42 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I flushed Paul Ryan this morning.


9 posted on 02/06/2014 6:50:52 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

As a Wisconsinite on the Front Lines, I say, ‘No’ to Ryan.

Absolutely not. Nuh-huh. No.


10 posted on 02/06/2014 6:51:09 PM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Mother Jones?

You are a joker 2nd div.
Ha ha.

Always appreciate your willingness to go into such repulsive places
so we dont have to.


11 posted on 02/06/2014 6:51:22 PM PST by right way right (America has embraced the suck of Freedumb.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

i doubt this. i don’t believe it’s true. i believe some want it to be true.


12 posted on 02/06/2014 6:51:55 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Let’s just bring back Boris and Natasha.


13 posted on 02/06/2014 6:52:02 PM PST by stanne
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; All

Of course, the super liberal Ma Jones would push for an Amnesty Liberal like Paul Ryan


14 posted on 02/06/2014 6:52:19 PM PST by SeminoleCounty (Diversity is just racism against white folks)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Actually, in historic terms, it’s Vice President Cheney’s or Governor Palin’s turn, not Rep. Ryan’s.

Have to wait and see if Bob Dole wants another crack at it

15 posted on 02/06/2014 6:53:52 PM PST by Right Wing Assault
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

F-That.

Since when do we all liberal journalists and pundits pick our Nominees??..Not any more!


16 posted on 02/06/2014 6:54:22 PM PST by JSDude1 (Defeat Hagan, elect a Constutional Conservative: Dr. Greg Brannon!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Uh, no. No RINOs.


17 posted on 02/06/2014 6:54:25 PM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What? yesterday it was Huckabee...


18 posted on 02/06/2014 6:55:28 PM PST by uncitizen (Impeach the Communist Already!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Because he could not inspire a man on fire to jump into a pond.


19 posted on 02/06/2014 6:56:15 PM PST by Vermont Lt (If you want to keep your dignity, you can keep it. Period........ Just kidding, you can't keep it.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
BULLSHIT!!!
20 posted on 02/06/2014 6:56:24 PM PST by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Anyone that doesn't soundly crush Joe Biden in a debate should hang their empty heads in shame and think (if at all possible) about getting out of public office as soon as feasible. If they then “broker a bipartisan deal” which really made it look like they were partisan for the Democrats, they should kicked out of office by their constituents. Failing that they should never, ever, be considered as presidential material. Unless they switch sides and run as the Democrat they really are.
21 posted on 02/06/2014 6:56:29 PM PST by Durus (You can avoid reality, but you cannot avoid the consequences of avoiding reality. Ayn Rand)
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To: Right Wing Assault

Has he turned 100 yet?


22 posted on 02/06/2014 6:56:34 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Abraham Lincoln?


23 posted on 02/06/2014 6:56:53 PM PST by Flag_This (Liberalism: Kills countries dead.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

BANG the DRUM SLOWLY
He's STUPID!
24 posted on 02/06/2014 6:57:30 PM PST by onyx (Please Support Free Republic - Donate Monthly! If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, Let Me know!)
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To: Flag_This

I believe you are correct. Everyone else that somewhat fits that bill was also a general officer or held some other major office, IIRC.


25 posted on 02/06/2014 6:58:14 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Paul “cut military pensions” Ryan?

Another Rudy McRomney.


26 posted on 02/06/2014 6:58:25 PM PST by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He doesn’t want the job. He wants to be head of the House Ways and Means committee, which is almost as powerful as a president anyway. And he can stay there for the rest of his life. We criticise him a lot here, but if he were chairman during a republican majority congress, in both the house and senate, I think he would do a good job steering the ship in the right direction and would be an asset there.


27 posted on 02/06/2014 6:59:00 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: MrEdd

Without the executive experience.


28 posted on 02/06/2014 6:59:03 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Watch the SNL depiction of the Veep debate to see what how the media would Palin-ize him.

Congressman Ryan from Janesville, WI. my home state, would be a very bad choice.
I’ve voted for my last RINO.


29 posted on 02/06/2014 7:03:27 PM PST by Mountain Mary ("Where Liberty Dwells, There Is My Country". Ben Franklin)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Watch the SNL depiction of the Veep debate to see what how the media would Palin-ize him.

Congressman Ryan from Janesville, WI. my home state, would be a very bad choice.
I’ve voted for my last RINO.


30 posted on 02/06/2014 7:03:45 PM PST by Mountain Mary ("Where Liberty Dwells, There Is My Country". Ben Franklin)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; ..

