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West Virginia Senate: Capito (R) 49%, Tennant (D) 35%
rasmussenreports.com ^ | 2/24/14

Posted on 02/26/2014 7:33:03 AM PST by cotton1706

Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito posts a 14-point lead over Democrat Natalie Tennant in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the likely 2014 U.S. Senate race in West Virginia.

A new statewide telephone survey finds that Capito earns 49% support from Likely West Virginia Voters to Tennant’s 35%. Four percent (4%) prefer another candidate in the race, and 12% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in West Virginia was conducted on February 19-20, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms; capito; elections; tennant; wv2014

1 posted on 02/26/2014 7:33:04 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Good news for the Republicans in playing the numbers game to take control of the Senate. Not so good for actual conservatism.


2 posted on 02/26/2014 7:36:35 AM PST by buckalfa (Tilting at Windmills)
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To: cotton1706

Advice to Capito regarding the press.
Q: “What is your feeling about abortion and rape?”
A: “When did you stop beating your wife”


3 posted on 02/26/2014 7:38:00 AM PST by Zathras
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To: cotton1706

Just remember, Capito voted to allow the NSA to continue to spy on Americans... Just sayin’.


4 posted on 02/26/2014 7:38:17 AM PST by BCR #226 (02/07 SOT www.extremefirepower.com...The BS stops when the hammer drops.)
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To: Zathras
Capito, is immune on these issues. First, Capito is a woman, and secondly, she leans towards pro choice. The liberal press may try for a gotcha moment on other issues.
5 posted on 02/26/2014 7:41:15 AM PST by buckalfa (Tilting at Windmills)
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To: buckalfa

I wouldn’t vote in this election, was there a pro-life conservative independent?


6 posted on 02/26/2014 7:42:35 AM PST by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans!)
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To: buckalfa

Here’s my position. We’re not going to get the perfect conservative in every seat. If there was a very good more conservative candidate, I’d be all about getting that person in. I am out of state, but did not hear of any superstar alternatives to Capito. I am happy picking up seats where possible, and driving strong, independent conservatives when there are good candidates available. We won’t have one every time.

Examples - Cruz was a far better option than Dewhurst, but it doesn’t look like there is anyone else in the wings who can oust Cornyn (as much as he deserves to be sent home). In KY, Bevin is a really, really good candidate and worthy of a fight.

What’s the story in WV on the primary? Is there a strong alternative out there?


7 posted on 02/26/2014 7:43:34 AM PST by ilgipper
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To: cotton1706

Dems conceded WV to get Obama elected, they don’t need it, and don’t care about it. It will move R and stay there for quite a long time... the war on coal assured it will move red for the foreseeable future, and since Dems have no need to fight for it, they don’t care about losing it.


8 posted on 02/26/2014 7:47:22 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: ilgipper

A good, realistic view of politics. Of course we want someone in every office who is conservative but that’s not going to happen. For those of us who live in overwhelmingly blue states many of our GOP candidates for office are RINOS and it sadly comes down to a lesser of two evils option when we get to vote. We either hold our nose and vote for the RINO or stay home. Not great options and either choice keeps empowering the left.


9 posted on 02/26/2014 7:50:33 AM PST by dowcaet
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To: buckalfa

Good news for the Republicans...Not so good for actual conservatism.

***********
Republicans have nothing to do with conservatism. ;)


10 posted on 02/26/2014 7:52:58 AM PST by Starboard
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To: cotton1706

Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito posts a 14-point lead over Democrat Natalie Tennant in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the likely 2014

There was a study done once the no elected women ever voted to reduce the size of government or its burden.


11 posted on 02/26/2014 7:54:01 AM PST by edcoil ( "All men's miseries derive from not being able to sit in a quiet room alone." - Blaise Pascal)
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To: dowcaet

Agree. One is only less bad than the other. The “choice” between the two is in reality usually an illusion.

Very good post.


12 posted on 02/26/2014 7:55:31 AM PST by Starboard
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To: HamiltonJay

That’s what we are hoping for, so maybe we can get the State House back for the first time since 1928 and maybe the State Senate back soon thereafter. Great mood here in WV. It has been a very frustrating 86 years of one-party rule.


13 posted on 02/26/2014 7:56:48 AM PST by wildandcrazyrussian
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To: cotton1706; All

Good thread BUMP!


14 posted on 02/26/2014 7:58:45 AM PST by PGalt
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To: BCR #226

“Just remember, Capito voted to allow the NSA to continue to spy on Americans... Just sayin’.”

Yeah, I know she’s a moderate but the other guy dropped out. So we’re left with being happy that the republicans will likely gain this seat.


15 posted on 02/26/2014 7:58:48 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

I’m as conservative as anyone else here, and yes, in many cases, there are few, if any, differences between the republican and democrat candidates. On the other hand, no republican voted for Obamacare and every democrat did. And I defy anyone to produce a republican who would make a worse Senate Majority Leader than Harry Reid. And as bad as Boehner is (and he’s bad) I doubt that anyone on this forum would prefer Pelosi as Speaker of the House.


16 posted on 02/26/2014 8:04:15 AM PST by TruthShallSetYouFree (lib-pocrisy: requiring photo ID at a march protesting photo IDs for voters.)
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To: dowcaet
A good, realistic view of politics.

I couldn't disagree more. The Democrats are doing what their type have been doing throughout history -- capitalizing politically on ignorance, playing to people's natural greed and envy, creating dependencies, etc. There is nothing new about them. What has changed, especially over the last 20+ years, is that we have allowed the opposition to become thoroughly neutered, while simultaneously the Democrats learned how to go from an ineffective political party, to a unified, and at times devastatingly effective one. The cause of the neutering of the opposition is the type of view you are advocating: that a conservatives "realistic" choice is to hold their nose and vote for the lesser of two evils.

Over time, this has strengthened the relative position of those within the Republican party who are hostile to conservatism, and weakened the relative position of conservatives. It has gotten to the point where most of the national and state party apparatus will work actively against conservatives. This is the result of this "good, realistic view of politics."

This is a war, not a battle. And the only way to win that war is to forget about the R/D split in the senate and the house, and focus on the relative strength within the republican party of those opposed to liberalism versus those in favor of it. As long as the balance remains where it is (or gets worse), the Republicans will be token resistance (at best).

The Democrats understood this, and as a result they have a much more cohesive, agile, and unified party, willing to take tactical losses in order to preserve their unified approach (this is especially glaring when comparing today's Democrat party versus that of the 70's, when they were a disorganized collection of disconnected interest groups often at conflict with each other). They question is: when will Republican voters learn the same thing, and recognize that voting for the lesser of two evils isn't just fool's gold, but is actually more akin to allowing known traitors to continue to wear your uniform just because it makes your army look bigger.
17 posted on 02/26/2014 8:09:14 AM PST by jjsheridan5
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To: ilgipper
We’re not going to get the perfect conservative in every seat. If there was a very good more conservative candidate, I’d be all about getting that person in.

Ditto. We can play "purist" all we want, but that doesn't get the malevolent Harry Reid out of the Majority Leader seat. Yes, it would've been great to see Christine O'Donnell, Sharron Angle, Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock win their races and build the Tea Party presence in the Senate, but they all proved far short of being ready for prime time.

18 posted on 02/26/2014 8:11:54 AM PST by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ilgipper

She is running unopposed in the primary.


19 posted on 02/26/2014 8:35:04 AM PST by MadelineZapeezda (Remember, this is an administration which will not profile terrorists, but profile patriots? /Newt)
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To: MadelineZapeezda

This race is over...but can you guys finally dump that sleeze Rahall?