Mother Jones suggests Paul Ryan will be 2016 nominee.

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


31 posted on 02/06/2014 7:07:24 PM PST by afraidfortherepublic
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

We can always expect the Republican party to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. :(


32 posted on 02/06/2014 7:08:13 PM PST by AlexW
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Ryan will be lucky if he survives his primary. He will not be the nominee.


33 posted on 02/06/2014 7:09:36 PM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: uncitizen

And the day before it was Jeb.


34 posted on 02/06/2014 7:10:47 PM PST by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: tennmountainman

Bwahahahaha!


35 posted on 02/06/2014 7:11:14 PM PST by uncitizen (Impeach the Communist Already!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Paul Ryan Is the Odds-On Favorite to Win the Republican Nomination in 2016

This guy's on crack. Paul Ryan is the guy forever known as the congressman who stabbed veterans in the back.

He's pro-amnesty, anti-veteran, and pro-waffling.

If there's a wind blowing, he's with it.

36 posted on 02/06/2014 7:12:27 PM PST by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Remind me of the last time a current or former congressman, with no other office held, was elected president.

Well, there was one one-term former congressman, who also had a failed senate bid under his belt, who went on to free the slaves and convert the United States from a plural into a singular proper noun and landed on the five-dollar bill as a result. Proof, by the way, that not all Illinois lawyers are created equal.

37 posted on 02/06/2014 7:12:58 PM PST by cynwoody
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To: xzins
I posted a pic of the twit author. His name is Drum...lol.
38 posted on 02/06/2014 7:15:21 PM PST by onyx (Please Support Free Republic - Donate Monthly! If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, Let Me know!)
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To: tennmountainman

How does Ryan’s home district vote? Isn’t it a district that leans Democrat?

I like Ryan, by the way. I think he’s a policy wonk, which we need, and that he sincerely wants to cut government back in size. I also tend to trust him when it comes to dealing with the immigration issue, but then I’m not one who thinks that a practical solution is to deport everyone here illegally.

Certainly going from an Obama administration to a Ryan administration would be a huge improvement. I’ve got my doubts whether he can pull it off, however. That’s why I was curious about the make-up of his district. Does he have a record of drawing Democrat/Independent voters to his side?


39 posted on 02/06/2014 7:20:17 PM PST by Norseman (Defund the Left-Completely!)
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To: onyx

Palin/Nugent 16!!!!!!!!!! A combination I would not have to worry about.


40 posted on 02/06/2014 7:20:49 PM PST by Michigan Bowhunter (Patriots needed!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

mother jones = moonbat mecca.


41 posted on 02/06/2014 7:21:05 PM PST by RugerMini14
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
PAUL RYAN?


42 posted on 02/06/2014 7:22:06 PM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (Hitlery: Incarnation of evil.)
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To: Norseman
I like Ryan, by the way. I think he’s a policy wonk, which we need, and that he sincerely wants to cut government back in size. I also tend to trust him when it comes to dealing with the immigration issue, but then I’m not one who thinks that a practical solution is to deport everyone here illegally.

I believe that Barack Obama loves America and will have the most open, transparent administration in the history of the USofA.

And I believe in Santa Claus.

And the Easter Bunny!

43 posted on 02/06/2014 7:23:43 PM PST by RugerMini14
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m not seeing it.


44 posted on 02/06/2014 7:23:53 PM PST by DemforBush (A Repo Man is *always* intense.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

45 posted on 02/06/2014 7:23:54 PM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (Hitlery: Incarnation of evil.)
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To: Michigan Bowhunter

I’d be A-OKay with that!


46 posted on 02/06/2014 7:24:21 PM PST by onyx (Please Support Free Republic - Donate Monthly! If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, Let Me know!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Why not Sarah Palin...

Hillary will get 110% of the vote anyway..
120% if she selects Krispy Cream as VeeP...

In some precincts she will get 150% of the vote.. AND
in Detroit, L.A. and NYC... 200%..


47 posted on 02/06/2014 7:24:26 PM PST by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Remind me of the last time a current or former congressman, with no other office held, was elected president.

1860.

48 posted on 02/06/2014 7:26:19 PM PST by OldPossum ("It's" is the contraction of "it" and "is"; think about ITS implications.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Mr. Amnesty” doesn’t have a prayer.


49 posted on 02/06/2014 7:27:00 PM PST by RavenATB
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To: hosepipe

But in AR she may be held to 49 percent.


50 posted on 02/06/2014 7:27:41 PM PST by Theodore R. (TX Republicans to endorse Cornball and George P! Stay tuned March 4)
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