20 posted on 02/26/2014 8:37:15 AM PST by ken5050 (I fear a world run by adults who were never spanked as kids and got trophies just for participating)
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To: cotton1706

Even if the Democrat got all 12% of the Undecided Voters, she would still be trailing Capito.


21 posted on 02/26/2014 8:42:57 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: BCR #226

Just remember, Capito voted to allow the NSA to continue to spy on Americans... Just sayin’.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

So, what would you have us do?


22 posted on 02/26/2014 8:44:22 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: jjsheridan5

“They question is: when will Republican voters learn the same thing, and recognize that voting for the lesser of two evils isn’t just fool’s gold, but is actually more akin to allowing known traitors to continue to wear your uniform just because it makes your army look bigger.”

No, the real question is when will you and those that embrace your mindset, learn that your plan will have you walking around with your thumb up your ass while Harry Reid packs the USSC with liberal Commie clones of Elizabeth Warren!

49 carbon copies of Ted Cruz can’t stop Harry Reid controlling everything in the Senate and packing the courts, it takes 51 to do that.

First take control, THEN start sorting out the RINOs in the primary!


23 posted on 02/26/2014 8:44:34 AM PST by Beagle8U (Unions are an Affirmative Action program for Slackers! .)
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To: GeronL; All

I wonder how man FReepers who were, at one time, in love with Rand Paul, are still in love with him since he became a political whore by endorsing Mitch McConnell and actively campaigning for him?


24 posted on 02/26/2014 8:49:57 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: wildandcrazyrussian

We will take the Senate back, but we won’t get the super majority we need to truly get rid of this criminal..


25 posted on 02/26/2014 8:51:25 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: Din Maker

bump

Now the media promotes Ran Paul as the “conservative” alternative


26 posted on 02/26/2014 9:05:25 AM PST by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans!)
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To: cotton1706

Tennant would have to get virtually all of the undecided. It’s a long way to November, but it’s EXTREMELY unlikely that that would happen.

Not that Capito is anything to write home about. Her biggest asset is the R after her name.


27 posted on 02/26/2014 9:06:41 AM PST by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: FReepers

FR To The Finish Line!

28 posted on 02/26/2014 9:22:46 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: Beagle8U
First take control, THEN start sorting out the RINOs in the primary!

Yes, because that has worked out SO well in the past. Your plan ensures that liberals never have to worry about any kind of effective opposition. Nice for them, not so nice for those that understand how destructive liberalism is.

49 carbon copies of Ted Cruz can’t stop Harry Reid controlling everything in the Senate and packing the courts, it takes 51 to do that.

We are on a trajectory that is bringing this country to the left on a daily basis. The Reagan "Revolution", the win in '94, the win in 2010: during none of these periods did the government shrink, at no point did freedom expand, at no point was liberalism actually weakened. We continued leftward unabated, despite the numbers that you so desperately crave. The packing of courts will occur; whether it occurs now or 5 years from now makes little difference in the overall war. But in order to delay (very marginally, I might add) this leftward expansion, you are willing to sacrifice any chance of doing what the left did, once they realized that their "numbers" meant little if they came at the expense of unified messaging, political agility, and courage.

Obviously, you don't see (or understand) the bigger picture. Keep doing what you are doing, but don't be surprised when the country continues to lurch leftward, regardless of short-term changes in political fortune, and don't be surprised that the conservative message continues to fade into the background noise.
29 posted on 02/26/2014 9:25:51 AM PST by jjsheridan5
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To: jjsheridan5

Your plan is what keeps Harry Reid in control of the Senate.


30 posted on 02/26/2014 9:35:32 AM PST by Beagle8U (Unions are an Affirmative Action program for Slackers! .)
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To: Beagle8U
Your plan is what keeps Harry Reid in control of the Senate.

Your plan is what ensures that Harry Reid never has to face an effective opposition.
31 posted on 02/26/2014 10:31:58 AM PST by jjsheridan5
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To: jjsheridan5

Explain how you get anything you want with RATS controlling the Senate?

Cry and whine all you want, but without 51 in the Senate you got nothing, no matter the makeup of your caucus.


32 posted on 02/26/2014 10:39:37 AM PST by Beagle8U (Unions are an Affirmative Action program for Slackers! .)
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To: buckalfa
Good news for the Republicans in playing the numbers game to take control of the Senate. Not so good for actual conservatism.

Correct. Capito is a very squishy "moderate".

33 posted on 02/26/2014 10:41:21 AM PST by NorthMountain
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To: GeronL
was there a pro-life conservative independent?

Former state delegate Pat McGeehan was running in the Republican primary, but has dropped out. He says he will run for a state assembly seat he previously held. He is an excellent constitutionalist conservative: pro-life, pro-gun, limited government, etc.

34 posted on 02/26/2014 10:43:33 AM PST by NorthMountain
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To: Din Maker

Same thing I’m going to do. Remind her of it at every turn. Hound her and make her realize we are not happy. Maybe, she’ll wake up... maybe not.

Ticking off your base the way she has is not a winning strategy.


35 posted on 02/26/2014 10:43:49 AM PST by BCR #226 (02/07 SOT www.extremefirepower.com...The BS stops when the hammer drops.)
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To: NorthMountain

sounds like its too bad he dropped out


36 posted on 02/26/2014 10:46:01 AM PST by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans!)
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To: Beagle8U
Cry and whine all you want ...

I see I am dealing with someone incapable of rational debate. However, in terms of your original question: "Explain how you get anything you want with RATS controlling the Senate?" This is fairly simple. This is a long battle, and one which we have been losing, in part because of the willingness of conservatives to sacrifice political courage at the alter of the magical R/D ratio, and in part because the Democrats finally wised up and realized what was actually important.
  1. Rid the party leadership of those hostile to conservatism. Their presence makes it impossible to have a single, cohesive message that resonates with voters.
  2. Focus on the core principles of conservatism, and make sure that this message is hammered at all levels of politics, from the top leaders in the Senate, all the way to dogcatcher.
  3. Develop a cohesive and aggressive defense of conservatism wherever it is attacked. We may make fun of the Democrats' use of talking points, but once they abandoned your type of strategy, they were able to be extremely effective in responding to any situation that arose.
  4. Like the Democrats do, allow regional Republicans to deviate, but within a fairly strict scope, and never on crucial issues.
  5. Use the party apparatus to fully vet candidates, on their commitment to the principles of the party, their ability to think on their feet, and their ability to articulate the party platform.
  6. Use the party apparatus to coordinate with grass-roots groups, in order to saturate this cohesive messaging on the internet (once again, stealing from the post-poor strategy Democrat playbook).
  7. Once the messaging, rapid response, coordination, and vetting are all in place, then expand into "enemy territory" -- Blue states (which voted for Reagan, due to the precision and consistency of his message), ethnic areas, and even universities.


This list is obviously not complete. Most of it is common sense, once it is acknowledged that we are being thoroughly outplayed in the arena of messaging and appealing to voters. But the critical thing is this, which is where your strategy errs: None of this is possible as long as Republicans like McCain, McConnell, Cornyn, Graham, Cochran, and Boehner have any kind of leadership position, at all. None of it. Their hostility to Reagan-style conservatism, combined with their leverage within the party, renders even the best laid plans completely moot.
37 posted on 02/26/2014 11:19:39 AM PST by jjsheridan5
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To: GeronL
sounds like its too bad he dropped out

It is ... I sent money to his campaign, and supported some other ways as well. If he really does run for the delegate seat, I will support again even though I'm not in his district.

Not sure if I will vote for Capito for Senate ... certainly not in the primary. Voting for the democrat is, of course, unthinkable.

38 posted on 02/26/2014 12:24:48 PM PST by NorthMountain
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